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CFB Game Matchup Report
Saturday, 12/16/2017 at 08:00 pm MIDDLE TENN ST (6-6) at  ARKANSAS ST (7-4)
Game Matchups Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics
Teams Line PF PA SU ATS O/U/P RY PY TY RY PY TY
209MIDDLE TENN ST 62 24.8 24.3 6-6 5-7-0 3-9-0 144.2 252.7 396.9 136.6 212 348.6
210ARKANSAS ST -4 38.5 24.9 7-4 6-5-0 4-7-0 157.6 340.7 498.3 138.9 242.3 381.2
Preview - ARKANSAS ST vs MIDDLE TENN STGame Write Up
The first full day of college football bowl season wraps up with a fun little game in Montgomery, Alabama. The Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders take on the Arkansas State Red Wolves in the Raycom Media Camellia Bowl. Most fans won’t be at the ed...more
By Adam Burke | December 6, 2017, 4:00 pm
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
Team Estimate Edge
MIDDLE TENN ST
ARKANSAS ST -11 7
Average power rating of opponents played: ARKANSAS ST 19.4, MIDDLE TENN ST 23.8
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
MIDDLE TENN ST Team Trends
Description Against the spread Over/Under Straight Up
  Current Last 3 Since 1992 Current Last 3 Since 1992 Current Last 3 Since 1992
  W-L W-L W-L O-U O-U O-U W-L W-L W-L
in a bowl game 0-0 0-2 1-5 0-0 2-0 4-2 0-0 0-2 1-5
in minor bowl games (played in December) 0-0 0-2 1-4 0-0 2-0 3-2 0-0 0-2 1-4
as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points 1-0 2-2 15-19 0-1 2-2 9-16 1-0 2-2 12-22
in all games 5-7 18-18 107-107 3-9 17-21 74-82 6-6 21-17 117-127
in all lined games 5-7 18-18 107-107 3-9 17-21 74-82 6-6 21-17 106-113
when the total is between 56.5 and 63 0-2 8-4 18-24 0-2 3-9 19-23 0-2 7-5 19-23
as an underdog 1-4 4-8 47-54 0-5 5-8 29-45 1-4 2-11 22-82
as a neutral field underdog 0-0 0-1 1-3 0-0 1-0 2-2 0-0 0-1 1-3
as a neutral field underdog of 7 points or less 0-0 0-1 1-2 0-0 1-0 2-1 0-0 0-1 1-2
as a neutral field underdog of 3.5 to 7 points 0-0 0-0 1-1 0-0 0-0 1-1 0-0 0-0 1-1
on a neutral field where the total is between 56.5 and 63 0-0 0-0 1-1 0-0 0-0 1-1 0-0 0-0 1-1
against Sun Belt conference opponents 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
when playing on a Saturday 5-5 18-15 99-88 2-8 15-20 62-69 6-4 21-14 107-107
when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest 1-0 2-2 12-14 0-1 3-2 12-8 1-0 2-3 15-15
after playing a conference game 3-4 11-10 58-63 3-4 11-12 46-48 4-3 13-10 70-68
after playing 2 straight conference games 2-4 9-8 35-43 2-4 8-10 30-32 3-3 10-8 44-44
after playing 3 straight conference games 2-3 9-5 23-28 2-3 7-7 20-21 3-2 10-4 31-26
after a bye week 1-0 2-2 13-20 0-1 3-2 15-12 1-0 2-3 17-21
in games played on a neutral field 0-0 0-1 1-4 0-0 1-0 3-2 0-0 0-1 1-4
in games played on turf 5-6 16-16 70-73 3-8 16-18 57-58 6-5 20-14 89-68
in December games 0-0 0-2 2-8 0-0 2-0 6-4 0-0 0-2 2-8
in non-conference games 2-2 8-6 42-41 0-4 5-9 23-33 2-2 6-8 32-68
after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games 4-3 6-5 31-31 3-4 5-7 20-27 5-2 9-3 36-32
after failing to cover the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games 2-1 5-1 16-16 1-2 1-5 11-14 2-1 5-1 19-14
after having won 2 out of their last 3 games 1-3 5-8 34-30 1-3 6-8 23-23 1-3 7-7 32-38
