Detroit looks to tie up ALCS on Monday
at TEXAS RANGERS
ALCS Game 2 - Texas leads series 1-0
First pitch: Monday, 4:15 p.m. EDT
Line: Texas -145, Detroit +135, Total: 9
The Tigers look to even things up in Texas on Monday afternoon when the rain-soaked ALCS resumes.
Game 2 was originally scheduled for Sunday but was washed out. The pitching matchup is a very even one with Detroit’s Max Scherzer, a 27-year-old who struggled on the road in 2011, facing Rangers lefty Derek Holland, a 25-year-old who didn’t pitch well at home this year. Because the pitching matchup is so even, and the fact that Scherzer’s past four starts against the Rangers were Tiger wins, DETROIT is the pick. The FoxSheets have a three-star trend backing the Tigers:
Play On - All underdogs with a money line of +100 to +150 (DETROIT) - terrible speed team - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game on the season, after scoring 2 runs or less. (177-140 over the last 5 seasons, 55.8%, +73.6 units. Rating = 3*).
Scherzer (15-9, 4.43 ERA in the regular season) has been inconsistent throughout his career, but he was excellent against the Yankees in the ALDS. He threw a gem in Game 2 at Yankee Stadium: six shutout innings, allowing two hits (and four walks) while striking out five. He also threw a solid 1.1 innings of relief in Game 5; he gave up a run only because Joaquin Benoit let an inherited runner score.
Prior to the ALDS, Scherzer had been shaky on the road at the end of the regular season. Over the last two months of the year, he made five road starts and made it past the fifth just once, going 1-2 with a 5.67 ERA, but fanning 32 in those 27 innings.
Scherzer has faced the Rangers six times in his career (once when he was still with Arizona), going 3-0 with a 3.41 ERA. He didn’t pitch well in a win in Arlington in June, allowing five runs in five innings, but held the Rangers to two runs over six innings in an August home start.
Holland (16-5, 3.95 ERA during the regular season) won his Game 2 start against the Rays in the ALDS, but it wasn’t a masterpiece. He allowed three runs (one earned) and eight base runners over five innings, striking out only two. He was good in a relief appearance in Game 4, getting four outs while giving up just a single.
Holland has been up-and-down all year in Arlington where, including the ALDS win, he’s 9-2 but has a 4.53 ERA and 1.57 WHIP. The lefty is currently on a hot streak at home though, winning five straight decisions while posting a 2.33 ERA during these eight outings. He’s made just one career start against the Tigers, in September 2010. He allowed four runs (one earned) over four innings in that outing.
Some good news for Holland: He won’t be facing Magglio Ordonez (ankle), who is out for remainder of the playoffs. The Tigers were already without ALDS hero Delmon Young, who has owned Holland over his career (6-for-12, two home runs).