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Some Sunday MLB Helpful Information

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On 05/19/2013 08:16 AM in MLB
Sunday Night Baseball Tigers at Rangers
by Steve Merril

The Detroit Tigers and Texas Rangers take the spotlight this week on Sunday Night Baseball.

Detroit Tigers at Texas Rangers (-115, 9)


Doug Fister has been stellar for the Tigers, going 5-1 with a 3.06 ERA on the year. He'll face a Texas team that hit him up for nine runs over 4 1/3 innings in their only meeting last year. The righty has made four road starts this season and he's 1-1 in those games. He got shelled in Washington in the shortest start of his career giving up five runs and eight hits in three innings. Fister has benefited from seeing Houston in two of his last three starts, snagging a victory at home and a no-decision on the road.


Derek Holland is 3-2 with a 2.93 ERA this season. He has pitched well in May going 2-0 with a 2.18 ERA. The southpaw hasn't had many problems pitching at home this year, going 1-1 with a 1.57 ERA in three starts there. Holland has shown incredible control walking just three batters in his last four starts. Last year he picked up a no-decision against the Tigers after giving up one run and three hits while striking out nine in a 2-1 Rangers victory.


The Tigers are almost completely healthy as a team. They are without Austin Jackson, who is on the disabled list with a strained right hamstring and Octavio Dotel, who is dealing with right elbow inflammation. The list is a bit longer for the Rangers. Their lineup is relatively intact as AJ Pierzynski is dealing with a strained right oblique muscle. He will return hopefully on Tuesday for their game against the Athletics. The Texas pitching staff is a different story. Matt Harrison, Alexi Ogando, Colby Lewis and Neftali Feliz are all out of the rotation while Joakim Soria has not pitched yet out of the team's bullpen. Those pitchers are expected to be back at varying times between May and August.


Tigers are 50-22 in their last 72 Sunday games
Tigers are 6-2 in Fister's last eight starts
Rangers are 37-18 in their last 55 Sunday games
Rangers are 35-16 in Holland’s last 51 home starts


Torii Hunter 10-for-34 vs. Holland
Miguel Cabrera 0-for-5 vs. Holland
Elvis Andrus 4-for-22 vs. Fister
Nelson Cruz 7-for-16 vs. Fister
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05/19/2013 08:17 AM
Braves Pitchers Stellar at Home, Poor on the Road

The Atlanta Braves have only played 15 of their first 41 games at home and have a ton of contests coming up at Turner Field.

That’s important for bettors to know because Braves pitchers have been dominant at home early and not so impressive away from the friendly confines of Turner Field.

Atlanta pitchers boast a 2.71 ERA at home and are holding opposing hitters to a .222 batting average. Conversely, Braves hurlers have a combined 4.06 ERA away from the Peach State and the opposition is hitting a much better .264 against them.

No pitcher exemplifies this trend better than staff ace Tim Hudson. The veteran righty is 3-0 in four home starts with a 2.84 ERA, but has struggled mightily on the road with a 1-3 record and 7.36 ERA.

Bettors have been cashing in on Atlanta’s 16-9-1 over/under mark away from home, but that number stabilizes to a more modest 8-7 O/U at Turner Field.

Atlanta hitters have blasted 22 homers in the club’s 15 home games to date and have driven in 67 runs. The offensive outburst is a major reason why the under isn’t cashing during Atlanta’s home games despite it getting solid pitching.

The Braves only play five (three in New York and two in Toronto) of their next 18 games away from Turner Field.

All stats prior to action Saturday.
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05/19/2013 08:17 AM
Chicago Syndicate

MLB Total of the Month - Cardinals/Brewers Over 8.5

Top - Nationals, Mariners, Yankees

Reg - Reds, Rangers
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05/19/2013 08:18 AM

Hot pitchers
-- Pettibone is 2-0, 2.89 in his last three starts. Bailey has a 2.95 RA in his last three road starts.
-- Minor is 2-0, 2.18 in his last three starts.
-- Wood is 3-1, 2.14 in his last five starts.
-- Cashner is 1-0, 1.23 in his last couple starts. Haren is 3-1, 3.00 in his last four outings.

-- Locke is 2-0, 2.40 in his last five starts.