after having won 3 out of their last 4 games 0-0 3-2 13-18 0-0 4-3 14-14 0-0 5-2 16-20
off a home win against a conference rival 0-2 3-4 22-21 1-1 2-6 14-17 1-1 4-4 21-26
off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival 0-3 2-5 26-25 2-1 5-3 26-11 1-2 2-6 26-27
off a blowout win by 21 points or more over a conference rival 0-1 2-3 13-13 1-0 3-2 13-7 1-0 2-3 11-16
off a win against a conference rival 0-3 5-7 37-37 2-1 7-7 33-27 1-2 6-8 39-40
after a cover as a double digit favorite 0-1 3-4 13-11 1-0 4-3 12-6 1-0 2-5 13-12
off a home win by 17 points or more 0-2 3-4 21-16 1-1 3-4 15-10 1-1 2-5 17-23
off a home blowout win by 28 points or more 0-0 3-1 9-11 0-0 1-3 7-5 0-0 1-3 6-14
off a home win 0-3 4-6 30-31 1-2 3-8 20-22 1-2 4-7 25-42
after allowing 14 points or less last game 0-2 3-4 24-20 1-1 4-4 21-12 1-1 2-6 19-31
after allowing 3 points or less in the first half last game 0-2 0-5 12-18 1-1 4-1 15-2 1-1 1-4 14-27
after allowing 7 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games 1-1 1-2 8-11 1-1 2-1 10-5 1-1 1-2 13-13
after a win by 17 or more points 0-2 3-6 27-24 1-1 6-4 25-13 1-1 3-7 25-31
after a win by 21 or more points 0-1 3-4 16-20 1-0 4-3 16-11 1-0 2-5 13-26
after a win by 28 or more points 0-0 3-2 10-13 0-0 2-3 10-5 0-0 1-4 7-17
after leading in their previous game by 17 or more points at the half 0-2 4-5 18-18 2-0 6-3 18-8 1-1 3-6 16-21
after scoring 31 points or more in 2 straight games 1-0 1-4 16-16 0-1 4-2 16-8 1-0 3-3 21-15
after scoring 31 points or more in 3 straight games 0-0 0-1 7-8 0-0 1-0 6-3 0-0 0-1 8-7
after scoring 37 points or more last game 1-1 6-8 26-37 0-2 8-7 25-21 1-1 7-8 28-40
after scoring 37 points or more in 2 straight games 0-0 0-4 5-10 0-0 4-1 7-4 0-0 2-3 8-8
after scoring 24 points or more in the first half last game 0-1 4-7 20-23 1-0 7-4 21-13 0-1 4-7 20-25
after playing a game at home 2-3 7-8 48-48 1-4 5-11 29-37 3-2 7-9 47-63
after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread 0-4 7-10 47-57 1-3 8-9 40-35 1-3 8-9 54-55
after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins 0-5 6-12 51-52 2-3 10-10 44-35 1-4 8-12 53-62
when playing against a team with a winning record 1-2 3-5 24-24 1-2 3-5 17-20 1-2 2-6 15-36
after the first month of the season 3-5 10-14 72-77 3-5 13-13 56-53 4-4 14-12 88-79
in the second half of the season 2-3 9-9 53-52 2-3 9-9 42-36 3-2 11-7 65-51
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ARKANSAS ST Team Trends
Description Against the spread Over/Under Straight Up
  Current Last 3 Since 1992 Current Last 3 Since 1992 Current Last 3 Since 1992
  W-L W-L W-L O-U O-U O-U W-L W-L W-L
in a bowl game 0-0 1-1 4-3 0-0 1-1 3-4 0-0 1-1 3-4
in minor bowl games (played in December) 0-0 1-1 2-1 0-0 1-1 2-1 0-0 1-1 1-2
as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points 3-0 7-2 22-15 2-1 4-5 14-15 3-0 7-2 29-8
in all games 6-5 21-16 121-108 4-7 16-20 73-87 7-4 24-13 113-153
in all lined games 6-5 21-16 121-108 4-7 16-20 73-87 7-4 24-13 106-124
when the total is between 56.5 and 63 1-4 4-7 16-25 1-4 6-5 21-19 3-2 8-3 24-17
as a favorite 5-3 15-9 55-49 3-5 12-11 47-45 7-1 20-4 79-25
as a neutral field favorite 0-0 0-0 1-1 0-0 0-0 0-2 0-0 0-0 1-1
as a neutral field favorite of 7 points or less 0-0 0-0 1-1 0-0 0-0 0-2 0-0 0-0 1-1
