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CFB Game Matchup Report
Saturday, 11/11/2017 at 07:00 pm PURDUE (4-5) at  NORTHWESTERN (6-3)
Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics
Teams Line PF PA SU ATS O/U/P RY PY TY RY PY TY
171PURDUE 48 24.7 18.9 4-5 6-3-0 2-7-0 159.3 229.6 388.9 143 224.3 367.3
172NORTHWESTERN -4 28 24.2 6-3 6-3-0 5-3-1 139.3 267.7 407 117.3 265.7 383
Preview - NORTHWESTERN vs PURDUEGame Write Up
On Saturday, November 11, 2017, the 4-5 Purdue Boilermakers travel to Ryan Field to take on the 6-3 Northwestern Wildcats in this Big10 showdown. Purdue looks to when two of their last three games of the season, facing Northwestern, Iowa, and then In...more
By Admir Aljic | November 7, 2017, 5:16 pm
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
Team Power Rating Estimate Edge
PURDUE 34
NORTHWESTERN 41 -11 7
Average power rating of opponents played: NORTHWESTERN 38.7, PURDUE 38
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
PURDUE Team Trends
Description Against the spread Over/Under Straight Up
  Current Last 3 Since 1992 Current Last 3 Since 1992 Current Last 3 Since 1992
  W-L W-L W-L O-U O-U O-U W-L W-L W-L
as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points 1-0 3-6 24-35 0-1 7-2 28-22 1-0 3-6 10-50
in all games 6-3 17-15 143-144 2-7 17-16 109-116 4-5 9-24 138-170
in all lined games 6-3 17-15 143-144 2-7 17-16 109-116 4-5 9-24 129-168
when the total is between 42.5 and 49 2-0 4-3 30-29 1-1 5-2 34-24 2-0 3-4 26-35
as an underdog 3-1 12-13 75-79 0-4 14-11 63-62 1-3 3-22 25-133
as a road underdog 2-0 10-2 46-41 0-2 5-7 35-33 1-1 2-10 11-77
as a road underdog of 7 points or less 1-0 1-1 8-20 0-1 1-1 16-9 1-0 1-1 5-24
as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points 1-0 1-1 5-14 0-1 1-1 11-6 1-0 1-1 3-16
in road games 2-1 10-3 63-60 0-3 5-8 49-47 1-2 2-11 40-88
in road lined games 2-1 10-3 63-60 0-3 5-8 49-47 1-2 2-11 40-87
in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 0-0 2-0 10-14 0-0 1-1 15-9 0-0 1-1 8-17
in a road game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 0-0 2-0 8-13 0-0 1-1 14-7 0-0 1-1 8-14
against conference opponents 3-3 12-11 100-99 1-5 13-10 74-83 2-4 4-19 81-125
when playing on a Saturday 5-3 16-14 136-135 1-7 15-16 100-109 3-5 8-23 129-162
when playing with 6 or less days rest 3-3 12-14 118-115 1-5 13-13 87-95 2-4 4-22 103-144
after playing a conference game 3-2 11-9 98-93 1-4 12-8 74-78 2-3 4-16 78-121
after playing 2 straight conference games 2-2 9-8 79-79 0-4 9-8 61-64 1-3 2-15 64-101
after playing 3 straight conference games 1-2 7-7 68-65 0-3 8-6 53-52 1-2 2-12 58-82
in games played on a grass field 3-2 8-12 103-114 2-3 12-9 75-94 3-2 7-14 110-126
in November games 1-0 5-4 47-39 0-1 6-3 32-35 1-0 1-8 35-54
after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games 1-0 7-3 40-42 0-1 4-6 37-36 1-0 2-8 34-54
after having lost 2 out of their last 3 games 0-2 5-5 42-41 0-2 4-6 26-37 0-2 1-9 34-54
after having lost 3 out of their last 4 games 1-1 5-5 30-27 0-2 6-4 20-21 1-1 1-9 25-38
after having lost 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games 1-0 6-5 36-36 0-1 8-3 30-29 1-0 2-9 31-46
off a home win against a conference rival 1-0 1-1 27-19 0-1 1-1 16-19 0-1 0-2 16-30
off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival 1-0 1-1 23-16 0-1 1-1 13-19 0-1 0-2 18-22
off a win against a conference rival 1-0 1-2 41-32 0-1 2-1 27-34 0-1 0-3 33-43
after a cover as a double digit favorite 0-0 0-1 17-11 0-0 1-0 9-13 0-0 0-1 20-11
off a home win by 17 points or more 1-0 1-2 22-17 0-1 1-2 15-14 1-0 1-2 23-20
off a home win 2-0 2-4 44-41 0-2 3-3 33-32 1-1 1-5 37-53
after allowing 14 points or less last game 0-2 0-4 28-26 0-2 2-2 16-27 0-2 0-4 25-33
after a win by 17 or more points 1-1 1-3 24-23 0-2 1-3 16-22 1-1 1-3 29-25
after playing a game at home 4-0 11-6 79-74 1-3 6-11 55-62 3-1 4-13 60-100
after a 2 game home stand 1-0 5-2 32-28 0-1 1-6 21-26 0-1 1-6 19-42
after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread 3-2 5-10 66-69 1-4 11-4 50-52 2-3 3-12 62-81
after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins 2-1 2-6 62-61 0-3 4-4 47-52 1-2 1-7 61-72
when playing against a team with a winning record 2-1 8-6 65-74 1-2 8-6 59-64 1-2 1-13 39-105
in weeks 10 through 13 1-0 5-4 46-38 0-1 6-3 31-34 1-0 1-8 35-52
after the first month of the season 3-2 12-10 107-106 1-4 13-9 82-89 2-3 4-18 86-134
