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steve_janus
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Monday's MLB Free Pick: Indians/Rangers OVER 10.5

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On 06/10/2013 11:35 AM in Cappers
Cleveland vs. Texas, 06/10/2013 20:05
Total: -111/+10½ Over

Monday's MLB Free Pick: Indians/Rangers OVER 10.5

There should be plenty of offense in tonight's showdown between the Indians and Rangers. Cleveland will send out Scott Kazmir, who is a miserable 0-3 with a 6.66 ERA and 1.808 WHIP in three road starts. Texas will counter with Josh Lindblom, who will be making just his second career start. In his first big league start he allowed 4 runs on 7 hits and 2 walks over just 4 and 2/3 innings of work. Cleveland hasn't been hitting all that well of late, but this is the kind of starter who can get them out of their funk.

Believe it or not, Cleveland actually comes in averaging more runs/game. The Indians sit at 4.8 runs/game, while the Rangers average 4.5. Given the lack of starting pitching that we will see in this game, there's no reason not to expect both of these teams to put up big numbers.

The Over is 23-12 in the Indians last 35 road games after scoring 2 runs or less in their last game and an even better 12-4 in their last 16 following a 10-game span where they hit .240 or worse. The OVER is also 30-19 after two straight games where the bullpen gave up no runs and 12-2 over their last 14 games when they enter with a bullpen that has thrown 13+ innings over the last 3 games. BET THE OVER!

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