marksmoneymakers Posts:19675 Followers:140
On 06/08/2013 08:53 AM in MLB

Some Saturday MLB Helpful Information

Chicago Syndicate (Nice 2-0 sweep on Friday)
Top Afternoon Plays
A's/White Sox Under 8.5
Orioles/Rays Over 8.5

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marksmoneymakers Posts:19675 Followers:140
06/08/2013 08:54 AM

MLB Top 5

Rebounding MLB Starting Pitchers

We take a look at five MLB starting pitchers that are off to strong starts after disappointing 2012 campaigns.

Jason Marquis, San Diego Padres (7-2, 3.73)

Starter money: $658

Marquis has been bouncing around from team to team for the past couple seasons, but is now finding his groove in San Diego. The righty is one of the most profitable starters early in the season and bettors can always find value when he takes the hill for the Friars. Marquis has been an underdog in 10 of his 12 starts.

Justin Masterson, Cleveland Indians (8-4, 3.57)

Starter money: $607

Masterson is enjoying a breakout season after posting an 11-15 record with a 4.93 ERA last campaign. The Indians are 9-4 in his 13 starts to date and his success can be attributed to a new pitch in his repertoire. The righty was mainly a two-pitch hurler prior to this season. He threw a fastball or changeup 95 percent of the time but has added a slider for 2013. Masterson is throwing the new pitch over 25 percent of the time and is getting significantly more ground-ball outs.

Jeremy Guthrie, Kansas City Royals (6-3, 3.66)

Starter money: $426

Since being dealt to the Royals in July, 2012, Guthrie has been a completely different pitcher. After many losing seasons as a member of the Orioles, the righty is finally profitable for bettors. Guthrie went 5-3 after joining Kansas City in 2012 and is off to a 6-3 start this year. Guthrie is usually an underdog in most of his starts, adding value for bettors.

Cliff Lee, Philadelphia Phillies (7-2, 2.45)

Starter money: $298

Lee’s 6-9 2012 campaign burned many bettors after the lefty built a reputation of being one of the top hurlers in the bigs. Lee has returned to form and the streaking Phillies are 8-4 in his 12 starts to date.

John Lackey, Boston Red Sox (3-5, 2.79)

Starter money: -$423

Lackey missed the entire 2012 campaign due to Tommy John surgery after allowing 114 earned runs in 2011 – the highest total in the American League. The righty seems to have righted the ship early this year, regaining the velocity on his fastball while mastering his ability to keep the ball down. His 3-5 record isn’t quite indicative of the way he’s thrown, but he's still fade material until Boston can win consistently when he starts.

All stats prior to action Friday.

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marksmoneymakers Posts:19675 Followers:140
06/08/2013 08:55 AM

Five MLB Betting Tips for Bettors to Consider

A recent article in the Reno Gazette highlighted some great baseball betting tips from professional bettors.

We thought it would be a good idea to pass along this insight to our readers:

1) Check ground ball, fly-ball and line-drive rates on Fangraphs dot com

Line drives produce 1.26 runs/out, fly balls produce 0.13 R/O, and ground balls produce only 0.05 R/O, according to the site. Place your bets according to the tendencies of the starting pitchers in any given game.

2) Determine a team’s effectiveness against right-handed and left-handed pitchers.

This seems simple, but is sometimes overlooked by bettors. For example, the New York Mets have the most left-handed hitters on their roster in the bigs (7) and are 27th in team batting average (.221) against left-handed pitchers. That's no coincidence.

3) Playing the underdog in a team’s first game back home after a long road trip.

Because home teams are usually favored in baseball, situational handicapper Marco D’Angelo says he’s had success betting the dog in this situation. This is also known as the dreaded letdown spot to bettors.

4) Betting rookie pitchers before September.

The handicapper in the article believes rookie pitchers have a distinct advantage in their first outing against any given team and bettors can usually grab them at a good price. Successful and profitable rookie pitchers early this season include: Matt Harvey (Mets), Shelby Miller (Cardinals), Hyun-Jin Ryu (Dodgers).

5) Betting a pitcher when facing his former team for the first time.

Another situational betting tip that is based on a revenge factor. Bettors are banking on a pitcher in this spot to have inside knowledge of the batters' tendencies and to bring a little something extra to the table against his former club

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marksmoneymakers Posts:19675 Followers:140
06/08/2013 08:57 AM

Strong Starters, Weak Bullpen Make Cubs a Great In-Game Bet

It’s been extremely difficult to find a reason to bet the Chicago Cubs for a very long time, but they're excelling in one particular betting area this season.

