marksmoneymakers Posts:9902 Followers:137
06/13/2013 10:05 AM

Dave Cokin

Thursday free play is Royals.

marksmoneymakers Posts:9902 Followers:137
06/13/2013 10:05 AM

ART ARONSON

This is a 1* free play on the "under" between the Kansas City Royals and Tampa Bay Rays on Thursday night (7:10 EST).

Ervin Santana (4-5, 2.99 ERA) gets the call for the visitors; Santana gave up two earned runs off five hits over seven frames to beat the Halos on Saturday. Santana walked no one and had six strikeouts. For the most part Santana has been solid this season, but like the rest of his teammates in the rotation, he is consistently the victim of poor run support. Santana will be opposed by Jeremy Hellickson (4-2, 5.18 ERA) who is coming off a gem vs. the Orioles on Saturday, surrendering just four hits with no walks over six scoreless frames of work. Like Santana, Hellickson has been decent overall this year and is 2-0 with a 4.71 ERA in front of the home town crowd thus far. The Rays have a potent lineup but face a tough task in Santana in the opener of this three-game set as he sports a very respectable 3.00 ERA on the road. I believe these starters battle into the latter frames and this total sneaks below the posted number. How about you? What do you think? Slugfest or duel?

marksmoneymakers Posts:9902 Followers:137
06/13/2013 10:05 AM

Jim Feist's FREE MLB Play for Thursday, June 13, 2013

(965) TORONTO BLUE JAYS VS (966) TEXAS RANGERS

Take: UNDER THE TOTAL.

Texas has been a good under team at home with the under 6-0 in the Rangers last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record. A weak Toronto offense comes to town, 19th in on base percentage, but at least veteran lefty Mark Buehrle is finally in a groove with a 2.37 ERA his last three starts. Texas has ace Yu Darvish (7-2, 2.75 ERA) going with 118 strikeouts in 88 innings and only 57 hits allowed! The under is 6-1-1 in the Rangers last 8 against a team with a losing record, so look for fewer runs than oddsmakers expect. Play the Blue Jays/Rangers under the total.

marksmoneymakers Posts:9902 Followers:137
06/13/2013 10:05 AM

MATT RIVERS

Matinee free play for Thursday, and it will be for Adam Wainwright and Matt Harvey to set them up, and knock them down at Citi Field as the Cardinals and the Mets hold Under the total.

This one is really as simple as it looks. Wainwright and Harvey will simply toe the slab and go at it deep into the afternoon as neither team will be able to must very many crooked digits on that scoreboard.

Let's take a look at what Wainwright has done: 6-1 on the road this year with an ERA just over 3, and 4-1 during the day with an ERA of 2.64. He has also allowed 3 runs or less in 12 of his 13 assignments this season. Doubtful the Mets reach 3 runs on him this afternoon.

Now let's take a look at Matt Harvey. Harvey has worked 4 straight starts without a decision, but is still 5-0 for the season, and his ERA is still among the best in the league at 2.10.

5 of Harvey's last 7 starts have ended up playing Under the total, and the righty has allowed 3 runs or less in 11 of his 3 starts this season. I think it is safe to assume the Cards won't get much more than 3 in this contest.

Going to look for it to be a low-scoring affair in Queens on Thursday afternoon.

Cardinals-Mets Under the total.

4* ST. LOUIS-N.Y. METS UNDER

marksmoneymakers Posts:9902 Followers:137
06/13/2013 10:06 AM

JEFF BENTON

Thursday freebie is the Yankees to avoid the sweep in Oakland.

It is clear the Athletics are for real, as Oakland is now on a 10 game home field winning streak, and they have also won their last 6 home games versus the vaunted Yankees.

My feeling is the Yanks end both streaks and avoid the ugly sweep in the process.

Hiroki Kuroda is in the midst of his longest winless stretch since coming to New York, as he is 0-3 with an over 5 ERA his last 4 trips to the mound.

Oakland counters with Jarrod Parker who has won his last 3 starts with an ERA under 2 in that span.

Sure looks like the deck is stacked against the Yankees in this one, but my gut tells me to look for New York to avoid the broom before heading down the highway for the weekend in Anaheim.

Yanks post the mild underdog win this afternoon.

1* N.Y. YANKEES

marksmoneymakers Posts:9902 Followers:137
06/13/2013 10:06 AM

CHRIS JORDAN

My free winner for Thursday is on the Baltimore Orioles, and I want you listing Kevin Gausman ONLY in this game, as the rookie is still out for his first win, and I think is in a good spot to get it against the Boston Red Sox.

Gausman, a hard-throwing righty, hasn't exactly seen his call-up the way everyone expected, as he's now 0-3 with an 8.84 ERA. The overly hyped prospect has allowed seven earned runs twice, including his last start at Tampa Bay, when he didn't get out of the fifth.

The thing is, I know he is much better than we've seen, and I know he's going to produce a stellar outing and get on the winning track at some point. So if it takes me releasing him as a free pick, so be it. Gausman is the future of this rotation, and if he were anything like his numbers, he'd already of been sent back down.