-- FHernandez is 4-0, 1.02 in his last six starts. Masterson is 2-0, 1.69 in his last couple starts.
-- Tampa Bay is 8-0 when Moore starts (2-0, 5.06 last three). Tillman is 3-0, 1.87 in his last five starts.
-- Griffin is 2-1, 2.18 in his last three starts.
-- Peavy is 4-0, 2.10 in his last five starts. Vargas is 2-1, 2.73 in his last four.
-- Holland is 2-0, 2.18 in his last three starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Nolasco is 0-3, 5.50 in his last three starts. Miley is 1-2, 6.62 in his last three starts.
-- Magill is 0-0, 6.92 in three starts (Dodger bullpen lost all three).
-- Lohse is 0-3, 4.63 in his last four starts. Gast allowed four runs in six IP in his first MLB start, but Cardinals won anyway, 10-4.
-- Gee is 1-2, 6.75 in his last four starts.
-- Zito is 0-2, 17.25 in three road starts (3-0, 0.55 at home). Nicasio is 0-1, 6.00 in his last three starts.

-- Harrell is 0-2, 9.64 in his last three starts.

-- Dickey is 1-3, 5.52 in his last five outings. Sabathia is 1-2, 4.31 in his last five starts.
-- Lackey is 0-3, 7.16 in his last three starts. PHernandez has a 9.95 RA in his last three starts.
-- Mendoza is 1-1, 7.00 in his last three starts.
-- Fister is 2-1, 4.80 in his last five starts.

Starting Pitchers/First Inning
You can wager on whether teams will score in first inning. Below is how often a starting pitcher has allowed 1+ runs in first inning in one of his starts........
-- Miley 1-8; Nolasco 4-9
-- Bailey 2-8; Pettibone 0-5
-- Magill 1-3; Minor 2-8
-- Lohse 3-8 (3 of last 4); Gast 0-1
-- Gee 2-8; Wood 1-8
-- Haren 0-8; Cashner 2-5
-- Zito 1-8; Nicasio 5-8

-- Harrell 1-9; Locke 3-8

-- FHernandez 1-9; Masterson 2-9
-- Dickey 3-9; Sabathia 4-9
-- Moore 3-8 (3 of last 3, 7 runs); Tillman 1-8
-- Lackey 2-5; PHernandez 2-5
-- Peavy 1-7; Vargas 0-8
-- Mendoza 1-4; Griffin 0-8
-- Fister 1-8; Holland 0-8

-- Seven of Cubs' last nine games went over the total.
-- Nine of last twelve Cincinnati games went over total; six of last nine Philly games stayed under.
-- Under is 7-2-1 in last ten Arizona games.
-- Over is 8-3-1 in last twelve Atlanta games.
-- Under is 6-3-1 in last ten Milwaukee games.
-- Last seven Colorado games went over the total.
-- Three of Padres' last four games went over the total.

-- Under is 5-1-1 in Pittsburgh's last seven games.

-- Under is 4-2-1 in last seven Cleveland games.
-- Under is 6-2-1 in last nine Bronx games; nine of last 12 Blue Jay games went over the total.
-- Over is 18-2 in last twenty Tampa Bay games.
-- All three Holland home starts stayed under the total.
-- Six of last nine Boston road games stayed under total.
-- Six of last seven Oakland games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last eight Angel home games went over total.

Hot teams
-- Cubs won five of their last seven games.
-- Reds won seven of their last eight games. Phillies won four of six.
-- Braves won three in a row at home, scoring 20 runs.
-- Diamondbacks won nine of their last twelve games.
-- Cardinals won seven of their last ten games.
-- Washington won seven of its last eleven road games.

-- Pirates won seven of their last nine games.

-- Cleveland won ten of its last thirteen games.
-- Bronx won nine of its last twelve games.
-- Tampa Bay won eight of its last ten games.
-- Rangers won eight of their last ten games.
-- Boston won its last four games, allowing twelve runs.
-- A's won six of their last nine home games.
-- White Sox won five of their last seven games.

Cold teams
-- Mets lost seven of their last nine games.
-- Marlins lost last seven games, outscored 37-11.
-- Dodgers lost their last five away games, allowing 27 runs.
-- Brewers lost eight of their last ten games.
-- San Francisco lost four of its last five games. Rockies lost seven of their last eleven games, won last two.
-- Padres lost five of their last eight games.

-- Astros lost eight of their last ten games.
-- Mariners are 7-14 in their last 21 road games.
-- Blue Jays lost five of their last seven road games.
-- Baltimore lost five of its last six games.
-- Detroit is 5-8 in its last thirteen road games.
-- Twins are 4-9 in their last thirteen home games.
-- Royals lost nine of their last twelve games.
-- Angels lost five of their last seven games.

