spooky Posts:4405 Followers:305
On 05/04/2013 12:34 PM in MLB

SPOOKY EXPRESS DERBY DAY THOUGHTS

Since the weather is uncertain at this point and as I go over the field I see an excellent opportunity to get value and with the uncertain forecast makes the race even more appealing, if not more difficult to handicap.

Key Contenders:

Orb has done nothing wrong leading up to this race and there is no reason to believe he won’t fire his best shot here. He seemed to have something left in the tank in last which should have him primed for a big race. Top veteran jockey points to a lot to like.

Verrazano heads a group of five (yes five) from Todd Pletcher. He is undefeated and we all know he is being handled right. While a winner in last, I am not convinced it was that good an effort. Don’t know if it was the distance but I think he may not be at his best at ten furlongs. With that said it is awfully hard to pick against him.

Revolutionary is another out of the Pletcher stable and one that I think moves up on a wet track. Nice wide move in last and gets a jockey who knows his way around Churchill Downs (and the winners circle). Castellano picking another is a question mark and I question some of his competition but this guy would not be a surprise and I do like him to be in the mix.

Normandy Invasion ran second to Verrazano in the Wood but the way he did it has me a little excited. He closed well into a slow pace and galloped out strongly. This guy hasn’t won in a while and has trouble at the start; which in this field may not be a bad thing if he can save some ground and tuck in behind the first flight. Third off the layoff and a very talented trainer says that if he is good enough he can take it all.

Goldencents ran a real nice race in the SA Derby but it seemed to be the perfect set-up. Listen, Pitino is king of the world right now and Doug O’Neil knows how to win the big ones. Ran second to Shanghai Bobby last year and that one was a monster…tough call.

Palace Malice could move up on an off track. He’s bred for the distance and has worked well. By Curlin and adds blinkers. He’ll get a call at some time in the race and I like him in an upset possibility.

Second Tier:

Itsmyluckyday: Solid horse who may have run his best race in last…maybe he can fire again but must beat a better field along with likely more traffic in front of him.

Java’s War: Bluegrass winner has some appeal but little success at CD and a history of gate/start troubles tells me he won’t be ready when the gate opens

Vyjack: Handled grade III company and made a nice showing when stepped up to grade I
caliber horses. Since I like Normandy Invasion I like this one a little too. Use in exotics.

Mylute: Last was really nice effort but earlier races a bit too inconsistent to give me a lot of confidence in this guy. Ambitious jockey means they will be trying.

Frac Daddy: Has danced with the big boys on more than one occasion and has had very good success at CD; may like home course advantage…

Selections:

I really liked the last race of Normandy Invasion. I tend to favor horses that were moving well late in a race leading up to a stakes race. He closed into a slow pace and I think he was screaming for a little more distance. Orb is strictly the one to beat. No knock here as he seems to keep getting better and better. Revolutionary moves up on wet surface and Borel knows how to navigate this oval.

I think there are a legitimate ten (10) horses that can win this race and a lot depends on track condition, position, trip and luck. The value is ALWAYS there and I know I say this every year but if you like a horse and have your reasons, it’s a good bet.

The Bets:

Revolutionary, Palace Malice and Normandy Invasion

Playing all 3 on top and in exotics with a few others including

Orb, Frac Daddy and Itsmyluckyday.


Will throw in a few more in some trifectas and superfectas for a big price as well.

But that will be the key horses for the most part. GL

Home of the Spooky Express
Stop by to sign up for BetDSI and Bookmaker
Click here to sign up for WAGERWEB


Click here for all your fantasy sport needs:
FANDUEL.COM
DRAFTKINGS.COM


Click here for all your Amazon products:
SHOPWITHSPOOKY.COM

  • Last 7 Days Record: 64-47-3
  • Last 30 Days Record: 186-116-4
  • All Time Record: 2351-1684-51
spooky Posts:4405 Followers:305
05/04/2013 12:39 PM

A couple plays for the diamond fans.

MLB

CHICAGO CUBS/CINCINNATI REDS OVER 7 RUNS

MINNESOTA TWINS/CLEVELAND INDIANS OVER 9 RUNS

Home of the Spooky Express
Stop by to sign up for BetDSI and Bookmaker
Click here to sign up for WAGERWEB


Click here for all your fantasy sport needs:
FANDUEL.COM
DRAFTKINGS.COM


Click here for all your Amazon products:
SHOPWITHSPOOKY.COM

  • Last 7 Days Record: 64-47-3
  • Last 30 Days Record: 186-116-4
  • All Time Record: 2351-1684-51
thehitman Posts:2475 Followers:5
05/04/2013 01:14 PM

Thanks alot, Spook. GL today

Never, ever criticize someone until you have walked a mile in their shoes........for at that point they will be a mile away. And you'll have their shoes !
bobalou Posts:5055 Followers:146
05/04/2013 01:49 PM

GL With the card.. I hope the Trifectas pay off big for ya



Click here to Stop by The Home of The Spooky Express

Click here to sign up at GTBETS; and/or WAGERWEB


At my age Rolling out of Bed in the morning is easy!
Getting back up off the floor is a different story!