But he's not. He's better. And this is the game he should break out for the first win of his professional career. Boston arrives in Baltimore after playing three in Tampa Bay, where the Crimson Hose took two of three. And while I know the Sox have won four of their last five, the O's have won 19 of the last 26 meetings - including five of the last six in Baltimore.

Let's list the youngster and go with him once again, as I'm banking on his first win to come against the American League East division leaders.

4* BALTIMORE (Gausman only)

marksmoneymakers Posts:9902 Followers:137
06/13/2013 10:06 AM

BIG AL

Our complimentary selection for Thursday, June 13 is:

Colorado (Francis) -133 over Washington Nationals (Detwiler).

marksmoneymakers Posts:9902 Followers:137
06/13/2013 10:06 AM

POWER PLAY WINS

St. Louis Cardinals -125 over NY Mets

marksmoneymakers Posts:9902 Followers:137
06/13/2013 10:07 AM

MLB
Long Sheet

Thursday, June 12

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ST LOUIS (42 - 23) at NY METS (24 - 36) - 1:10 PM
ADAM WAINWRIGHT (R) vs. MATT HARVEY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
NY METS are 16-7 (+11.5 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 42-23 (+11.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ST LOUIS is 23-11 (+11.5 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
ST LOUIS is 8-1 (+7.7 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 7 or less this season.
ST LOUIS is 42-23 (+11.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ST LOUIS is 35-15 (+16.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
ST LOUIS is 19-4 (+14.2 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
WAINWRIGHT is 51-29 (+18.0 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field since 1997. (Team's Record)
NY METS are 20-35 (-16.9 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 24-36 (-13.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
NY METS are 13-20 (-11.0 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
NY METS are 9-16 (-10.8 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
NY METS are 24-36 (-13.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
NY METS are 15-25 (-13.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY METS is 2-4 (-0.2 Units) against ST LOUIS this season
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.1 Units)

ADAM WAINWRIGHT vs. NY METS since 1997
WAINWRIGHT is 1-4 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 6.61 and a WHIP of 1.309.
His team's record is 1-4 (-5.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-4. (-3.6 units)

MATT HARVEY vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
HARVEY is 0-1 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 5.40 and a WHIP of 1.800.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

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CINCINNATI (40 - 26) at CHICAGO CUBS (25 - 38) - 2:20 PM
MAT LATOS (R) vs. JEFF SAMARDZIJA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 319-329 (+51.2 Units) against the money line in road games after a win since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 81-44 (+19.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 139-94 (+23.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 67-49 (+14.7 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 304-326 (+34.2 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 55-31 (+16.3 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 139-94 (+23.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 456-507 (+46.3 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters since 1997.
LATOS is 33-14 (+14.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LATOS is 33-14 (+14.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CHICAGO CUBS are 52-86 (-22.9 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 12-27 (-12.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 86-139 (-36.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 686-656 (-154.8 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 198-243 (-65.5 Units) against the money line in June games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 7-21 (-12.3 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 692-717 (-135.7 Units) against the money line in day games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 86-139 (-36.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 59-100 (-28.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 10-2 (+6.5 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
8 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.7 Units)

MAT LATOS vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
LATOS is 4-2 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 2.91 and a WHIP of 1.200.
His team's record is 5-2 (+2.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-4. (-2.1 units)

JEFF SAMARDZIJA vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
SAMARDZIJA is 1-2 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 2.55 and a WHIP of 1.135.
His team's record is 1-3 (-1.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (-0.2 units)

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WASHINGTON (32 - 32) at COLORADO (35 - 31) - 3:10 PM
ROSS DETWILER (L) vs. JEFF FRANCIS (L)
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 212-181 (+26.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 20-7 (+12.0 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 104-90 (+23.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 172-220 (-48.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 94-104 (-29.5 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 28-49 (-20.9 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 172-220 (-48.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 24-49 (-24.0 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
FRANCIS is 2-16 (-15.1 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 1-1 (+0.8 Units) against COLORADO this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

ROSS DETWILER vs. COLORADO since 1997
DETWILER is 0-2 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 8.00 and a WHIP of 2.111.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

JEFF FRANCIS vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
FRANCIS is 1-2 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 4.81 and a WHIP of 1.373.
His team's record is 5-2 (+3.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-2. (+2.8 units)

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SAN FRANCISCO (33 - 31) at PITTSBURGH (39 - 26) - 7:05 PM
MATT CAIN (R) vs. CHARLIE MORTON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 327-341 (+46.0 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
PITTSBURGH is 39-26 (+16.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 23-11 (+10.9 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 38-26 (+17.5 Units) against the money line in June games over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 39-26 (+16.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
PITTSBURGH is 24-16 (+8.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 32-19 (+16.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 33-22 (+15.3 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 61-51 (+11.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 138-104 (+25.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 138-102 (+27.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 86-60 (+21.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 495-490 (+44.2 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 2-0 (+2.0 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.1 Units)

MATT CAIN vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
CAIN is 2-2 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 3.10 and a WHIP of 1.066.
His team's record is 6-3 (+1.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-4. (+0.4 units)

CHARLIE MORTON vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
MORTON is 2-3 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 3.07 and a WHIP of 1.227.
His team's record is 2-5 (-2.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-7. (-7.1 units)