The Cubs have a +33 run differential in the first five innings of games, a stat that is very valuable to in-game bettors.

A major reason for the impressive early numbers is the success of the club’s starting pitchers. Chicago boasts three starters with ERAs under 3.00 – Travis Wood, Jeff Samardzija and Scott Feldman.

The bullpen is a different story, making Chicago fade material for in-game bettors in the late innings.

The Cubs have only converted 10 of their 23 save opportunities to date and have an ugly -35 run differential from the sixth inning on. The bullpen’s lofty 4.33 ERA ranks 25th in the bigs.

Chicago is 24-34 straight up and has a 27-29-2 over/under record heading into action Saturday.

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marksmoneymakers Posts:19675 Followers:140
06/08/2013 08:58 AM

MLB: Cleveland vs. Detroit
Picketroit Start:June 8, 2013 - 4:08 PM Capper:Will Rogers Offered at:5dimes @ -123 Detroit Analysis:

The Cleveland Indians haven't been playing well lately, nor have they played well at Comerica Park in Detroit the last several seasons. Therefore, after the Tribe lost Friday's opener to the Tigers 7-5, I don't think it's really going out on any kind of limb here to expect the home team to prevail once again.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Homefield Advantage - This is a big one. The Indians have lost 30 of their last 39 games in Detroit. They have also lost nine in a row overall away from Progressive Field. The Tigers are now 20-10 at home this year, averaging nearly six runs/game. They are batting over .300 as a team here at Comerica.

2. Indians Slumping - Cleveland has lost five in a row and 13 of its last 17. Probably not a team you want to be on right now.

3. X-Factor - While the Indians' Justin Masterson has a better ERA than the Tigers' Rick Porcello, that doesn't tell the full story. Porcello has pitched better lately as Masterson was roughed up for seven runs by the Yankees earlier this week. Masterson's ERA on the road is 5.12. Porcello allowed zero runs in eight innings his last start here at home.

Selection - The play is on the Detroit Tigers (1*).

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marksmoneymakers Posts:19675 Followers:140
06/08/2013 08:58 AM

MLB: Cleveland vs. Detroit
Picketroit Start:June 8, 2013 - 4:08 PM Capper:Will Rogers Offered at:5dimes @ -123 Detroit Analysis:

The Cleveland Indians haven't been playing well lately, nor have they played well at Comerica Park in Detroit the last several seasons. Therefore, after the Tribe lost Friday's opener to the Tigers 7-5, I don't think it's really going out on any kind of limb here to expect the home team to prevail once again.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Homefield Advantage - This is a big one. The Indians have lost 30 of their last 39 games in Detroit. They have also lost nine in a row overall away from Progressive Field. The Tigers are now 20-10 at home this year, averaging nearly six runs/game. They are batting over .300 as a team here at Comerica.

2. Indians Slumping - Cleveland has lost five in a row and 13 of its last 17. Probably not a team you want to be on right now.

3. X-Factor - While the Indians' Justin Masterson has a better ERA than the Tigers' Rick Porcello, that doesn't tell the full story. Porcello has pitched better lately as Masterson was roughed up for seven runs by the Yankees earlier this week. Masterson's ERA on the road is 5.12. Porcello allowed zero runs in eight innings his last start here at home.

Selection - The play is on the Detroit Tigers (1*).

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marksmoneymakers Posts:19675 Followers:140
06/08/2013 08:58 AM

MLB

Hot pitchers
-- Samardzija is 2-1, 1.78 in his last four starts.
-- Harvey has a 2.63 RA in his last seven starts.
-- Latos is 1-0, 2.19 in his last couple starts. Lyons is 2-1, 2.66 in his first three MLB starts.
-- Kendrick is 2-0, 2.40 in his last couple starts.
-- Stults is 2-1, 1.24 in his last four starts.
-- Medlen is 1-1, 3.27 in his last four starts..

-- GGonzalez has a 2.41 RA in his last five starts.

