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Pfile Nickname cnotes
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10/15/2011 12:52 AM
NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up


Week 7

Friday's game

Hawai'i won nine of last ten games vs San Jose State, but four of last six meetings were decided by 7 or less points. Warriors won last five games here, with last four by 7-7-7-3 points. Dogs covered four of their last six visits here. Hawai'i had 593 passing yards in LY's 41-7 win vs San Jose. Spartans are 2-4, with three losses by 10+ points- they're 4-6 in last 10 games as home dog. WAC home teams are 1-4 vs spread in conference.


Saturday's best games

Underdogs are 5-2 vs spread in last seven Miami-North Carolina games, with Hurricanes losing last three visits here, by 9-6-3 points-- they were favored in all three of those games. Miami is 6-8 in its last 14 games as a road underdog- they're 1-3 vs I-A teams, losing by 8 at Maryland, 4 to Kansas State at home, 3 at Va Tech last week. UNC was 0-0 at half with a bad Louisville team last week; they're 11-21 as home fave since 2001.

Clemson is 6-0, covering last four games, with 23-3 win at Virginia Tech its only road win- they're 4-0 vs spread as a favorite this year- since '02, Tigers are just 8-12 as a road favorite. Maryland is 9-7 in last 16 games as home underdog. Tigers are just 2-5 as a series favorite, as underdogs covered five of last seven series games, with five of the seven decided by four or less points. ACC home underdogs are 3-0 against vs spread.

Wake Forest lost its opener in OT at Syracuse, has won four games in a row since- they've been dog in all four games vs I-A foes. Faves are 7-2 vs spread in Va Tech-Wake games, with Hokies winning last three, by 31-21-7 points. Tech won LY's game 52-21; Deacons completed just 4 of 17 passes. Hokies are 0-5 vs spread this year, winning its road games 17-10 (-20) at East Carolina, 30-10 (-20.5) at Marshall. Tech is 15-6-1 in last 22 games as road favorites, but are 0-2 this year.

Favorites are 13-4-1 vs spread in SEC games this year, 5-2-1 on foreign soil. South Carolina won last five games vs Mississippi State, winning last three visits here, by 15-0/16-14/23-19 scores. Gamecocks are 6-4-1 as a road favorite under Spurrier- they've allowed total of 22 points last three games, but they allowed total of 89 points in winning only two games on foriegn soil. State is 0-2 as underdogs this year, 3-5 as a home dog under Mullen. Bulldogs' last four games stayed under total.

Oregon is amazing 25-8-1 against spread in last 34 games as home fave, 10-2-1 under Kelly; they've won lined home games 69-20/43-15 as well as a 56-31 win at Arizona, so Ducks score lot of points. Oregon won its last six games vs Arizona State by average score 42-21; 11 points was closest game; Sun Devils are 2-5 in last seven visits here, losing last two 44-21/35-23. Pac-12 home teams are 6-9 vs spread; home faves are 5-6. ASU is 4-0-1 in its last five games as a home underdog.

Texas A&M is 12-2 in last 14 games vs Baylor, winning 42-30/38-3 in last two meetings; Bears lost last seven visits here (2-5 vs spread) losing 38-3/34-10 in last two. This is best Baylor team in years, but they lost only road game 36-35 at Kansas State (-3.5); Bears are 8-5 as a road dog under Briles. Aggies allowed 30-42-40 points in last three games, getting outscored 72-26 in second half of those games. A&M is 8-5 in its last 13 games as a home favorite, but 1-2 this season.

Michigan State beat Michigan last three years by 17-6-14 points, longest series win streak for them since Bubba Smith era in mid-60's; State is 2-0 as home favorite this year, but is just 20-30-1 since 2001; they allowed 7 or less points in all four wins, but Notre Dame hung 31-13 loss on them in South Bend. Since 2007, Wolverines are 3-6 as road dogs; they're 6-0 this year, scoring 100 points in last two games, 28+ in all six. Favorites are 6-4 vs spread in Big Dozen games, 4-3 at home.

