Pfile Nickname spooky
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04/14/2012 04:38 PM

Not much feedback on the thread this week so not sure anyone is looking for any plays. Crushed it last night, right Greek? Was out and didnt post. Have a couple for today but will sit tight for now and see what develops. Always looking for other posters thoughts and interaction on the thread. Did post some stuff on the monitor. Good Luck and headed to Chinese Buffet tonight. Woo hoo

Pfile Nickname spooky
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03/31/2012 02:49 PM

Monday's six-pack Odds and ends on the Final Four and teams that wound up as national champions........ -- Last time a #4 or lower seed won the national title was when Arizona won in 1997; they were a 10-point underdog in regional semis to Kansas. -- Of the last 25 national champs, only two won their first round game by less than 10 points; Michigan in '89, Arizona in '97. -- 8 of last 15 national champs were an underdog in at least one of their tournament games. -- Seven of last nine national champs won at least one game by 4 points or less, or in overtime. -- Favorites covered nine of the last 12 national championship games. -- 22 of last 25 national champs were a double digit favorite in the first round; only Kansas in '88 (even) wasn't favored in its first round game.

Pfile Nickname btb
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03/21/2012 01:49 PM

This is a huge blow to the Saints, With out the HC calling the offense look for a huge slide in the offense. Not to mention I dont think the defense is getting any better.... Superbowl contender to out of playoffs? I wouldnt be surprised.. @suthernsmoke - I heard the reason this was such a big hit was the NFL contacted them and said stop, they didnt listen and continued to do it for 1-2 more years... So they got smacked. Pats got caught stopped and listened....I heard that was the difference although a weak one

Pfile Nickname coverit
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03/21/2012 11:17 PM

Goodell doesn't mess around, that's for sure. http://profootballtalk.nbcsports.com/2012/03/21/goodell-lowers-boom-on-the-saints/

Pfile Nickname spooky
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03/18/2012 02:11 PM

Seems like another winning week and have not really deviated in months. Considering basketball is my weakest sport very happy to see it happening. Do not like todays games as much as earlier this weekend but will throw out a couple. MARCH MADNESS ST. LOUIS +8 FLORIDA -13 XAVIER -2 (buy pt and half) I think there will be a few lower scoring games today but not sure I want to pull the trigger. GL

Pfile Nickname spooky
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03/17/2012 01:27 PM

Guess nobody has been to New Orleans. lol

Pfile Nickname spooky
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03/17/2012 06:17 PM

If all goes well with being able to walk in a couple weeks, will be heading to Final Four and this time to New Orleans. Never been there before and looking to anyone that may know the area well enough to recommend a few nice restaurants and day trips before the tournament starts. We will be staying right in the French Quarter minutes from the Superdome. Thanks.

Pfile Nickname spooky
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03/15/2012 06:15 PM

Okay here are a couple more for tonight. Had a nice day and posted a few more plays on the monitor for my own justification. MARCH MADNESS CONNECTICUT PK -125 BAYLOR PK WICHITA STATE PK 2 Team Moneyline Parlay -140

Pfile Nickname spooky
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03/15/2012 01:11 PM

Thanks SS. Gonna go easy as we get started in the tourney and take it from there. Dont like to post too many plays although ya know I play em. So here are a couple more. All of these are also plays in my brackets. I like a few underdogs in the first round. GL MARCH MADNESS LONG BEACH STATE +5 VANDERBILT PK MARQUETTE PK 2 Team Moneyline Parlay Even Money

Pfile Nickname spooky
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03/19/2012 10:47 AM

Thursday's six-pack -- Lamar showed very little heart in a lackluster 71-59 loss to Vermont in the First Four. Catamounts will next get smoked by North Carolina. -- South Florida smothered Cal from start to finish, winning big, 65-54, a game that wasn't nearly as close as that score makes it look. Two games Wednesday weren't the least bit of fun to watch. -- Golden State is Kwame Brown's 7th NBA team; he has averaged 6.8 ppg in a very average 10-year NBA career, but guy has earned over $51M during that time. What a country. -- Bucknell went to Tucson and upset Arizona 65-54. Combined with the Cal loss in Dayton, rough night for the Pac-12. -- Illinois State made 17 of 23 3-pointers, but needed OT to win 96-93 at Ole Miss in a really fun game to watch, which is more than we could say about the games in Dayton. -- Trailblazers are truly awful; they're 1-4 on this road trip, with losses by 12-18-17-42 points. They did beat the Wizards, who are even worse.

