05/08/2013 04:19 PM
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MLB | May 08 '13 (7:05p)
Oakland A's vs Cleveland Indians Oakland A's
+105 at BMaker
15* AL Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on Oakland A's +105
After losing the first two games of this series to Cleveland, the Oakland A's will be highly motivated for a victory Wednesday in Game 3. I like their chances of getting a win considering the edge they have on the mound in this one.
A.J. Griffin is a much better starter than he gets credit for, going 3-2 with a 3.79 ERA and 1.211 WHIP in six starts this season. He has never faced Cleveland, which is a huge advantage for him.
Justin Masterson got off to a fast start this year, but he has really come back down to reality, going 0-1 with an 8.31 ERA in his last two starts. Masterson is 1-5 with a 10.36 ERA and 2.128 WHIP in six career starts against Oakland. He gave up 19 earned runs over 14 2/3 innings in three starts against the A's in 2012.
The A's are 9-0 in Griffin's last 9 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. Oakland is 17-5 in Griffin's last 22 starts overall. The A's are 7-2 in Griffin's last 9 starts as a road underdog. Bet Oakland Wednesday.
MLB | May 08 '13 (7:10p)
Chicago White Sox vs New York Mets Chicago White Sox
-113 at 5dimes
15* Interleague Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Chicago White Sox -113
The Chicago White Sox have a big edge on the mound tonight. After losing to the Mets 1-0 last night behind a brilliant effort from Matt Harvey, I look for them to bounce back in Game 2 behind Jake Peavy.
The former Cy Young winner has returned to form over the past couple of seasons. Peavy is 3-1 with a 3.37 ERA and 1.125 WHIP in five starts this year, including 2-0 with a 2.18 ERA and 1.064 WHIP in his last three starts. He is also 5-2 with a 3.48 ERA in 10 career starts against New York.
Jeremy Hefner is no match for Peavy. The right-hander is 0-3 with a 4.34 ERA in five starts and one relief appearance in 2013. In fact, the Mets are 0-6 in games that he has appeared in this season. I look for that trend to continue tonight. Take the White Sox Wednesday.
MLB | May 08 '13 (8:10p)
Texas Rangers vs Milwaukee Brewers Texas Rangers
+106 at 5dimes
15* Interleague Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on Texas Rangers +106
The Texas Rangers should not be an underdog to the Milwaukee Brewers tonight. After losing Game 1 of this interleague series to the Brewers 3-6, I look for the Rangers to bounce back behind red hot starter Derek Holland.
The left-hander has been dominant this season, going 2-2 with a 2.74 ERA and 0.937 WHIP over six starts in 2013. While Kyle Lohse is off to a decent start this season for Milwaukee, he is 3-3 with a 7.28 ERA and 1.766 WHIP in 10 career starts against Texas.
Holland is 15-3 (+11.4 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. The Rangers are 69-27 in their last 96 games following a loss. The Brewers are 0-6 in their last 6 interleague games as a favorite of -110 to -150. Roll with the Rangers Wednesday.
MLB | May 08 '13 (8:40p)
New York Yankees vs Colorado Rockies New York Yankees
+121 at BetOnline
15* Yankees/Rockies Interleague No-Brainer on New York +121
The New York Yankees are showing solid value as a road underdog to the Colorado Rockies tonight. After losing Game 1 of this interleague series 2-0, I look for them to bounce back with a victory in Game 2.
Juan Nicasio is getting way too much respect from oddsmakers tonight. He is 3-0 despite a 4.91 ERA and 1.534 WHIP through six starts this season. Nicasio has also posted a 5.79 ERA and 1.501 WHIP in two home starts this year.
Colorado is 1-11 (-11.7 Units) against the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse over the last 2 seasons. The Yankees are 6-0 in their last 6 during game 2 of a series. The Yankees are 4-0 in David Phelps' last 4 starts. The Rockies are 0-6 in their last 6 games following a win. These four trends combine for a 27-1 system backing New York. Take the Yankees Wednesday.