marksmoneymakers Posts:19434 Followers:140
On 05/08/2013 06:07 AM in MLB

Some Wednesday MLB Helpful Information

MLBPredictions / Kevin

2 UNIT = Los Angeles Angels @ Houston Astros - ASTROS TO WIN (+131)
Listed Pitchers: Blanton vs Norris
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 2.62 units)

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marksmoneymakers Posts:19434 Followers:140
05/08/2013 06:08 AM

MLB

Hot pitchers
-- Leake is 2-1, 2.92 in his last four starts.
-- Westbrook is 1-0, 2.00 in his last three starts.
-- Kershaw is 1-0, 1.80 in his last three starts. Miley is 2-1, 3.09 in six starts this season.
-- Giants are 4-0 in Zito home starts (3-0, 0.36-- one run/26 IP). Pettibone is 2-0, 3.17 in three starts this season.

-- Burnett is 3-0, 1.80 in his last four starts.
-- Zimmerman is 5-1, 1.64 in six starts this season. ASanchez is 3-2, 2.04.
-- Peavy is 2-0, 2.18 in his last three starts, but missed his last two turns due to an injury. Hefner is 0-1, 1.80 in his last couple starts.
-- Holland is 2-2, 2.95 in six starts this season.

-- FHernandez is 3-0, 0.90 in his last four starts. Tillman is 2-0, 1.31 in his last three starts.
-- Tampa Bay is 6-0 when Moore starts (5-0, 1.95).
-- Norris is 1-0, 2.25 in his last couple home starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Minor is 0-1, 5.93 in his last couple starts.
-- Villanueva is 0-2, 6.17 in his last two starts.
-- Marquis has a 6.23 RA in his last three starts. Nolasco is 2-2, 5.25 in his last four starts.

-- Lohse is 0-2, 4.50 in his last couple starts.
-- Nicasio has a 6.17 RA in his last five starts. Phelps allowed four runs in 5.2 IP in his first '13 start.

-- Griffin is 1-2, 6.50 in his last three starts. Masterson is 1-2, 6.48 in his last four starts.
-- Mendoza is 0-0, 6.30 in two starts this season.
-- Webster allowed three runs in six IP in his first '13 start. Hernandez has a 4.70 RA in three starts this season.
-- Romero allowed three runs in four IP in his first '13 start.
-- Angels are 0-6 when Blanton starts (0-5, 6.49).

Starting Pitchers/First Inning
You can wager on whether teams will score in first inning. Below is how often a starting pitcher has allowed 1+ runs in first inning in one of his starts........
-- Minor 1-6; Leake 2-6
-- Westbrook 1-5; Villanueva 3-6
-- Nolasco 3-7; Marquis 2-6
-- Pettibone 0-3; Zito 0-6
-- Miley 1-6; Kershaw 0-7

-- FHernandez 0-7; Burnett 2-7
-- ASanchez 1-6; Zimmerman 1-6
-- Peavy 1-5; Hefner 2-5
-- Holland 0-6; Lohse 1-6
-- Phelps 0-1; Nicasio 3-6

-- Griffin 0-6; Masterson 2-7
-- Mendoza 1-2; Tillman 1-6
-- Romero 0-1; Moore 1-6
-- RHernandez 0-3; Webster 1-1
-- Blanton 4-6; Norris 2-7

Totals
-- Nine of last twelve Atlanta games went over the total.
-- Over is 5-2-1 in last eight games at Wrigley Field.

-- Over is 12-3-1 in last sixteen Dodger games.
-- Nine of last thirteen Philly road games stayed under the total.

-- Nine of last eleven Pittsburgh games went over the total.
-- Three of last four Detroit games went over the total.
-- Five of last six White Sox games stayed under total.
-- Eight of last eleven Texas games stayed under the total; seven of Brewers' last eight games went over.
-- Six of last seven Colorado games went over the total.

-- Six of last nine Cleveland home games went over the total.
-- Over is 5-2-1 in last eight Kansas City games.
-- Over is 5-2-1 in the last eight games at Fenway Park.
-- Last nine Tampa Bay games went over the total.
-- Six of Angels' last eight games went over the total.

Hot teams
-- Reds won eleven of their last thirteen home games.
-- Cardinals won six of their last seven games.
-- Padres won ten of their last thirteen games.
-- Arizona won three of its last four games.
-- San Francisco won ten of last fourteen home games, but lost last two.

-- Pirates won five of their last seven home games.
-- Detroit won nine of its last ten games. Nationals won four of last five.

-- Indians won eight of their last nine games.
-- Red Sox won six of their last seven home games.
-- Baltimore won six of its last eight home games.
-- Toronto won its last three games, scoring 24 runs.

Cold teams
-- Braves lost nine of their last twelve games.
-- Cubs lost 11 of their first 17 home games.
-- Marlins lost 13 of their 18 road games.
-- Dodgers lost eight of their last eleven home games.
-- Phillies lost seven of their last eleven games, but won last two.