Pfile Nickname spooky
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03/10/2012 12:57 PM

As the schedule gets less hectic and the brackets come out tomorrow night lets kick off a couple more games for today. And yes I buy a point or lay some odds where it makes sense. COLLEGE BASKETBALL FLORIDA +10 DUKE PK (moneyline) MICHIGAN +9

Pfile Nickname spooky
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03/10/2012 09:54 AM

Saturday's List of 13: Wrapping up a Sports Friday......... 13) Tough night for the Silver State, as UNLV lost 72-67 to New Mexico in the MWC tourney, after jumping out to a 12-0 lead after two minutes. At least the Rebels will still make the NCAA tournament. 12) Crosstown at the Orleans Arena, 26-6 Nevada lost to Louisiana Tech 78-73 and is now headed to a disappointing berth in the NIT. 11) Colorado will face Arizona in the Pac-12 title game in Buffaloes' first season in the league; Buffs upset Cal for second time, 70-59. 10) Cal-Santa Barbara has beaten Long Beach State in last two Big West tournament finals; the two teams meet again in this year's final. 49ers beat UCSB twice this season, but this is the one that matters most. 9) Its an old Metro Conference matchup in Big East final, as Cincinnati faces Louisville; Bearcats lead wire-to-wire in beating Syracuse, 71-68. Cardinals beat Notre Dame, who have never played in a Big East final. 8) Atlantic 14 is wide-open after top seed Temple went down to UMass; Xavier came back from down 10 at half to beat rival Dayton, 70-69. 7) For first time ever, all four top seeds made the semifinals of the Big Dozen tournament, with Michigan needing OT to nip Minnesota, 73-69. 6) Baylor beat Kansas for first time in three tries 81-72; they're playing Missouri in the Big X final, in the Tigers' last conference game before they bolt to the SEC next season. 5) Marshall showed no ill effects from winning in triple OT Thursday, as they beat Southern Miss 73-62 and will face Memphis Saturday morning for the C-USA title, playing for the fourth day in a row. 4) Ole Miss sent Tennessee to the NIT with an OT win over the Vols; Rebels play Vandy next, a team that beat them 102-76 during the season. 3) Ohio-Akron is the MAC final, as top two seeds advanced with pair of wins by a total of seven points. 2) Illinois fired Bruce Weber, Nebraska canned Doc Sadler, as coaching carousel begins to spin faster. Weber will find a new coaching job quickly if he wants one. The Nebraska job ain't an easy one; we'll find out how committed they are to basketball with their new hire. 1) Did I mention Rams got two #1's and a #2 pick to move down four spots in the draft? Tremendous move by new GM Les Snead. Reminds me of Herschel Walker trade with the USFL.

Pfile Nickname suthernsmoke
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03/09/2012 02:23 PM

Hey spook, any thoughts on louisville v. Notre Dame and florida v. Bama?

Pfile Nickname suthernsmoke
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03/08/2012 09:46 AM

Uconn -2 Penguins ML ML Parlay: Lakers, Jazz, Clippers

Pfile Nickname spooky
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03/05/2012 09:14 PM

