06/04/2013 04:52 PM
2 UNIT = Toronto Blue Jays @ San Francisco Giants - BLUE JAYS TO WIN (+120)
Listed Pitchers: Johnson vs Lincecum
(Note: I’m risking 2.00 units to win 2.40 units)
The Toronto Blue Jays and San Francisco Giants both avoided a sweep on Sunday with a victory, and both enjoyed days off yesterday. The Blue Jays beat San Diego on Sunday 7-4 and are now 24-33 on the season and 10-17 on the road. The Giants beat St Louis 4-2 and are 30-27 on the season and 20-10 at home. These two teams had a two game set in Toronto in May with the Blue Jays winning both games by scores of 10-6 and 11-3. Tonight’s starter for Toronto is Josh Johnson who is coming off a DL stint. Johnson is 0-1 with a 6.86 ERA this year, .329 OBA and 1.88 WHIP over just 4 starts. Johnson had posted sub 4.00 ERA’s in his last 5 seasons and it is only a matter of time before he starts to pitch well. He has been working on a new change up and that should help him. Tim Lincecum is on the mound for San Francisco and is 3-5 on the year with a 5.12 ERA, .259 OBA and 1.48 WHIP over 11 starts. After a pretty good April Lincecum struggled going 1-4 with a 6.37 ERA in May. Over his last three starts he has allowed 6, 4, and 5 earned runs against. Note that the Giants are just 1-5 in their last 6 interleague games, 0-4 in their last 4 vs AL East opponents, and 1-4 in Lincecum’s last 5 starts. At +120 we’ve got value on Toronto tonight and I think they come out with a victory in Game 1 of this two game set.