Tuesday MLB Thoughts
Arizona at Washington: Tons of disrespect for Cahill and the 'Zona bats here, and there is simply no chance of lay -150 on the Nats anemic offense.
In Wrigley I can't back Jackson, and as I predicted he'd get killed there and is allowing opposing hitters to bat .324 against him, and only about .232 on the road. I see the early money is on the Cubs, too. Lohse is hittable and the last game against Houston can be thrown out and chalked up to the fact it was Houston. Cubs RL perhaps.
Kendrick doesn't walk very many, but his WHIP is 1.22 meaning hits. He's been able to make the key pitch, but I can't go to that well on the road, so Padres or nothing.
A little surprised Darvish opened at -140 at the Yankees, even given it's the Yankees offense. And so it seems are the bettors since it's down in most shops already. Tough not to take Kuroda as a home dog here.
They are STILL giving CJ Wilson too much credit, although I have never been a Porcello fan. With that in mind and not having checked the weather, I do lean over but would watch that number carefully. Given the Angels woes (the Brewers pitchers are hitting about the same as Josh Hamilton) I cannot take them.
Masterson is a different pitcher away from home, and Tillman has been, if nothing else, consistent. Haven't checked this weather either but the Indians simply don't fare as well against RHP this season, so I lean Baltimore and under.
Matt Moore has seriously regressed to the point where I cannot back him, especially when combined with one of the worst bullpens in baseball this season. Probably taking Bruno's Birds here.
Jose Fernandez is the only backable starter the Fish have, and given that the Twins won't have a DH the Marlins are probably favored for a reason.
There is zero chance of laying -160 with Dempster against the Rockies with a DH in Fenway. Unless there's some injury I haven't seen yet, I'll take the Rockies, and with a big total the RL isn't too expensive.
Only bet I could make in the Royals game is under. Too tempting at 7.5 to take the over, but these are the two best bullpens in baseball.
The Mets are a better bet on the road and with Wheeler, who of course Chicago hasn't seen, taking them is not out of the question, and neither is the under.
In a big park like the A's, any pop the Reds might have had is somewhat mitigated. A's or nothing.
They all of a sudden love the Pirates and Locke enough to make the significant road favorites at Seattle. Saunders hasn't given up more than three earned runs in a month, so this should stay under, given the Pirates pen and with a DH Locke can pitch a few extra innings.