-- Darvish is 1-1, 2.60 in his last four starts.
-- Porcello has a 1.93 RA in his last couple starts.
-- Buchholz is 2-0, 1.67 in his last four starts. Red Sox are 3-0 at home with Doubront (1-0, 4.66), scoring 23 runs.
-- Milone is 3-0, 4.32 in his last four starts.
-- Bedard is 1-0, 2.63 in his last four starts.
-- Saunders is 4-1, 2.48 in his six home starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Burnett is 0-4, 4.15 in his last six starts.
-- Fernandez is 2-3, 6.75 in his last five road starts.
-- Gorzelanny is making first '13 start; he is 45-45, 4.34 in 111 career starts, but made only one the last two years- he has a 2.01 ERA in 22.1 IP in his 24 relief appearances this season.
-- Francis is 1-2, 5.19 in his last five starts.
-- Cahill is 0-2, 6.16 in his last three starts. Bumgarner is 0-3, 7.03 in his last four outings.
-- Fife allowed five runs in ten IP in his first two starts.

-- Correia is 1-2, 5.70 in his last four starts.

-- Buehrle is 1-2, 4.32 in his last four starts.
-- Masterson is 1-2, 6.38 in his last three starts.
-- Hellickson has a 6.66 RA in his last eight starts. Gausman is 0-2, 7.20 in three starts this season.
-- Danks is 0-2, 6.19 in three starts this season.
-- Angels lost last three Hanson starts (0-1, 5.19). Wilson is 1-4, 4.95 in his last six starts.
-- Royals lost last six Santana starts (0-4, 4.14).
-- Pettitte is 1-3, 6.19 in his last six starts.

Starting Pitchers/First Inning
You can wager on whether teams will score in first inning. Below is how often a starting pitcher has allowed 1+ runs in first inning in one of his starts........
-- Burnett 3-13; Samardzija 5-12
-- Fernandez 2-11; Harvey 3-12
-- Lyons 1-3; Latos 4-12
-- Kendrick 5-12; Gorzelanny 0-0
-- Stults 2-12; Francis 4-8
-- Bumgarner 0-12; Cahill 4-12
-- Medlen 3-12; Fife 1-2

-- Correia 4-11; Gonzalez 4-12

-- Darvish 5-11; Buehrle 4-12
-- Masterson 3-13; Porcello 2-10
-- Milone 5-12; Danks 1-3
-- Gausman 1-3; Hellickson 7-12
-- Hanson 2-6, Wilson 4-12; Doubront 2-9, Buchholz 1-11
-- Pettitte 2-9; Saunders 3-12
-- Bedard 5-10; Santana 7-12

Totals
-- Four of last five Miami games went over the total.
-- Seven of last eight St Louis games went over the total.
-- Ten of last thirteen Arizona games went over the total.
-- Three of last four Milwaukee games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last nine Colorado games went over the total.
-- Last three Atlanta games stayed under the total.

-- Four of last five Washington games stayed under total.

-- Five of last six Toronto games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last nine Detroit home games stayed under total.
-- Four of last six Tampa Bay home games went over the total.
-- Over is 7-2-1 in last ten games at Fenway Park.
-- Seven of last nine Oakland games stayed under total.
-- Nine of last thirteen Houston games stayed under total.
-- Five of last six Bronx road games stayed under the total.

Hot teams
-- Cardinals won six of their last seven road games.
-- Arizona won five of its last seven games.
-- Phillies won five of their last six games.
-- Colorado won five of its last seven games.
-- Atlanta won 15 of its last 21 games, but scored one run in its last two games. Dodgers won last six home games, scoring 29 runs.

-- Minnesota won seven of its last ten games, but lost last two.

-- Blue Jays won three of their last four games.
-- Detroit won three of its last four games.
-- Tampa Bay won nine of its last twelve games. Orioles won six of their last nine games.
-- A's won 18 of their last 21 games.
-- Boston won nine of its last 13 games.
-- Royals won their last three games, allowing six runs.
-- Bronx won four of its last five games. Seattle is 5-3 in last eight road tilts.

Cold teams
-- Pirates lost five of their last seven games. Cubs lost four of their last five.
-- Miami lost its last ten road games, outscored 60-26. Mets lost four of their last five games.
-- Cincinnati lost four of their last five games.
-- Brewers lost 17 of their last 24 games.
-- Giants lost seven of their last ten games.
-- San Diego lost five of its last seven road games.

-- Nationals lost five of their last seven games.