-- Seattle lost its last two games, outscored 14-3.
-- Mets lost seven of their last ten games. White Sox lost six of their last nine.
-- Milwaukee lost five of its last six games. Texas is 4-6 in its last ten games.
-- Bronx lost three of its last four games. Colorado lost five of its last eight home games.

-- Oakland lost eight of its last eleven road games.
-- Tampa Bay lost five of its last seven games.
-- Royals lost their last two games, scoring four runs.
-- Twins are 4-9 in their last thirteen road games.
-- Houston lost six of its last seven games. Angels lost eight of last ten.

Umpires
-- Atl-Cin-- Under is 10-3-2 in last fifteen Danley games.
-- StL-Chi-- Favorites won ten of last twelve Fletcher games.
-- Mia-SD- Underdogs are 21-18 in last 39 Bell games.
-- Az-LA-- 12 of last 15 Meals games went over the total.
-- Phil-SF-- Under is 10-4-1 in last 15 Bellino games; favorites won his last six games behind the dish.

-- Sea-Pitt-- Under is 5-1-1 in last seven Schrieber games.
-- Chi-NYM-- Under is 8-1-1 in last ten Carlson games.
-- Tex-Mil-- Seven of last eight Timmons games went over the total.
-- NYY-Colo-- Nine of last twelve Guccione games went over the total.

-- A's-Clev-- Seven of last ten Tumpane games went over the total.
-- KC-Balt-- Favorites won 12 of last 15 Miller games.
-- Min-Bos-- Underdogs are 5-2 in last seven Hickox games; five of his last six games went over the total.
-- Tor-TB-- Six of last nine Barry games went over the total.
-- LAA-Hst-- Visiting teams won last five BWelke games.

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marksmoneymakers Posts:19434 Followers:140
05/08/2013 06:32 AM

Headed to work, back with more around 4:00

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marksmoneymakers Posts:19434 Followers:140
05/08/2013 04:12 PM

Profit Bets VIP Card 5/8/13

MLB
Braves +1.5

Mariners ML

Cardinals ML

Padres ML

Orioles ML

Rays ML

Brewers ML

Rockies ML

Diamondbacks +1.5

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marksmoneymakers Posts:19434 Followers:140
05/08/2013 04:12 PM

Three hot over pitchers on the bump Wednesday

The over has been on fire in May and Wednesday features three solid candidates to top the total in their starts. Here's a look at three pitchers who take a combined 14-2 over/under record to the bump Wednesday.

Mike Leake, Cincinnati Reds (2-1, 4.15 ERA, 6-0 O/U)

The Reds righty is second in the majors with a 6-0 over/under record this season. By no means has Leake been awful. He brings a respectable 4.15 ERA into his start Wednesday and has two quality starts on the year. The over trend can be attributed to the Reds supplying him with an excellent six runs per start.

Leake will start against the Atlanta Braves Wednesday. He pitched eight solid innings and gave up just one earned run in his lone start versus Atlanta in 2012.

Jake Westbrook, St. Louis Cardinals, (2-1, 1.07 ERA, 4-1 O/U)

Westbrook has been downright amazing this season and brings sparkling 1.07 ERA into his start Wednesday. He is another pitcher who gets great run support during his starts. The Cards provide Westbrook with 4.40 runs per start. But it is the Cards' bullpen that has spoiled a lot of Westbrook's outings. The Cardinals bullpen is last in the majors with a 5.45 ERA.

Westbrook gets the ball against the Chicago Cubs Wednesday. In three starts versus the Cubs last season, he gave up five earned runs in 19 innings.

Pedro Hernandez, Minnesota Twins, (1-0, 3.92 ERA, 4-1 O/U)

Hernandez is coming off a rough outing versus the Cleveland Indians on May 3. He gave up five earned runs in 5 1-3 innings of work. The young right-hander has yet to post a quality start on the year and has yet to go deeper than five innings.

Hernandez is slated to take the mound versus the Boston Red Sox Wednesday. In his lone start in 2012, as a member of the Chicago White Sox, Hernandez gave up eight earned runs in four innings versus the Red Sox.

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marksmoneymakers Posts:19434 Followers:140
05/08/2013 04:12 PM

Rewards: 29,163 [Donate]
MLB Top 4: Biggest day/night differences in baseball

With most teams having played roughly 30 games so far this season, we have a large enough sample size to start looking closer at split stats and how that info can help with our MLB bets.

Here's a look at four teams with a huge difference between their performance in day games and night games.

Successful day teams:

Kansas City Royals

10-4 day, 7-7 night

The Royals are a top team in the American League when it comes to playing day games. Kansas City's pitching staff has a 2.62 ERA in day games, good enough for second in the AL. Compare that with a 4.04 ERA in night games and the disparity is glaring.

Their batting average in day games is .279 against .256 at night. The light-hitting Royals have just 16 homers on the year and just six of those came with the sun shining.

The Royals' next early start will be versus the New York Yankees at home on May 12 with Ervin Santana slated to pitch against Hiroki Kuroda. The Yankees are currently 6-6 in day games.

Minnesota Twins

10-6 day, 3-9 night

The Minnesota Twins are the worst night team in the majors at 3-9 but are a respectable 10-6 in day games.

