Hawai'i won nine of last ten games vs San Jose State, but four of last six meetings were decided by 7 or less points. Warriors won last five games here, with last four by 7-7-7-3 points. Dogs covered four of their last six visits here. Hawai'i had 593 passing yards in LY's 41-7 win vs San Jose. Spartans are 2-4, with three losses by 10+ points- they're 4-6 in last 10 games as home dog. WAC home teams are 1-4 vs spread in conference.
Saturday's best games
Underdogs are 5-2 vs spread in last seven Miami-North Carolina games, with Hurricanes losing last three visits here, by 9-6-3 points-- they were favored in all three of those games. Miami is 6-8 in its last 14 games as a road underdog- they're 1-3 vs I-A teams, losing by 8 at Maryland, 4 to Kansas State at home, 3 at Va Tech last week. UNC was 0-0 at half with a bad Louisville team last week; they're 11-21 as home fave since 2001.
Clemson is 6-0, covering last four games, with 23-3 win at Virginia Tech its only road win- they're 4-0 vs spread as a favorite this year- since '02, Tigers are just 8-12 as a road favorite. Maryland is 9-7 in last 16 games as home underdog. Tigers are just 2-5 as a series favorite, as underdogs covered five of last seven series games, with five of the seven decided by four or less points. ACC home underdogs are 3-0 against vs spread.
Wake Forest lost its opener in OT at Syracuse, has won four games in a row since- they've been dog in all four games vs I-A foes. Faves are 7-2 vs spread in Va Tech-Wake games, with Hokies winning last three, by 31-21-7 points. Tech won LY's game 52-21; Deacons completed just 4 of 17 passes. Hokies are 0-5 vs spread this year, winning its road games 17-10 (-20) at East Carolina, 30-10 (-20.5) at Marshall. Tech is 15-6-1 in last 22 games as road favorites, but are 0-2 this year.
Favorites are 13-4-1 vs spread in SEC games this year, 5-2-1 on foreign soil. South Carolina won last five games vs Mississippi State, winning last three visits here, by 15-0/16-14/23-19 scores. Gamecocks are 6-4-1 as a road favorite under Spurrier- they've allowed total of 22 points last three games, but they allowed total of 89 points in winning only two games on foriegn soil. State is 0-2 as underdogs this year, 3-5 as a home dog under Mullen. Bulldogs' last four games stayed under total.
Oregon is amazing 25-8-1 against spread in last 34 games as home fave, 10-2-1 under Kelly; they've won lined home games 69-20/43-15 as well as a 56-31 win at Arizona, so Ducks score lot of points. Oregon won its last six games vs Arizona State by average score 42-21; 11 points was closest game; Sun Devils are 2-5 in last seven visits here, losing last two 44-21/35-23. Pac-12 home teams are 6-9 vs spread; home faves are 5-6. ASU is 4-0-1 in its last five games as a home underdog.
Texas A&M is 12-2 in last 14 games vs Baylor, winning 42-30/38-3 in last two meetings; Bears lost last seven visits here (2-5 vs spread) losing 38-3/34-10 in last two. This is best Baylor team in years, but they lost only road game 36-35 at Kansas State (-3.5); Bears are 8-5 as a road dog under Briles. Aggies allowed 30-42-40 points in last three games, getting outscored 72-26 in second half of those games. A&M is 8-5 in its last 13 games as a home favorite, but 1-2 this season.
Michigan State beat Michigan last three years by 17-6-14 points, longest series win streak for them since Bubba Smith era in mid-60's; State is 2-0 as home favorite this year, but is just 20-30-1 since 2001; they allowed 7 or less points in all four wins, but Notre Dame hung 31-13 loss on them in South Bend. Since 2007, Wolverines are 3-6 as road dogs; they're 6-0 this year, scoring 100 points in last two games, 28+ in all six. Favorites are 6-4 vs spread in Big Dozen games, 4-3 at home.
Surprising that Illinois is 6-0, Ohio State 3-3; Buckeyes won six of last seven series games, winning last three by average of 28-11- they've won their last six visits here, with underdogs covering four of last five. Ohio State lost three of last four games, completing just 29 of 77 (37.7%) of passes, as they struggle bigtime in passing game. Illinois has three wins by three points- they're 4-6-1 in last eleven games as a home favorite.
Who is playing QB for Florida, who had 3rd-stringer Brissett at QB in 41-11 loss at LSU? Home teams won four of last five Florida-Auburn games, with Tigers 3-1 in last four, all covered by underdogs; Gators lost last two visits here by 27-17/23-20 scores. Auburn was outscored 24-7 in second half of last two games- they allowed 38 points in both losses this year. Has to be major relief on Plains with NCAA finding no major violations in Cam Newton case. SEC home dogs are 2-5-1 vs spread.
Central Florida won its last three games vs SMU by 10-14-29 points, as faves are 2-0-1 vs spread; Knights (-12) won 49-20 in only visit here in 2007, but Mustangs are way better now, scoring 42-40 points in winning last two games, including an OT win at TCU. Knights are struggling with ball, scoring 10-17-16 points in last three games; all four of UCF's lined games this year stayed under total. Home teams are 4-6 vs spread, 3-4 as favorites in Conference USA games this season.
Oklahoma State is 17-4 vs spread as a road favorite since 2001, winning road games 59-33/30-29 (down 20-3 at half) this year. Cowboys got its first win in last 13 tries vs Texas LY, passing for 409 yards. Favorites are 8-3-1 vs spread in last dozen series games. Longhorns covered once in last four games as the underdog- they gave up three defensive TDs in dismal 55-17 loss to rival Oklahoma last week, a major step back in their recovery from LY's 5-7 debacle. How do they bounce back here?
Texas Tech won its last five games vs Kansas State, winning last three 59-20/58-28/66-14. Wildcats lost last three visits to Lubbock by 52-39-19 points, but they're 5-0 this year, beating Miami-Baylor-Missouri last three weeks, all as underdogs. Tech allowed 34-34-45 points in last three games, scoring 40 points last week in home loss to Aggies- they've given up an average of 253 rushing yards/game over last three weeks. K-State covered ten of last thirteen games as a road underdog.
Northwestern won five of last six games vs Iowa, winning last three here by 7-5-14 points, with average total in those games 31.3. Underdogs are 6-0 SU in last six series games, with Iowa losing last two years while the #8/#13 team in nation. Wildcats are 9-2 vs spread in last 11 games as dog on road, 2-0 this, but they lost two of last three games, outscored 28-0 in second half of Michigan loss last week. Iowa overed five of its last seven games as a home favorite. Big Dozen home favorites are 4-3 vs spread.