Saturday's MLB weather watch: rain in Atlanta
Saturday's game between the Mets and Braves in Atlanta could be postponed due to rain in the forecast.
Here's the rest of the notable weather for Saturday's MLB action:
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs (+115, 7)
Site: Wrigley Field
There's a 20 percent chance of rain at Wrigley.
Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (+125, 7)
Site: PNC Park
The wind will blow in from center field at 12 mph.
New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves (-132, 8)
Site: Turner Field
There's a 100 percent chance of precipitation as rain showers are in the forecast in Atlanta.
Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals (NA)
Site: Kauffman Stadium
There's a 30 percent chance of rain in Kansas City
Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers (-142, 9.5)
Site: Ballpark in Arlington
The wind will blow out to right field at 13 mph. The under was 5-2 in 2012 in Arlington when the wind blew out to right field.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giants (NA)
Site: AT&T Park
The wind will blow out to left field at 11 mph. The Giants were 3-0 at home in 2012 when the wind blew out to left field.
Three big winners, three big losers pitching on Saturday
Here's a look at three starters on Saturday who have made $1,360 for bettors this year, and three who have cost $1,300.64:
Patrick Corbin, Arizona Diamondbacks (3-0, 1.91 ERA, $518.21 in five starts)
Corbin has been stellar and his bullpen has been just as helpful. Corbin has allowed only seven earned runs in five starts, while Arizona relievers have given up only three runs after Corbin left the mound.
Kevin Correia, Minnesota Twins (3-1, 2.23 ERA, $337.23 in five starts)
Correia and the 12-12 Twins have cashed three times as heavy underdogs this season against the more public Rangers, Angels and Tigers. He's given up only nine runs in five starts and has walked only five batters.
Julio Teheran, Atlanta Braves (1-0, 5.08 ERA, $504.56 in five starts)
The Braves are 5-0 when Teheran is pitching, and his high ERA has made him an underdog three times, cashing twice against Washington at +126 and +115. Atlanta's bats have given Teheran an average of 6.2 runs of support in his starts.
Stephen Strasburg, Washington Nationals (1-4, 3.13 ERA, -$459.84 in six starts)
The only win on the board for the Nationals with their ace on the mound came on opening day against the lowly Marlins, when Washington was a -249 favorite. The Nats are giving Strasburg only 1.8 runs of support, below its 27th-ranked average of 3.48 runs per game.
David Price, Tampa Bay Rays (1-2, 5.21 ERA, -$427.01 in six starts)
Price has given up six home runs in April and 16 in all of 2013. The bats are struggling for him as well, producing only 3.6 runs per game in his starts, compared to the team's 4.19 season average.
Cole Hamels, Philadelphia Phillies (1-3, 4.78 ERA, -$413.79 in six starts)
Hamels has improved from his early-season struggles. He has a 2.33 ERA in his last four starts. But the struggling Phillies have provided an average of only 2.25 runs in those starts, below the team's season average of 3.69 runs per game.
MINNESOTA -109 CLEVELAND (1PM)
COLORADO +115 TB (8PM)
Guaranteed Pick: John Ryan
Game: Baltimore Orioles at Los Angeles Angels May 4 2013 4:05PM
Prediction: Baltimore Orioles
Reason: 25* graded play on the Baltimore Orioles as they take on the LA Angels in AL MLB action set to start at 4:05 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that the Orioles will secure this road win. The Angels offense is starting to crank up and they are climbing the ranks in the majority of offensive team categories. However, their pitching remains absent from any resemblance of consistency or domination. They rank 29th with a 4.68 ERA and 29th with a 1.476 WHIP on the season. Moreover, they rank 29 with a paltry 1.68 K-BB ratio. Orioles are a solid 15-8 (+12.0 Units) against the money line in road games when facing an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game over the last 2 seasons; 12-4 (+12.0 Units) against the money line in road games when facing a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more HR's/start over the last 2 seasons; 23-5 (+20.9 Units) against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 to 1.400 over the last 2 seasons. Angels are just 5-14 (-12.0 Units) against the money line vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .265 or worse this season; 2-11 (-11.1 Units) against the money line vs. a very good bullpen whose ERA is 3.33 or better this season; 3-14 (-13.5 Units) against the money line when facing a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season. Orioles are starting the veteran Freddy Garcia, who has posted a 17-4 record with a 2.86 ERA and a 1.104 WHIP in 30 career starts against the Angels. Take the Orioles.
Don Best Consensus
The under is 7-2-1 in the Rangers last 10 home games. The under is 9-4 in Texas' last 13 Saturday games, and the under is 5-2-1 in the last 8 meetings between these two teams. On the season, the under is 2-0 in John Lackey's starts, and 4-1 in Alexi Ogando's starts.
Marco D'Angelo | MLB ML - Saturday, May 4 2013 8:10PM
ML 979 TAM (-130) Hilton vs 980 COL double-dime bet
Analysis: PLAY: TAMPA BAY
RATING: DOUBLE DIME PLAY
We cashed last night with Tampa Bay and we are going to come right back with them here. Tampa Bay is hitting the lights out of the Baseball right now as they have scored 7 or more runs in 4 of their last 5 games. Tonight they face Jon Garland who has been no mystery on the mound in his last 2 starts. He has gone 6 innings in each of his last 2 starts and in those 12 innings of work he has given up 18 hits and 6 walks. That's 24 base runners in 12 innings not something you want to do in this ballpark. Garland saw 10 of those 24 base runners come around to score. Tampa sends David Price to the mound who after going winless in his 1st 5 starts finally got the win in his last start as he went 7 innings giving up 3 runs on 6 hits while striking out 9. Even though that was Price's first win of the season it wasn't because he was pitching bad as he gave up 3 runs or less in 4 of his 6 starts this season. To add to what I feel is a huge advantage with this pitching match upon the team stats. Colorado is now 2-14 in inter league play since start of last season. Colorado is 19-42 vs lefties since the start of last season. And finally Colorado is just 3-17 as a Home Underdog of 125 or less since the start of last season.
TAKE TAMPA BAY as MARCO'S MLB SATURDAY BEST BET
8* San Diego Padres
StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets
MLB NY METS at ATLANTA
Play Against - Any team (ATLANTA) after a game where the bullpen was hit hard for 4 or more earned runs against opponent with a tired bullpen - throwing 9+ innings over the last 2 games
149-100 over the last 5 seasons. ( 59.8% 56.1 units )
3-4 this year. ( 42.9% -0.4 units )
StatFox Situational Power Trends™ - FoxSheets
MLB BALTIMORE at LA ANGELS
BALTIMORE is 46-29 (+25.2 Units) against the money line vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was: BALTIMORE (4.4) , OPPONENT (4.2)