Pfile Nickname marksmoneymakers
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10/21/2014 06:44 AM

Topshelfpicks Carson K - Series Royals

Pfile Nickname marksmoneymakers
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10/20/2014 06:12 PM

Indian Cowboy 3-Unit Play. #478. Take Pittsburgh Steelers -3 over Houston Texans

Pfile Nickname marksmoneymakers
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10/19/2014 12:12 PM

GILZTIPS New Olreans PLus 3 2 units Kanasas city plus 5

Pfile Nickname marksmoneymakers
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10/18/2014 12:22 PM

Maddux Sports Pittsburgh+3 (10*) Miami Ohio+14 (10*) Massachusetts -13 (10*)

Pfile Nickname marksmoneymakers
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10/17/2014 04:57 PM

Dr. Bob (312) ***HOUSTON (-7) 3-Stars at -7 or less, 2-Stars up to -9.5, 1-Star at -10. ***HOUSTON (-7) 31 Temple 15 Houston struggled offensively the first 5 games with John O’Korn at quarterback so coach Tony Levine decided to turn to wide receiver Greg Ward Jr last week. Ward was a change of pace quarterback for the Cougars last season and was an efficient 19 for 29 with no interceptions while averaging 8.6 yards per pass play and running for 202 yards on 41 runs. I speculated last week that Ward’s yards per pass play numbers would drop as a starting quarterback because when he was inserted last season opponents were playing him to run the ball, which made it easier to throw it. Ward has averaged only 5.0 yards on 50 pass plays this season (against teams that would allow 6.0 yppp to an average quarterback) but that’s a significant upgrade over O’Korn, who has averaged only 4.7 yppp despite facing teams that would allow 7.3 yppp to an average QB. Ward not only elevated the pass attack last week against a good Memphis defense but he ran for 109 yards as well. Ward also has thrown just 1 inception on 77 career pass attempts while O’Korn had thrown 8 picks this season on 172 passes. Aside from Ward’s running, Houston has a good stable of running backs that all average 6.0 ypr or higher and the Cougars average 6.5 yards per rushing play if you take out O’Korn’s bad rushing numbers. Houston’s offense has been 0.6 yards per play worse than average for the season but they rate at +0.1 yppl with Ward at quarterback (the running component was based on Ward’s 5.7 yards per rushing play career average not his 6.8 yprp average this season, which was skewed by a 64 yard run last week) and the turnovers should drop too. Temple’s defense has been 0.5 yards per play worse than average in 4 games against FBS opponents (5.4 yppl allowed to teams that would combine to average only 4.9 yprp against an average team) and the math projects 448 yards at 6.2 yppl for the Cougars with Ward Jr. at quarterback. Temple’s sub-par attack, averaging 5.4 yppl against teams that would allow 6.1 yppl to an average attack, is not likely to keep up in this game against a very good Houston defense that’s yielded just 19.2 points per game and 4.4 yppl to a schedule of opponents that would combine to average 5.2 yppl against an average team. The Owls are projected to gain just 290 total yards in this game and overall I favor Houston by 16 ½ points in this game. The adjustments for Ward at quarterback were about 4 ½ points so I would have favored Houston by 12 points without those adjustments. Temple seems better than they actually are because of a +9 turnover margin but Houston is projected to have a 0.7 fewer turnovers than Temple in this game now that the interception prone O’Korn has a headset on instead of a helmet. My math model gives Houston a very profitable 60.7% chance of covering at -7 points (based on the historical performance of my model) and would still be a 55.1% play at -9 ½ points and a profitable 53.4% play at -10. I’ll take Houston in a 3-Star Best Bet at -7 points or less (up to -125 odds), for 2-Stars from -7 ½ to -9 ½ points and for 1-Stars at -10 points.

Pfile Nickname chargerrodger
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10/17/2014 08:59 AM

What a run! They have swept their way through the playoffs!! Amazing!!!!

Pfile Nickname marksmoneymakers
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10/16/2014 05:25 PM

LA Syndicate - CFB Over Utah/Oregon State

Pfile Nickname marksmoneymakers
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10/15/2014 06:52 PM

Even though I plan on posting no hockey plays, but I will do nba once the regular season starts, there might be a few mixed in right now. Too much of a pain trying to separate right now.

Pfile Nickname marksmoneymakers
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10/14/2014 07:26 PM

Even though I plan on posting no hockey plays, but I will do nba once the regular season starts, there might be a few mixed in right now. Too much of a pain trying to separate right now. Baseball Crusher Play of the Day Baltimore Orioles -110 over KC Royals Rest of the Plays St. Louis Cardinals +112 over SF Giants Kansas City Royals + Baltimore Orioles OVER 7.5 St. Louis Cardinals + SF Giants UNDER 7

Pfile Nickname marksmoneymakers
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10/19/2014 11:59 AM

Welcome to all the Spooky Express guys. I will be posting all our newsletters here at the forum so instead of receiving your weekly emails from Spooky its one stop shop here at the forum. Please send Spooky Express an email if there is something we are missing that you are looking for. Stop by Spooky Express for more news and information.

Pfile Nickname marksmoneymakers
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10/13/2014 07:31 PM

Fat Jack #278 St louis OVER 43

Pfile Nickname marksmoneymakers
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10/12/2014 11:59 AM

Philly Godfather Bills +3 Dallas +8 Giants +3

Pfile Nickname marksmoneymakers
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10/11/2014 11:59 AM

Maddux 10* - California -1.5