Surprising that Illinois is 6-0, Ohio State 3-3; Buckeyes won six of last seven series games, winning last three by average of 28-11- they've won their last six visits here, with underdogs covering four of last five. Ohio State lost three of last four games, completing just 29 of 77 (37.7%) of passes, as they struggle bigtime in passing game. Illinois has three wins by three points- they're 4-6-1 in last eleven games as a home favorite.

Who is playing QB for Florida, who had 3rd-stringer Brissett at QB in 41-11 loss at LSU? Home teams won four of last five Florida-Auburn games, with Tigers 3-1 in last four, all covered by underdogs; Gators lost last two visits here by 27-17/23-20 scores. Auburn was outscored 24-7 in second half of last two games- they allowed 38 points in both losses this year. Has to be major relief on Plains with NCAA finding no major violations in Cam Newton case. SEC home dogs are 2-5-1 vs spread.

Central Florida won its last three games vs SMU by 10-14-29 points, as faves are 2-0-1 vs spread; Knights (-12) won 49-20 in only visit here in 2007, but Mustangs are way better now, scoring 42-40 points in winning last two games, including an OT win at TCU. Knights are struggling with ball, scoring 10-17-16 points in last three games; all four of UCF's lined games this year stayed under total. Home teams are 4-6 vs spread, 3-4 as favorites in Conference USA games this season.

Oklahoma State is 17-4 vs spread as a road favorite since 2001, winning road games 59-33/30-29 (down 20-3 at half) this year. Cowboys got its first win in last 13 tries vs Texas LY, passing for 409 yards. Favorites are 8-3-1 vs spread in last dozen series games. Longhorns covered once in last four games as the underdog- they gave up three defensive TDs in dismal 55-17 loss to rival Oklahoma last week, a major step back in their recovery from LY's 5-7 debacle. How do they bounce back here?

Texas Tech won its last five games vs Kansas State, winning last three 59-20/58-28/66-14. Wildcats lost last three visits to Lubbock by 52-39-19 points, but they're 5-0 this year, beating Miami-Baylor-Missouri last three weeks, all as underdogs. Tech allowed 34-34-45 points in last three games, scoring 40 points last week in home loss to Aggies- they've given up an average of 253 rushing yards/game over last three weeks. K-State covered ten of last thirteen games as a road underdog.

Northwestern won five of last six games vs Iowa, winning last three here by 7-5-14 points, with average total in those games 31.3. Underdogs are 6-0 SU in last six series games, with Iowa losing last two years while the #8/#13 team in nation. Wildcats are 9-2 vs spread in last 11 games as dog on road, 2-0 this, but they lost two of last three games, outscored 28-0 in second half of Michigan loss last week. Iowa overed five of its last seven games as a home favorite. Big Dozen home favorites are 4-3 vs spread.
Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
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10/15/2011 12:56 AM
NCAAF


Saturday, October 15

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College football betting weather report: Week 7
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The change in seasons has been a strange one. Find out how weather will impact your college football bets in Week 7 of the season.

Louisville Cardinals at Cincinnati Bobcats (-16, 48.5)

Clear skies is in the forecast for Cincinnati, but there will be winds, blowing west, at speeds of up to 15 mph Saturday.

Michigan Wolverines at Michigan State Spartans (-2.5, 49)

The winds will rage in the battle for the Paul Bunyan Trophy. The forecast in East Lansing is calling for gust of up to 30 mph, blowing west from sideline to sideline. Game-time temperatures will dip into the low 50s with a 14 percent chance of showers.

Purdue Boilermakers at Penn State Nittany Lions (-12, 41.5)

Rain is in the forecast for Happy Valley, with an 18 percent chance of showers and game-time temperatures falling into the low 50s. Winds will also be an issue for the passing and kicking games, blowing West at speeds of up to 20 mph.

Utah Utes at Pittsburgh Panthers (-6.5, 46.5)

Rain will dampen Pittsburgh for the first half of this East-vs.-West matchup. There is a 20 percent chance of showers, which will give way later in the afternoon. Winds will blow west at speeds of up to 20 mph.