-- NY-Chi-- Under is 12-3-1 in last sixteen Baker games.
-- Cin-Phil-- Seven of last ten TWelke games went over the total.
-- Az-Mia-- Under is 15-4-1 in last twenty O'Nora games.
-- LA-Atl-- Seven of last eight Porter games went over total.
-- Mil-StL-- Home side won seven of last eight TBarrett games.
-- SF-Col-- Seven of last eight LBarrett games went over total.
-- Wsh-SD-- Favorites won 12 of last 14 Reyburn games.

-- Hst-Pitt-- Seven of last ten Tichenor games stayed under total.

-- Sea-Cle-- Underdogs won five of last seven Wegner games.
-- Tor-NY-- Visiting team won 11 of last 14 Holbrook games.
-- TB-Balt-- Home side won six of last seven Knight games.
-- Chi-LA-- Favorites won last eight Hirschbeck games.
-- Bos-Min-- Underdogs are 8-6 in last fourteen Fairchild games.
-- Det-Tex-- Under is 8-3-1 in last twelve Cuzzi games.
-- KC-A's-- Over is 10-6-1 in last seventeen Blaser games.
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05/19/2013 11:10 AM
Today's MLB Picks
Detroit at Texas

The Tigers look to bounce back from yesterday's 7-2 loss and take advantage of a Texas team that is 3-7 in Derek Holland's last 10 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in the previous game. Detroit is the pick (+100) according to Dunkel, which has the Tigers favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+100). Here are all of today's picks.

Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST

Game 901-902: Arizona at Miami (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Miley) 15.439; Miami (Nolasco) 12.998
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 2 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Arizona (-155); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-155); Under

Game 903-904: Cincinnati at Philadelphia (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Bailey) 15.289; Philadelphia (Pettibone) 16.130
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-135); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+115); Over

Game 905-906: LA Dodgers at Atlanta (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Magill) 14.842; Atlanta (Minor) 16.336
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-200); 8
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-200); Under

Game 907-908: Milwaukee at St. Louis (2:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Lohse) 15.582; St. Louis (Gast) 14.642
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1; 9
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-140); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+120); Over

Game 909-910: NY Mets at Chicago Cubs (2:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Gee) 14.983; Cubs (Wood) 14.502
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-155); No Run Total
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+135); N/A

Game 911-912: Washington at San Diego (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Haren) 16.764; San Diego (Cashner) 15.771
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1; 6
Vegas Line: San Diego (-125); 7
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+105); Under

Game 913-914: San Francisco at Colorado (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Zito) 14.547; Colorado (Nicasio) 15.835
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1 1/2; 12
Vegas Line: Colorado (-120); 11
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-120); Over

Game 915-916: Seattle at Cleveland (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Hernandez) 15.893; Cleveland (Masterson) 14.934
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1; 6
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-115); 7
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+105); Under

Game 917-918: Toronto at NY Yankees (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Dickey) 15.298; NY Yankees (Sabathia) 17.087
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-140); 8
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-140); Under

Game 919-920: Tampa Bay at Baltimore (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Moore) 15.547; Baltimore (Tillman) 16.636
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-120); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+100); Over

Game 921-922: Boston at Minnesota (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Lackey) 13.638; Minnesota (Hernandez) 14.194
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Boston (-120); 10
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+100); Under

Game 923-924: Chicago White Sox at LA Angels (3:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Peavy) 15.368; LA Angels (Vargas) 14.217
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1; 9
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-115); 8
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-105); Over

Game 925-926: Kansas City at Oakland (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Mendoza) 14.641; Oakland (Griffin) 14.125
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Oakland (-160); 8
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+140); Over

Game 927-928: Detroit at Texas (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Fister) 16.005; Texas (Holland) 15.023
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Texas (-120); 9
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+100); Under

Game 929-930: Houston at Pittsburgh (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Harrell) 14.197; Pittsburgh (Locke) 15.697
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-200); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-200); Under
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05/19/2013 11:11 AM
StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets


Play Against - All teams with a money line of -100 to -150 (CINCINNATI) good offensive team - scoring >=4.8 runs/game on the season (NL), after a win by 8 runs or more
36-18 over the last 5 seasons. ( 66.7% 24.0 units )
3-3 this year. ( 50.0% 0.3 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends™ - FoxSheets


LA DODGERS are 18-7 (+15.9 Units) against the money line in Road games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.00 or better over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was: LA DODGERS (4.2) , OPPONENT (3.1)
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