MARCH MADNESS FAVORITES Kentucky - The unquestioned favorite in this year’s dance. But if everybody is going to tab them as champ in their bracket, does it make more sense to be a contrarian? Syracuse - The Orange didn’t look great against Louisville on Saturday and that zone allows too many offensive boards. But just one loss in Big East play? Not quite Kentucky in terms of dominance, but certainly the next best thing. North Carolina - All year long, I’ve thought the Tar Heels had the talent to cut down the nets in March. It was the toughness I questioned after Florida State. The Duke thrashing on Saturday answered that. If you wanted to go against the Kentucky grain, this wouldn’t be a bad team to pin your hopes on. Kansas - I don’t know why I’ve downgraded the Jayhawks all year. Maybe it’s the inconsistency of Tyshawn Taylor. Maybe it’s Bill Self’s penchant for underachievement in the dance. But I can’t argue with the efficiency numbers—eighth best on offensive, fourth best on defense and fourth overall. Only Kentucky and Kansas are top ten for both offensive and defensive efficiency. Ohio State - The Buckeyes got their mojo back on Sunday with a stunning victory over Michigan State in Lansing. That win marked the first time OSU had won back-to-back games since February 7. Is it enough to pull Ohio State out of their funk? I’m thinking yes. Heck, it wasn’t so long ago that everyone considered the Buckeyes a lock for a top seed. CHALLENGERS Missouri - The Tigers are among the top ten most efficient squads in the land—with the number-one offense. What they lack in size and rebounding, they make up for in generating turnovers and great shooting. Yes, Mizzou has a thin rotation…and yes, they’re vulnerable to a frontcourt-oriented team. But the right draw could see this team in the Final Four. Marquette - The Golden Eagles earned their place as a Challenger with a big win over Georgetown on Saturday. Aside from Syracuse, this is the Big East’s best squad. Yes, they’re undersized, but Marquette makes up for that with scrappiness. And when Johnson-Odom and Crowder are both playing well, this team is a tough out. Michigan State - A tough end to the regular season shouldn’t take away from the fact that the Spartans are much improved since January. Everyone knows about Draymond Green, but the real difference has been the contributions of big men Adreian Payne and Derrick Nix. Dawson and Wood have picked up their games too. Given Izzo’s penchant for tourney magic, how can you not like the Spartans? Duke - For many, the Tar Heel pounding will likely overshadow Duke’s strong stretch run. As tough as that loss was, it doesn’t change the fact that this is one of the country’s best offensive teams. The Blue Devils have had their share of disappointing runs from high seeds. Maybe it’s time for an overachieving run when one expects it. Indiana - Based on statistics, the Hoosiers are a top ten team. They’ve also been on a nice run, beating Michigan State and stopping resurgent Purdue on Sunday. Only three teams in the nation are more efficient than Indiana on offense. If they can knuckle down on defense and continuing getting balance contributions, the Hoosiers could make the Elite Eight. CONTENDERS Georgetown - Before their loss to Marquette on Saturday, many had the Hoyas as a solid Challenger for the NCAA crown, But Georgetown has won just six of its last ten. And while the Hoyas are a top-ten defensive squad, they do struggle to score—not a good flaw for a deep tourney run. That’s why I’m dropping them down to the Contender level. Florida State - Same old story for the Seminoles: tough defense, struggling offense. They managed to scrounge out enough points last year for an overachieving run. On that basis, I’ll keep them as contenders. Virginia - Am I writing the Florida State summary all over again? The two teams have nearly identical offensive and defensive efficiency ratings. The Cavaliers’ Mike Scott is a consistent force underneath. I’m guessing that between Virginia and FSU, one of these teams reaches the Sweet 16. Wisconsin - After three straight losses in early January, I wrote off the Badgers. Since then, they’re 11-3, losing to OSU, MSU and Iowa on the road. Possession-based numbers love Wisconsin—like they do every year. The slow-down offense scares me off tabbing the Badgers as Challengers, but I raised them out of the Pretender doghouse. Michigan - Michigan is one of those “could beat anyone/could lose to anyone” teams. Their unorthodox style can give teams fits—except when they’re not hitting threes. The good news is that Hardaway and Smotrycz have found their shots of late. The bad news is that Blue’s only big man, Jordan Morgan, is struggling with a sore shoulder. SLEEPERS Vanderbilt - I keep putting my faith in the Commodores…and they keep letting me down. Early in the year, I had Vanderbilt as a Scrambler. Mid-year, they were a Sleeper. I’m tempted to drop them into the ranks of Pretenders after their disappointing loss at Tennessee, but I’m going to stick with Taylor, Jenkins and Ezeli. And I’ll ignore the fact that Stallings is a regular underachiever in the dance. New Mexico - After two road losses to Colorado State and TCU, the Lobos have slipped from the national conversation. And Steve Alford’s record of underperformance in the tourney doesn’t inspire much confidence. But this team’s efficiency numbers are eerily similar to Georgetown’s. Unless they crater in the Mountain West tourney, the Lobos could be dangerous. Kansas State - The Wildcats were nowhere to be found on the early- and mid-season reports. And even though they’ve won six of their last ten games, Martin’s bunch has shown more promise, with back-to-back road wins against Baylor and Missouri. A stingy defense and strong offensive rebounding make KSU a darkhorse team to watch. Purdue - Everybody wrote off Purdue and Robbie Hummel when they were struggling through January. But the Boilermakers have been playing well down the stretch, getting great contributions from Johnson, Smith, Jackson and Byrd. A top-ten offense clicking on all cylinders makes this a squad no one wants to face. Memphis - Stats say this is the 11th best team in the land. I don’t know about that, but the Tigers have been a lot better since their early-season struggles. Since losing to Georgetown just before Christmas, Memphis is 17-3. Sure, they haven’t really beaten anyone in Conference USA. But the Tigers have a lot of weapons…and the efficiency