Indiana Hoosiers at Wisconsin Badgers (-39.5, 60.5)

Winds will reach speeds of up to 16 mph in Madison Saturday. Gust will blow west from sideline to sideline, cooling temperatures into the mid 50s.

Miami Hurricanes at North Carolina Tar Heels (-3, 52.5)

The forecast in Chapel Hill is calling for winds, blowing west, at speeds of up to 12 mph.

Buffalo Bulls at Temple Owls (-21, 47.5)

Winds will reach speeds of 15 mph, blowing WSW from corner to corner at Lincoln Financial Field Saturday. Temperatures will be in the mid 60s.

Navy Midshipmen at Rutgers Scarlet Knights (-3.5, 53)

The forecast in New Jersey is calling for winds, blowing WSW from end to end, at speeds of up to 14 mph Saturday.

UNLV Runnin’ Rebels at Wyoming Cowboys (-10.5, 56)

Winds will cause chaos for this MWC battle. Gusts are expected to reach speeds of up to 25 mph, blowing west from sideline to sideline, at Jonah Field at War Memorial Stadium Saturday.

Eastern Michigan Eagles at Central Michigan Chippewas (-12.5, 51.5)

The weather will be any but pleasant in Mount Pleasant Saturday. Rain and winds reaching speeds of up to 22 mph, blowing west, will plagued this MAC showdown. Temperatures will dip into the low 50s.

Rice Owls at Marshall Thundering Herd (-4.5, 51.5)

The forecast for Huntington is calling for winds, blowing west, of speed of up to 15 mph from sideline to sideline.

South Florida Bulls at Connecticut Huskies (+7, 46.5)

Winds will reach speeds of up to 15 mph in Storrs Saturday. Those breezes will blow WSW from sideline to sideline at Rentschler Field.

Miami (Ohio) RedHawks at Kent State Golden Flashes (+3.5, 39.5)

There is messy weather on the way in Ohio, with a 30 percent chance of rain and winds reaching speeds of up to 20 mph, blowing west from sideline to sideline.

Western Michigan Broncos at Northern Illinois Huskies (+1, 69)

Winds will blow west from sideline to sideline, reaching speeds of up to 16 mph at Brigham Field at Huskie Stadium Saturday.

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers at Florida Atlantic Owls (-2.5, 43.5)

The forecast in Miami is calling for possible thundershowers and a 20 percent chance of rain Saturday. Winds will reach speeds of up to 15 mpg, blowing ENE from corner to corner at Lockhart Stadium.

Boise State Broncos at Colorado State Rams (+31.5, 54.5)

Winds will reach speeds of up to 15 mph in Fort Collins, blowing west, but will settle down in the second half.

Kansas State Wildcats at Texas Tech Red Raiders (-3.5, 60.5)

The forecast for Lubbock is calling for winds, blowing south from end to end, at speeds of up to 12 mph Saturday.

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
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10/15/2011 10:45 AM
Date WLT Pct Net Units Record
10/14/11 0-­2-­0 0.00% -­1100 Detail
10/13/11 3-­1-­0 75.00% +­950 Detail
10/08/11 29-­19-­0 60.42% +­4050 Detail
10/07/11 0-­2-­0 0.00% -­1100 Detail
10/06/11 2-­2-­0 50.00% -­100 Detail
10/01/11 55-­45-­2 55.00% +­2750 Detail
Totals 89-­71-­2 55.63% +5450

Saturday, October 15

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Michigan - 12:00 PM ET Michigan +2.5 500
Michigan State - Under 47.5 500