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NY YANKEES (37 - 28) at OAKLAND (40 - 27) - 3:35 PM
HIROKI KURODA (R) vs. JARROD PARKER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
OAKLAND is 40-27 (+12.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
OAKLAND is 71-41 (+28.8 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 13-4 (+10.3 Units) against the money line in home games in June games over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 40-24 (+15.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
OAKLAND is 89-59 (+38.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 27-12 (+16.4 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
OAKLAND is 68-55 (+23.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
PARKER is 17-9 (+8.9 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
NY YANKEES are 44-20 (+18.9 Units) against the money line in June games over the last 3 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 26-12 (+14.7 Units) against the money line in road games in day games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 4-1 (+3.6 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.6 Units)

HIROKI KURODA vs. OAKLAND since 1997
KURODA is 1-2 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 4.12 and a WHIP of 1.118.
His team's record is 1-2 (-2.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-2. (-1.4 units)

JARROD PARKER vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
PARKER is 1-0 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 1.13 and a WHIP of 0.750.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.1 units)

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BOSTON (41 - 26) at BALTIMORE (37 - 29) - 7:05 PM
FELIX DOUBRONT (L) vs. KEVIN GAUSMAN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 110-119 (-29.5 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 42-52 (-21.0 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 92-107 (-38.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 74-87 (-28.2 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 37-29 (+7.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BALTIMORE is 56-41 (+18.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 24-14 (+12.5 Units) against the money line as a home underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 65-49 (+11.4 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 18-8 (+10.6 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 59-46 (+23.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 120-86 (+44.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 15-6 (+8.5 Units) against the money line in home games in night games this season.
BALTIMORE is 38-28 (+13.0 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 19-9 (+10.2 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
BALTIMORE is 19-11 (+8.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BOSTON is 21-9 (+10.8 Units) against the money line on the road with a money line of -100 to -125 over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 20-12 (+8.8 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
BOSTON is 13-6 (+7.7 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters this season.
DOUBRONT is 8-2 (+7.8 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 2-1 (+1.5 Units) against BOSTON this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.8 Units)

FELIX DOUBRONT vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
DOUBRONT is 0-2 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 2.70 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 1-2 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-3. (-3.2 units)

KEVIN GAUSMAN vs. BOSTON since 1997
No recent starts.

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KANSAS CITY (30 - 33) at TAMPA BAY (35 - 30) - 7:10 PM
ERVIN SANTANA (R) vs. JEREMY HELLICKSON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 29-29 (+14.5 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 2-0 (+2.1 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.1 Units)

ERVIN SANTANA vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
SANTANA is 5-6 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 5.47 and a WHIP of 1.418.
His team's record is 5-8 (-3.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-8. (-4.3 units)

JEREMY HELLICKSON vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
HELLICKSON is 1-0 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 2.79 and a WHIP of 1.345.
His team's record is 2-1 (+0.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-1. (+1.0 units)

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TORONTO (28 - 36) at TEXAS (38 - 27) - 8:05 PM
ESMIL ROGERS (R) vs. YU DARVISH (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 9-19 (-10.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
TORONTO is 60-82 (-24.1 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 62-33 (+18.4 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 2-1 (+1.0 Units) against TEXAS this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.7 Units)

ESMIL ROGERS vs. TEXAS since 1997
ROGERS is 0-0 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 2.25 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)

YU DARVISH vs. TORONTO since 1997
DARVISH is 2-1 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 3.12 and a WHIP of 1.077.
His team's record is 2-2 (-1.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-3. (-2.4 units)

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PHILADELPHIA (31 - 35) at MINNESOTA (29 - 33) - 8:10 PM
CLIFF LEE (L) vs. KEVIN CORREIA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 51-62 (-20.5 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 112-116 (-25.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 14-25 (-15.1 Units) against the money line in June games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 9-19 (-12.3 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 112-113 (-22.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 16-9 (+9.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
MINNESOTA is 37-26 (+17.2 Units) against the money line in June games over the last 3 seasons.
CORREIA is 23-17 (+10.7 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CORREIA is 14-5 (+10.1 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CORREIA is 23-17 (+10.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CORREIA is 63-49 (+28.7 Units) against the money line in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
CORREIA is 14-6 (+9.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MINNESOTA is 79-113 (-34.2 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 73-90 (-35.0 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Thursday since 1997.
MINNESOTA is 79-113 (-34.2 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 2-0 (+2.1 Units) against PHILADELPHIA this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.0 Units)

CLIFF LEE vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
LEE is 8-4 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 3.64 and a WHIP of 1.281.
His team's record is 11-8 (+4.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 11-8. (+2.5 units)

KEVIN CORREIA vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
CORREIA is 1-2 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 9.98 and a WHIP of 2.674.
His team's record is 2-2 (+0.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+0.8 units)

marksmoneymakers Posts:9902 Followers:137
06/13/2013 10:08 AM

If I have time after work I will post a few more. Got to pack tonight because we are leaving for vacation right after work on Friday. Really looking forward to it, but of course will miss this place while I am gone. BTB has become part of my everyday life. Good Luck Everybody!!