numbers are too good to ignore. SCRAMBLERS Texas - The Longhorns have had several chances to cement their bid to the dance—and failed each time. If Texas loses or only wins one game in the Big 12 tourney, they’ll be nervous on Selection Sunday. If they sneak into the dance, the Longhorns have a hot shooter in J’Covan Brown and could surprise some people. West Virginia - The Mountaineers got a big win at South Florida, dealing a blow to the Bulls’ tourney chances. But that didn’t settle things for West Virginia. Huggins’ crew is just 4-7 in their last 11 games and might need two wins in the Big East tourney to get off the bubble. Connecticut - The Huskies got a big shot in the arm with the return of Calhoun and a win over Pitt. But this team is still just 4-9 down the stretch. UConn fans won’t be breathing easy unless the Huskies win two games in the Big East tourney. Brigham Young - How many West Coast teams will the tourney take? That’s the question for the Cougars, who didn’t help themselves by losing to Gonzaga in the conference semifinals. BYU better hope the small conference tourneys go to form; otherwise they could get a bid stolen from them. Cincinnati - With recent wins over Louisville and Marquette, the Bearcats sure look like a tourney team. But their strength of schedule is alarmingly weak (and they suffered losses to Presbyterian and Marshall). If I were a Cinci fan, I wouldn’t breathe easy until the Bearcats win at least one game in the Big East tourney. PRETENDERS Baylor - In early progress reports, Baylor was tabbed as a Challenger. But the Bears have had three chances to prove they deserve that mantle in the last month—and failed each one of them, first to Kansas, then Missouri and most recently at home against Kansas State. On paper, Baylor looks like a top team; on the court it’s a different story. Florida - The Gators will draw some interest from bracketeers because of their ability to score. But Donovan’s gang has lost three straight and is ranked a measly 100 in defensive efficiency. I like the firepower, but if you can’t get a stop when you need it, you aren’t long for this tourney world. Notre Dame - You can’t help but admire the way the Irish have overcome adversity this year, but after nine straight Big East wins, they’re coming back down to earth. A loss to St. John’s, a blowout at the hands of Georgetown and a close home win over Providence don’t inspire confidence for the dance. Neither do Mike Brey’s underperforming ways. Louisville -The Cardinals have dropped four of their last six games, scoring over 60 points only once over that span—in overtime to lowly DePaul. That’s the trouble with Louisville. They’re just the 130th most efficient offensive team in the land—and one of the worst three shooters. Defensive will only get you so far in the dance. Murray State - Contender, Pretender or Sleeper? Where do the Racers belong? They’ve got a legit go-to guy in Isaiah Canaan and they’re one of only three one-loss teams in D-1. But Murray State has played a powderpuff schedule. My guess is that they’ll bag a five or six seed and struggle to get out of the first round. BEST OF THE REST Temple - Temple has been flying under the all year, largely because of the weakness of the A-10 conference. But the Owls have won 13 of their last 14. And they have wins against Wichita State, Duke and St. Louis. Come to think of it, maybe I’m still selling Temple short. St. Mary's - The Gaels’ recent performance looks pretty sketchy. But their recent losing spate came when guard Matthew Dellavedova was hurting. Just like Gonzaga, the Mountain West tourney will tell us a lot about St. Mary’s. Whether they win are lose, the Gaels have a lot of the pieces you see in a Cinderella. Gonzaga - With a convincing win over BYU in the West Coast tourney, the Zags look to be peaking at the right time. Of course, Monday’s conference championship game will tell just how hot these Zags are. If Gonzaga loses, I might be tempted to make them a Sleeper over St. Mary’s. Either way, both West Coast teams will be tourney trouble for someone. Wichita State - If you believe in efficiency ratings, the Shockers are one of the top ten teams in the country. But they lost the MVC tourney to 87th best Illinois State. That scares me. This will be a tough pick for people. The Shockers will get a top-five seed and a favorable first round match-up…but can they make something happen? UNLV - I’ve had UNLV as a Sleeper and a Pretender. The Running Rebels are beginning to settle into their natural expectations, having split their last eight games. Moser and Stanback are a solid one-two punch, but the Mountain West isn’t exactly a Cinderella conference. I’m relegating UNLV to the Best of the Rest because less is expected of them now…and they’ll probably validate that sentiment. Iowa State - The Cyclones keep surprising. With wins over Kansas, Kansas State (twice) and Baylor on Saturday, Iowa State deserves some attention. Chances are they’ll get a middling 8-10 seed. For their sake, it would be better to drop to a ten. St. Louis - Here’s another under-the-radar Mid-Major that possession-based numbers love. Like all Majerus-led teams, the Bilikens play tough defense. Sure, they haven’t really beaten anyone, much like Temple, but they have won 11 of 13 games. Before I make up my mind about this team, I want to know two things: how’s coach Majerus’ health…and how will St. Louis fair in the A-10 conference. Alabama - After a tough loss to Mississippi on Saturday, the Crimson Tide is sweating a little more about their tourney chances. A quick out in the SEC conference might push them onto the bubble. If they get in the dance, their defense might help them to an upset. The offense sure won’t; Alabama is ranked 109th in offensive efficiency. Creighton - I had labeled the Jays a Pretender. The fact that they’re now a “Best of the Rest” is a measure of how three straight early February losses changed expectations for this squad. Creighton still has one of the most efficient offenses in the land and a top scorer in McDermott. But I don’t think that adds up to a Sweet 16 run. California - Are any of the Pac-10 teams worth a second look? I’ve watched about ten conference games and came away thinking the whole league plays sloppy ball. But of the prime candidates for a tourney bid (including Washington and Arizona), I’m going to give the Bears the best odds to do some damage in the dance.

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