Toledo - 12:00 PM ET Toledo -8.5 500
Bowling Green -

Purdue - 12:00 PM ET Penn State -12 500
Penn State - Under 41 500

Utah - 12:00 PM ET Utah +6 500
Pittsburgh - Over 45.5 500

Indiana - 12:00 PM ET Wisconsin -39.5 500
Wisconsin - Over 61 500

Louisville - 12:00 PM ET Louisville +13.5 500
Cincinnati - Under 48.5 500

Baylor - 12:00 PM ET Over 76 500 ( TOTAL OF THE DAY )Texas A&M -

South Carolina - 12:20 PM ET Mississippi State +3 500
Mississippi State -

Miami - 12:30 PM ET North Carolina -2.5 500
North Carolina - Over 52.5 500

Buffalo - 1:00 PM ET Temple -21 500
Temple -

Iowa State - 2:00 PM ET Missouri -15.5 500
Missouri - Over 56.5 500

Navy - 2:00 PM ET Rutgers -3.5 500
Rutgers - Under 54 500

UNLV - 2:00 PM ET Wyoming -10.5 500
Wyoming - Over 55 500

Florida State - 3:00 PM ET Duke +12 500
Duke - Under 56.5 500

Rice - 3:00 PM ET Marshall -5 500
Marshall - Under 51.5 500

Eastern Michigan - 3:00 PM ET Central Michigan -11 500
Central Michigan - Under 50.5 500

South Florida - 3:30 PM ET Connecticut +7.5 500
Connecticut - Under 47 500

Ball State - 3:30 PM ET Ohio -14.5 500
Ohio - Over 58.5 500

Oklahoma State - 3:30 PM ET Oklahoma State -7 500
Texas - Over 64.5 500

Georgia Tech - 3:30 PM ET Georgia Tech -7 500
Virginia - Over 56 500

Colorado - 3:30 PM ET Washington -15.5 500 ( BLOW OUT )
Washington -

Ohio State - 3:30 PM ET Illinois -3.5 500
Illinois -

Miami (Ohio) - 3:30 PM ET Kent State +3.5 500
Kent State - Over 41 500

Western Michigan - 3:30 PM ET Northern Illinois +1.5 500
Northern Illinois -

Central Florida - 3:30 PM ET Central Florida +3.5 500
Southern Methodist - Under 46.5 500

Louisiana State - 3:30 PM ET Louisiana State -17 500
Tennessee -

Texas El Paso - 3:30 PM ET Tulane -1.5 500
Tulane -

Brigham Young - 4:00 PM ET Oregon State -3 500
Oregon State

Western Kentucky - 4:00 PM ET Over 43.5 500
Florida Atlantic -

New Mexico - 4:05 PM ET Nevada -29.5 500
Nevada -

North Texas - 5:00 PM ET UL Lafayette -8.5 500
UL Lafayette -

Alabama - 6:00 PM ET Alabama -27.5 500
Mississippi -

Boise State - 6:00 PM ET Boise State -32 500
Colorado State - Over 53.5 500

Virginia Tech - 6:30 PM ET Wake Forest +6 500
Wake Forest -

Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
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10/15/2011 04:59 PM
Record as of now for some morning games:

Date WLT Pct Net Units Record
10/15/11 10-­5-­1 66.67% +­2250 Detail


Evening Selections:


Florida - 7:00 PM ET Auburn +2.5 500
Auburn -

Clemson - 7:00 PM ET Clemson -7.5 500
Maryland -

East Carolina - 7:00 PM ET East Carolina -14 500
Memphis -

Georgia - 7:00 PM ET Vanderbilt +11.5 500
Vanderbilt -

Kansas State - 7:00 PM ET Kansas State +3.5 500
Texas Tech -

UL Monroe - 7:00 PM ET Troy -7.5 500
Troy - Over 55.5 500

Northwestern - 7:00 PM ET Northwestern +6 500
Iowa -

Stanford - 7:30 PM ET Stanford -21 500
Washington State -

Idaho - 8:00 PM ET Idaho +1 500
New Mexico State -

Alabama-Birmingham - 8:00 PM ET Alabama-Birmingham +21.5 500
Tulsa - Over 59 500

Oklahoma - 9:15 PM ET Oklahoma -35.5 500
Kansas -

Arizona State - 10:15 PM ET Oregon -14 500
Oregon -
Always remember the 3 G's Girls,Golf, Gambling not in any particular order......:2thumbs:
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