ok...this week baltimore opened as a 5.5 pt fav over houston...wow! thats 2 for houston as a 5 pt dog...well after that loss, and balt being off, the line has moved up 2 pts already and will probably go to about 8 to 8.5 i am on houston here as a 1 star play no capping ..just my theory play...we will see.
also a home dog i think 1st of the yr here..with of course..lol tampa!getting 5 from wow! the saints..lol twice for the saints to be opened as a 5 pt fav..hmmm? anyway i think thisis the 3rd road game in a row for n.o...very hard for a team to play 3 road games, theres a trend to look up, 3rd road game in a row as a fav?...anyway tampa gets emberrassed last week at sf...now they are home and got a team on their 3rd road game, what to do, what to do?..lol of course its a 2 star play, any home dog of a 5 or 5.5 pt opening line i double the playand it has gone down to 4.5..from 5...so its a good play here..maybe a outright win...i know drew brees and the team come in, but look for tampa to do what ever after that terrible game, the saints pulled one out last week against carolina, and this is another road game..it sets up well
thats houston+7.5 may wait a day to see if i can get more...and grabbing tampa now at 4.5
good luck all 151
again for anyone that hasnt read my theory....as ive said i was a bookie for over 20 yrs, and this is something i always kept track of, because the pt spread of 5? or 5.5? always seemed weird to me, why not 6 or 4?...and beforethe 2 pt conversion it was really a weird line....to me it always said the oddsmaker wasnt sure , and to me it means they seem to think the game is up for grabs...now this always has been about a 64% cover..and a home dog was about 68%...dont seem well, but if you know alot about cappers..if you can stay about 65% over a yr, thats pretty good...
GL ALL 151RUM!