as a neutral field favorite of 3.5 to 7 points 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
on a neutral field where the total is between 56.5 and 63 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
against Conference USA opponents 0-0 0-1 8-9 0-0 1-0 7-4 0-0 0-1 5-16
when playing on a Saturday 4-5 13-14 103-93 3-6 12-14 58-69 5-4 16-11 92-141
when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest 0-2 3-3 14-13 0-2 3-3 12-10 1-1 4-2 14-26
after playing a conference game 4-3 16-7 69-57 2-5 12-11 49-49 5-2 19-4 69-68
after playing 2 straight conference games 3-3 13-7 46-45 1-5 10-10 40-36 4-2 16-4 50-44
after playing 3 straight conference games 2-3 10-7 34-33 1-4 8-9 30-28 3-2 13-4 38-29
after a bye week 1-2 6-3 20-17 1-2 5-4 18-14 2-1 7-2 21-29
in games played on a neutral field 0-0 1-1 4-4 0-0 1-1 4-4 0-0 1-1 3-5
in games played on turf 5-5 20-14 57-49 3-7 14-19 40-49 6-4 23-11 59-50
in December games 0-1 2-3 5-5 0-1 2-3 4-6 0-1 3-2 6-4
in non-conference games 1-2 4-9 50-47 1-2 3-9 21-38 1-2 3-10 30-94
after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games 3-1 7-1 29-30 3-1 5-3 18-24 3-1 7-1 29-31
after failing to cover the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games 0-0 1-0 14-17 0-0 0-1 9-12 0-0 1-0 13-18
after having won 2 out of their last 3 games 3-2 7-3 27-28 2-3 5-5 20-22 4-1 9-1 27-29
after having won 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games 2-3 7-5 21-15 1-4 5-7 20-14 3-2 10-2 21-15
after having won 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games 1-3 6-5 14-9 1-3 4-7 10-13 2-2 8-3 16-7
after having won 6 or 7 out of their last 8 games 1-1 5-3 11-4 1-1 4-4 8-7 1-1 6-2 13-2
off a home loss against a conference rival 0-0 0-0 8-7 0-0 0-0 5-5 0-0 0-0 7-13
off a loss against a conference rival 0-1 0-2 24-21 0-1 0-2 12-18 1-0 2-0 25-21
off a close loss by 7 points or less to a conference rival 0-1 0-2 8-11 0-1 0-2 3-11 1-0 2-0 10-10
off a home loss 0-0 2-1 19-12 0-0 1-1 7-9 0-0 2-1 15-22
after allowing 31 points or more in 2 straight games 0-0 2-2 21-17 0-0 2-2 7-12 0-0 2-2 18-28
after playing a game at home 3-1 11-5 49-54 1-3 7-8 30-43 3-1 12-4 42-74
after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread 2-2 7-7 53-47 2-2 6-8 30-40 3-1 9-5 48-55
after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses 1-2 4-7 61-53 1-2 3-7 30-35 3-0 7-4 57-88
after the first month of the season 5-3 18-8 81-77 3-5 14-12 54-59 6-2 22-4 87-93
in the second half of the season 3-3 13-7 57-54 1-5 10-10 41-43 4-2 16-4 60-61
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Team Statistics
Performance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below.
MIDDLE TENN ST Current Season Performance
  Straight Up Against Spread Team Opponent
  W-L Units W-L O-U Score Half Yards YPP TO Score Half Yards YPP TO
Turf 5-5 -1.05 4-6 3-7 24.7 14.3 394.5 5.709 1.4 23 12.4 343.6 5.128 0.6
Road Games 2-4 -1.45 1-5 2-4 24.833 11.5 388.167 5.429 1.833 30.333 15.5 403 5.245 1
Last 3 Games 2-1 0.8 1-2 2-1 38 18.333 491.333 6.381 1 24 5.667 399.667 5.737 1
All 6-6 0.55 5-7 3-9 24.75 13.167 396.833 5.696 1.667 24.25 13.417 348.583 4.968 0.667
Team Statistics
Performance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below.