Pitching has let the Twins down when they play under lights. Their 5.24 ERA in night games is third worst in the AL. They have fanned just 60 batters in their 13 night games. That's 44 less than anybody else.

Day games are a different story. Their ERA is 2.98 under the sun and they have walked just 35 batters in 133 innings pitched.

The Twins' next day game will be versus the Baltimore Orioles at home on May 12. The O's currently boast an 8-5 day record.

Successful night teams:

Colorado Rockies

13-5 night, 6-8 day

The Rockies average roughly a full run more when they play under the lights. They have crossed the plate 107 times in 19 night games and they are third in the majors with a .284 batting average in night games.

Colorado opens a three-game series with the Chicago Cubs on May 13. All three games will be under the lights. The Cubbies are currently 7-8 in night games.

Texas Rangers

16-5 night, 4-7 day

There is no bigger disparity between night and day records then what the Texas Rangers have. The scorching heat in Arlington usually leads to a vastly superior night record for the Rangers.

The Rangers are batting .274 in night games compared to just .242 in their day games. Pitchers will also perform more comfortably in the evenings. The Rangers' ERA is 2.89 at night and almost a full run more at 3.87 during the day.

Texas is back in Arlington for a four-game series versus the Detroit Tigers on April 16.

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marksmoneymakers Posts:19434 Followers:140
05/08/2013 04:13 PM

Gamblers Data

Free Play Wednesday

Angels/Astros under 9.5

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marksmoneymakers Posts:19434 Followers:140
05/08/2013 04:13 PM

Today's MLB Picks

LA Angels at Houston

The Astros look to take advantage of an Angels team that is 0-5 in Joe Blanton's last 5 starts as a favorite. Houston is the pick (+120) according to Dunkel, which has the Astros favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Houston (+120). Here are all of today's picks.

WEDNESDAY, MAY 8
Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST

Game 951-952: Atlanta at Cincinnati (12:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Minor) 16.187; Cincinnati (Leake) 14.990
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-110); 8
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-110); Over

Game 953-954: St. Louis at Chicago Cubs (2:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Westbrook) 16.577; Cubs (Villanueva) 15.294
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-115); No Run Total
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-115); Under

Game 955-956: Miami at San Diego (3:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Nolasco) 15.311; San Diego (Marquis) 15.051
Dunkel Line: Miami by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: San Diego (-150); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (+130); Over

Game 957-958: Philadelphia at San Francisco (3:45 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Pettibone) 14.549; San Francisco (Zito) 15.539
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-155); 8
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-155); Under

Game 959-960: Arizona at LA Dodgers (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Miley) 15.023; LA Dodgers (Kershaw) 16.573
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-170); 6
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-170); Under

Game 961-962: Oakland at Cleveland (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Griffin) 16.119; Cleveland (Masterson) 15.282
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-130); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+110); Over

Game 963-964: Kansas City at Baltimore (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Mendoza) 16.356; Baltimore (Tillman) 15.250
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-150); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+130); Over

Game 965-966: Minnesota at Boston (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Hernandez) 15.360; Boston (Webster) 15.756
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 967-968: Toronto at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Romero) 15.210; Tampa Bay (Moore) 16.545
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-180); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-180); Under

Game 969-970: LA Angels at Houston (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Blanton) 12.444; Houston (Norris) 13.467
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-140); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+120); Over

Game 971-972: Seattle at Pittsburgh (12:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Hernandez) 14.720; Pittsburgh (Burnett) 15.416
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-110); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-110); Under

Game 973-974: Detroit at Washington (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Sanchez) 17.202; Washington (Zimmermann) 16.087
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Washington (-115); 7
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-105); Over

Game 975-976: Chicago White Sox at NY Mets (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Peavy) 14.427; NY Mets (Hefner) 14.977
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-120); 7
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+100); Over

Game 977-978: Texas at Milwaukee (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Holland) 14.445; Milwaukee (Lohse) 14.910
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-110); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-110); Under

Game 979-980: NY Yankees at Colorado (8:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Phelps) 14.467; Colorado (Nicasio) 15.541
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Colorado (-130); 10
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-130); Under

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marksmoneymakers Posts:19434 Followers:140
05/08/2013 04:14 PM

Joe Wiz

Free Play Wednesday Colorado/Yankess Under 10

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marksmoneymakers Posts:19434 Followers:140
05/08/2013 04:14 PM

ROB VINCILETTI

On Wednesday night the Free MLB System play is on Washington. Game 974 at 7:05 eastern. The Tigers fit a negative system that has cashed 10 of times playing against certain road teams off a road favored win by 5 or more runs at 140 or higher, vs an opponent like the Nationals who return home off a road win. Washington has tore up American League teams scoring over 8 runs per game and hitting .352 During Inter league play. They are 4-1 in May and take on a Detroit team that has lost both times as a short road dog. Zimmerman makes the start for Washington and he has slightly better numbers this year that his Counter part Annibal Sanchez. The Nationals have the 3rd Best Home era in the league. Look for Washington to take the Opener.

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