cnotes Posts:23750 Followers:32
10/16/2011 05:33 PM

MLB
Long Sheet


Sunday, October 16

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ST LOUIS (96 - 76) at MILWAUKEE (101 - 71) - 4:05 PM
EDWIN JACKSON (R) vs. SHAUN MARCUM (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 86-77 (-27.9 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 25-30 (-13.2 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
ST LOUIS is 93-87 (-23.1 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 102-71 (+21.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 58-28 (+24.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
MILWAUKEE is 62-25 (+29.5 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 35-10 (+20.9 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
MILWAUKEE is 21-8 (+12.6 Units) against the money line when playing on Sunday this season.
MILWAUKEE is 54-32 (+15.3 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
MILWAUKEE is 25-7 (+16.4 Units) against the money line in home games in day games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 102-71 (+21.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
MILWAUKEE is 83-51 (+25.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
MILWAUKEE is 23-9 (+12.0 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss this season.
ST LOUIS is 97-77 (+3.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ST LOUIS is 32-21 (+14.2 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 3 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 49-38 (+12.0 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
ST LOUIS is 96-75 (+3.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ST LOUIS is 77-55 (+9.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
ST LOUIS is 26-15 (+13.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
JACKSON is 11-2 (+10.2 Units) against the money line in road games after a win over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MILWAUKEE is 15-23 (-12.3 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MARCUM is 6-12 (-10.1 Units) against the money line in home games this season. (Team's Record)
MARCUM is 6-12 (-10.1 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 12-11 (+1.1 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
11 of 20 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.8 Units)

EDWIN JACKSON vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
JACKSON is 2-2 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 4.21 and a WHIP of 1.459.
His team's record is 3-3 (+0.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-3. (-1.3 units)

SHAUN MARCUM vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
MARCUM is 1-2 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 5.10 and a WHIP of 1.300.
His team's record is 2-3 (-1.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-2. (-0.3 units)

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MLB


Sunday, October 16

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Cardinals at Brewers - Game 6: What bettors need to know
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St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers (-130, 8.5)

St. Louis leads series 3-2

THE STORY: The St. Louis Cardinals can’t seem to get a starter into the sixth inning during the National League Championship Series. But with the bullpen cruising right along, that hasn’t mattered. Cardinals relievers lowered their ERA to 1.66 in the series with 4 1/3 scoreless innings in Game 5, helping St. Louis to a 7-1 victory and a 3-2 lead in the series. Despite the hole, the Milwaukee Brewers can be confident with the series shifting back to Miller Park on Sunday for Game 6.

TV: 4:05 p.m. ET, TBS

WEATHER: The forecast for Miller Park is calling for winds of speeds up to 13 mph, blowing west out to center field. However, the elements could be shutout if the roof is closed.

PITCHING MATCHUP: Cardinals RH Edwin Jackson (0-0, 4.15 ERA) vs. Brewers RH Shaun Marcum (0-1, 11.25 ERA).

Jackson made it through 4 1/3 innings in Game 2, allowing two runs on seven hits before giving way to the bullpen in an eventual 12-3 St. Louis win. The righthander’s lone mistake was a two-run homer surrendered to Rickie Weeks in the fourth.

Marcum was not quite as effective in Game 2. The 29-year old was touched for five runs in four innings and had a hard time retiring Albert Pujols, who homered and hit a two-run double off Marcum. In his last three starts including the regular season, Marcum has a 12.83 ERA.

ABOUT THE CARDINALS: Part of the reason St. Louis had such a large deficit to overcome down the stretch was because the bullpen blew 26 saves during the regular season, most of them in the first half. Things have been different in the NLCS, as manager Tony La Russa has used his bullpen for at least 12 outs in each game. Milwaukee threatened to rally in the eighth inning on Friday but La Russa got through Ryan Braun, Prince Fielder and Weeks with three different relievers.

ABOUT THE BREWERS: Milwaukee has gotten only one quality start of its own - a Game 4 win from Randy Wolf - and came out flat in Game 5. The Brewers committed four errors, leading to three unearned runs off starter Zack Greinke. Owner of the best home record in baseball during the regular season, Milwaukee has ace Yovani Gallardo set up for Game 7 if it can find a way to squeeze out a win on Sunday.

TRENDS:

* Over is 4-0 in the last four meetings in Milwaukee.
* Cardinals are 4-1 in the last five meetings in Milwaukee.
* Over is 3-1-1 in the last five meetings.
* Cardinals are 9-3 in the last 12 meetings.

FINAL PITCH: The Cardinals have won five of their last seven at Miller Park, including a 12-3 victory in Game 2.


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MLB


Sunday, October 16

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Hot lines: Sunday's best MLB bet
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St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers (-130, 8.5)

The Brewers can only hope that Shaun Marcum's most recent starts are the aberration as opposed to the rule. In two outings (one each against Arizona and St. Louis), the veteran right-hander has pitched 8 2/3 innings, allowing 14 hits and 12 earned runs while striking out just four batters.

In Game 2, the previous contest between Marcum and Cardinals' starter Edwin Jackson, St. Louis dominated 12-3.

There is, however, reason to think that things could be different on Sunday. Marcum also got rocked in his first regular-season effort against the Cardinals, but his second and third attempts were far more fruitful. Both resulted in quality starts, including a seven-inning shutout at Miller Park on August 30.

"We've got to win and try to force a Game 7, so all I'm really focused on right now is going out there and making pitches and try and get the ball to the bullpen," Marcum said. "If I can get the ball to Sammy (Takashi Saito), Frankie (Francisco Rodriguez), [and] John Axford with the lead, I think we're doing something right."

At the same time, Jackson--who lasted just 4 1/3 innings in Game 2--has not exactly been lights out against Milwaukee. The big-hitting Crew have not spared Jackson, pasting him for 26 hits and 14 runs in 20 innings over three starts this season.

Pick: Brewers


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