ARKANSAS ST Current Season Performance
  Straight Up Against Spread Team Opponent
  W-L Units W-L O-U Score Half Yards YPP TO Score Half Yards YPP TO
Turf 6-4 -4.55 5-5 3-7 38.1 17.8 510.1 6.244 1.7 24.9 12.8 370 5.204 1.7
Last 3 Games 2-1 -0.05 1-2 1-2 40.667 18 618.666 6.874 1.333 31.333 11.333 361 5.526 2
All 7-4 -3.55 6-5 4-7 38.546 18.182 498.364 6.244 2 24.909 13.182 381.182 5.294 1.909
Home Games 4-1 0.95 2-3 1-4 40.2 19.4 522.8 6.284 0.8 13.4 5.2 294.2 4.471 2
MIDDLE TENN ST Current Season Statistics
  Rushing Passing Total
  PPG Half FD TOP ATT-YDS YPR CMP-ATT PCT YDS PYA ATT-YDS YPP YPPT
Offense (All Games) 24.8 13.2 21.4 29.42 33-144 (4.3) 22-37 60% 252.7 (6.9) 70-397 5.7 16
Opponents Defensive Avg. 29.1 15.6 21.4 30.95 40-189 (4.8) 18-31 60.1% 220.1 (7.2) 70-409 5.8 14.1
Offense Road Games 24.8 11.5 21.3 28.63 30-113 (3.8) 25-42 59% 275 (6.6) 72-388 5.4 15.6
Defense (All Games) 24.3 13.4 18.8 30.58 39-137 (3.5) 20-31 62.9% 212 (6.7) 70-349 5 14.4
Opponents Offensive Avg. 29.1 15.6 21.4 30.95 40-189 (4.8) 18-31 60.1% 220.1 (7.2) 70-409 5.8 14.1
Defense Road Games 30.3 15.5 22.3 31.37 43-168 (4) 22-34 64.6% 234.7 (6.8) 77-403 5.2 13.3
ARKANSAS ST Current Season Statistics
  Rushing Passing Total
  PPG Half FD TOP ATT-YDS YPR CMP-ATT PCT YDS PYA ATT-YDS YPP YPPT
Offense (All Games) 38.5 18.2 26.5 28.89 39-158 (4.1) 26-41 62.8% 340.7 (8.3) 80-498 6.2 12.9
Opponents Defensive Avg. 34.3 18.5 22.5 30.06 39-184 (4.7) 20-31 62.6% 256.3 (8.2) 71-440 6.2 12.8
Offense Road Games 40.2 19.4 28 31.24 44-199 (4.5) 25-39 64.4% 323.4 (8.3) 83-523 6.3 13
Defense (All Games) 24.9 13.2 19.6 31.11 39-139 (3.6) 17-33 51.1% 242.3 (7.4) 72-381 5.3 15.3
Opponents Offensive Avg. 34.3 18.5 22.5 30.06 39-184 (4.7) 20-31 62.6% 256.3 (8.2) 71-440 6.2 12.8
Defense Road Games 13.4 5.2 15.6 28.76 34-98 (2.8) 15-31 47.1% 196.6 (6.3) 66-294 4.5 22
MIDDLE TENN ST Turnovers, Penalties and Special Teams Statistics
  Turnovers Lost Third Downs Fourth Downs Kickoff Returns Punt Returns Penalties
  INT FL TO DIFF #-MADE PCT #-MADE PCT KR-YDS YPKR PR-YDS YPPR PEN-YDS
Stats For (All Games) 1.2 0.5 1.7 -1 14-5 37.2% 1-0 43.8% 2-39 (20.3) 2-11 (7.2) 6-61
Opponents Avg. Stats Against 0.7 0.6 1.3 1.6 14-6 40.7% 2-1 48.9% 2-49 (19.7) 10-1 (6.9) 6-52
Stats For (Road Games) 1.3 0.5 1.8 -0.8 14-5 35.7% 1-0 33.3% 2-44 (20.4) 1-7 (6) 8-77
Stats Against (All Games) 0.3 0.3 0.7 0 15-5 33.9% 3-1 43.3% 2-55 (26.5) 1-2 (2.9) 6-54
Opponents Avg. Stats For 0.9 0.6 1.6 0 14-6 38.5% 2-1 47% 3-67 (21.5) 8-1 (6.1) 6-52
Stats Against (Road Games) 0.5 0.5 1 0 16-5 32.3% 3-2 50% 2-68 (29) 1-4 (5.2) 6-52
ARKANSAS ST Turnovers, Penalties and Special Teams Statistics
  Turnovers Lost Third Downs Fourth Downs Kickoff Returns Punt Returns Penalties
  INT FL TO DIFF #-MADE PCT #-MADE PCT KR-YDS YPKR PR-YDS YPPR PEN-YDS
Stats For (All Games) 1.5 0.5 2 -0.1 14-6 44.3% 1-0 25% 3-52 (18.5) 2-31 (13.4) 8-68
Opponents Avg. Stats Against 0.7 0.6 1.3 1.9 13-6 42.2% 1-1 48.9% 3-66 (23.1) 13-2 (8.4) 6-58
Stats For (Home Games) 0.6 0.2 0.8 1.2 15-7 48.1% 2-0 22.2% 2-35 (16.1) 2-27 (17.1) 6-52
Stats Against (All Games) 1 0.9 1.9 0 15-5 32.4% 1-0 36.4% 4-86 (20.5) 0-4 (8.8) 7-58
Opponents Avg. Stats For 1.3 0.6 1.9 0 14-5 37.8% 2-1 45.8% 3-70 (21) 10-1 (7.7) 6-52
Stats Against (Home Games) 0.8 1.2 2 0 15-4 28.9% 1-0 33.3% 5-72 (15.7) 1-1 (2.3) 5-41