-- Cleveland lost its last nine games on foreign soil.
-- Angels lost five of their last six games.
-- Rangers lost six of their last seven road games.
-- White Sox lost ten of their last eleven games.
-- Astros lost three of their last four games.

Umpires
-- Pitt-Chi-- Underdogs are 7-5 in last dozen Demuth games.
-- StL-Cin-- Over is 5-2-1 in last eight Estabrook games.
-- Phil-Mil-- Favorites won 12 of last 15 Carlson games.
-- SD-Col-- Seven of last ten Joyce games stayed under total.
-- SF-Az-- Over is 6-3-1 in last ten Layne games.
-- Atl-LA-- Home teams won last four Bucknor games.

-- Tex-Tor-- Favorites won nine of last ten Dreckman games.
-- Cle-Det-- Six of last eight Fletcher games stayed under total.
-- A's-Chi-- Home teams won ten of last twelve Hoye games.
-- Balt-TB-- Favorites won six of last eight Barksdale games.
-- NY-Sea-- Underdogs won seven of last ten Diaz games.
-- Hst-KC-- Six of last seven Gonzalez games went over total.

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marksmoneymakers Posts:19675 Followers:140
06/08/2013 08:59 AM

Baseball Crusher

Philadelphia Phillies -102 over Milwaukee

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marksmoneymakers Posts:19675 Followers:140
06/08/2013 09:00 AM

Today's MLB Picks
San Francisco at Arizona

The Diamondbacks send Trevor Cahill to the mound and look to take advantage of a San Francisco team that is 0-6 in its last 6 road games against a right-handed starter. Arizona is the pick (-110) according to Dunkel, which has the Diamondbacks favored by 2 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-110). Here are all of today's picks.

SATURDAY, JUNE 8
Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST

Game 901-902: Miami at NY Mets (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Fernandez) 14.892; NY Mets (Harvey) 14.403
Dunkel Line: Miami by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-210); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (+180); Over

Game 903-904: Pittsburgh at Chicago Cubs (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Burnett) 14.485; Cubs (Samardzija) 15.868
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-120); No Run Total
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+100); N/A

Game 905-906: St. Louis at Cincinnati (7:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Lyons) 16.573; Cincinnati (Latos) 14.376
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 2; 9
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-150); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+130); Over

Game 907-908: Philadelphia at Milwaukee (7:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Kendrick) 14.106; Milwaukee (Gorzelanny) 15.503
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-115); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-115); Under

Game 909-910: San Diego at Colorado (7:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Stults) 16.372; Colorado (Francis) 15.402
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1; 11
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 911-912: San Francisco at Arizona (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Bumgarner) 14.735; Arizona (Cahill) 17.072
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 2 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Arizona (-110); 8
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-110); Under

Game 913-914: Atlanta at LA Dodgers (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Medlen) 15.689; LA Dodgers (Fife) 16.525
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-145); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (+125); Over

Game 915-916: Texas at Toronto (1:07 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Darvish) 15.717; Toronto (Buehrle) 14.259
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Texas (-150); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-150); Under

Game 917-918: Cleveland at Detroit (4:08 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Masterson) 14.382; Detroit (Porcello) 16.336
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 2; 8
Vegas Line: Detroit (-130); 9
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-130); Under

Game 919-920: Oakland at Chicago White Sox (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Milone) 15.819; White Sox (Danks) 13.971
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 2; 9
Vegas Line: Oakland (-130); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-130); Over

Game 921-922: Baltimore at Tampa Bay (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Gausman) 15.800; Tampa Bay (Hellickson) 17.100
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-135); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-135); Under

Game 923-924: NY Yankees at Seattle (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Pettitte) 15.795; Seattle (Saunders) 14.223
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-135); 8
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-135); Over

Game 925-926: Houston at Kansas City (7:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Bedard) 15.289; Kansas City (Santana) 16.675
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-180); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (-180); Under

Game 927-928: LA Angels at Boston (7:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Wilson) 16.129; Boston (Buchholz) 15.038
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1; 9
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 929-930: Minnesota at Washington (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Correia) 14.371; Washington (Gonzalez) 15.752
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Washington (-175); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-175); Under

Game 931-932: LA Angels at Boston (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Hanson) 15.783; Boston (Doubront) 15.348
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1/2; 11
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

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marksmoneymakers Posts:19675 Followers:140
06/08/2013 09:57 AM

POWER PLAY WINS

Detroit -129 over Cleveland

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