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
MIDDLE TENN ST Season Results
  Team Stats Opp Stats
Date Opponent Score SU Line ATS Tot. O/U Rushing Passing TO Rushing Passing TO
10/07/2017 FLA INTERNATIONAL 37-17 W -8 W 53.5 O 34-176 25-31-250 1 36-85 22-34-221 1
10/14/2017 @UAB 23-25 L -4 L 55.5 U 44-260 16-31-174 3 32-131 24-44-263 0
10/20/2017 MARSHALL 10-38 L 2 L 49.5 U 31-53 14-33-220 0 45-198 16-24-168 0
11/04/2017 UTEP 30-3 W -17.5 W 45 U 36-210 13-30-190 1 32-89 10-23-48 5
11/11/2017 @CHARLOTTE 35-21 W -15 W 50.5 O 32-98 18-30-258 0 41-202 18-31-255 2
11/17/2017 @W KENTUCKY 38-41 L -1.5 L 55.5 O 33-53 39-54-485 0 33-137 27-46-294 0
11/25/2017 OLD DOMINION 41-10 W -12.5 W 52 U 50-320 21-30-266 0 33-185 15-27-120 0
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ARKANSAS ST Season Results
  Team Stats Opp Stats
Date Opponent Score SU Line ATS Tot. O/U Rushing Passing TO Rushing Passing TO
10/14/2017 COASTAL CAROLINA 51-17 W -16 W 62.5 O 37-189 24-37-286 1 38-197 13-29-231 2
10/19/2017 LA LAFAYETTE 47-3 W -12.5 W 66 U 43-262 24-40-309 0 41-91 15-36-179 0
10/28/2017 @NEW MEXICO ST 37-21 W -3.5 W 72.5 U 32-35 20-40-221 9 40-120 25-40-297 1
11/11/2017 @S ALABAMA 19-24 L -13 L 56.5 U 32--3 25-46-343 3 33-66 28-45-299 0
11/18/2017 TEXAS ST 30-12 W -26 W 58.5 U 61-240 20-33-229 0 29-97 8-25-103 2
11/25/2017 @LA MONROE 67-50 W -9.5 W 70.5 O 39-136 21-37-454 0 44-261 26-38-520 0
12/02/2017 TROY 25-32 L 1 L 61 U 44-169 31-50-437 0 25-47 23-41-246 2
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Team Line Action
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ARKANSAS ST games 47.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (17-19)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in ARKANSAS ST games 48.3% of the time since 1992. (99-106)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIDDLE TENN ST games 45.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (15-18)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIDDLE TENN ST games 46.7% of the time since 1992. (92-105)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ARKANSAS ST games 35.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (11-20)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in ARKANSAS ST games 49.6% of the time since 1992. (69-70)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MIDDLE TENN ST games 61.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (22-14)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MIDDLE TENN ST games 54.6% of the time since 1992. (77-64)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
  Rushing Passing Turnovers Penalties
Date Teams Score Line Result Half FD TOP ATT-YDS CMP-ATT YDS FL INT PEN-YDS
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MIDDLE TENN ST Key Player Injuries
[LB] 12/03/2017 - Tavares Thomas is "?" Saturday vs Arkansas State ( Undisclosed )
[RB] 12/03/2017 - Brad Anderson is "?" Saturday vs Arkansas State ( Leg )
[QB] 11/01/2017 - John Urzua is out for season ( Concussion )
(!)[WR] 11/01/2017 - Richie James is out for season ( Shoulder )
ARKANSAS ST Key Player Injuries
[DB] 11/26/2017 - Trent Ellis-Brewer is out for season ( Knee )
[DL] 11/21/2017 - Javier Carbonell is out for season ( Ankle )
[LB] 11/16/2017 - Tajhea Chambers is out indefinitely ( Ankle )