in the second half of the season 1-2 7-7 70-72 0-3 8-6 54-61 1-2 2-12 56-91
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NORTHWESTERN Team Trends
Description Against the spread Over/Under Straight Up
  Current Last 3 Since 1992 Current Last 3 Since 1992 Current Last 3 Since 1992
  W-L W-L W-L O-U O-U O-U W-L W-L W-L
as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points 0-0 2-0 22-21 0-0 0-2 14-15 0-0 2-0 33-10
in all games 6-3 22-13 160-143 5-3 13-20 96-117 6-3 23-12 155-156
in all lined games 6-3 22-13 160-143 5-3 13-20 96-117 6-3 23-12 150-154
when the total is between 42.5 and 49 2-0 6-6 34-26 1-1 4-8 22-36 2-0 8-4 32-28
as a favorite 4-2 11-7 52-58 3-2 5-12 30-45 5-1 14-4 84-26
as a home favorite 2-1 7-5 27-43 0-2 1-10 18-31 3-0 10-2 54-16
as a home favorite of 7 points or less 1-0 4-1 10-14 0-1 0-5 7-10 1-0 4-1 16-8
as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points 0-0 2-0 7-9 0-0 0-2 6-5 0-0 2-0 12-4
in home games 3-2 10-9 71-81 1-3 4-14 44-63 4-1 13-6 85-73
in home lined games 3-2 10-9 71-81 1-3 4-14 44-63 4-1 13-6 81-71
in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 2-0 5-4 18-11 1-1 2-7 10-18 2-0 7-2 18-11
in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 1-0 3-3 16-9 0-1 1-5 8-16 1-0 5-1 16-9
against conference opponents 5-1 16-7 109-96 4-2 11-11 69-80 4-2 15-8 92-115
when playing on a Saturday 6-3 21-12 147-138 5-3 12-19 87-109 6-3 22-11 148-145
when playing with 6 or less days rest 5-2 17-10 124-117 4-2 9-16 72-94 5-2 18-9 126-118
after playing a conference game 4-1 15-7 106-94 3-2 11-10 66-76 4-1 15-7 91-111
after playing 2 straight conference games 4-0 14-5 95-74 3-1 10-9 53-64 4-0 14-5 82-89
after playing 3 straight conference games 3-0 12-4 81-60 2-1 7-9 41-55 3-0 12-4 67-75
in games played on a grass field 3-3 15-11 103-107 2-3 8-17 67-89 4-2 18-8 108-108
in November games 1-0 6-3 47-40 1-0 4-5 24-37 1-0 7-2 43-44
after covering the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games 2-0 6-4 33-20 2-0 6-4 17-23 2-0 5-5 26-28
after having won 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games 1-0 6-5 31-26 1-0 5-6 24-28 1-0 6-5 27-30
after covering the spread in 4 out of their last 5 games 2-0 4-4 18-13 2-0 4-3 9-15 2-0 3-5 15-17
after having won 4 out of their last 5 games 0-0 2-1 11-15 0-0 1-2 12-11 0-0 1-2 10-16
after covering the spread in 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games 1-0 4-2 20-12 1-0 3-3 12-15 1-0 4-2 17-15
after having won 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games 0-0 4-2 17-16 0-0 3-3 16-12 0-0 5-1 18-15
after covering the spread in 6 or 7 out of their last 8 games 0-0 1-1 10-6 0-0 0-2 5-8 0-0 1-1 9-7
off a road win against a conference rival 1-0 5-1 25-17 0-1 2-4 16-20 1-0 5-1 27-16
off a close win by 7 points or less over a conference rival 1-0 5-1 25-25 1-0 3-3 21-18 1-0 6-0 28-23
off a win against a conference rival 3-0 10-4 45-42 2-1 5-8 33-38 3-0 10-4 44-44
off 3 straight wins against conference rivals 1-0 4-1 11-6 1-0 2-3 6-8 1-0 3-2 10-7
off 2 straight wins against conference rivals 2-0 6-2 22-14 2-0 3-5 12-19 2-0 6-2 22-14
off a road win 1-0 5-2 35-23 0-1 2-5 21-25 1-0 6-1 38-25
after scoring 31 points or more in 2 straight games 0-0 1-0 5-12 0-0 0-1 7-10 0-0 1-0 8-9
after playing their last game on the road 2-1 7-5 74-58 0-2 4-7 41-54 2-1 8-4 70-67
after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread 4-1 12-8 85-68 3-2 6-13 47-62 3-2 12-8 81-76
after 2 or more consecutive wins against the spread 2-1 5-5 42-33 2-1 3-7 24-32 2-1 6-4 39-36
after 3 or more consecutive wins against the spread 1-0 2-2 19-17 1-0 1-3 12-14 1-0 2-2 18-18
after 4 or more consecutive wins against the spread 0-0 0-1 10-5 0-0 0-1 4-8 0-0 0-1 10-5
after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins 4-1 14-7 72-73 4-1 7-13 50-61 3-2 14-7 79-71
after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins 2-0 8-4 36-38 2-0 3-8 24-39 2-0 9-3 42-33
after 3 or more consecutive straight up wins 1-0 5-3 17-22 1-0 2-5 14-19 1-0 5-3 23-16
after 4 or more consecutive straight up wins 0-0 2-2 10-12 0-0 1-2 9-9 0-0 2-2 13-9
when playing against a team with a losing record 0-0 5-1 34-29 0-0 4-2 17-24 0-0 6-0 42-21
in weeks 10 through 13 1-0 6-3 47-38 1-0 4-5 22-37 1-0 7-2 42-43
after the first month of the season 5-1 17-7 116-100 4-2 12-11 73-86 4-2 16-8 98-120
in the second half of the season 3-0 12-4 79-66 2-1 7-9 44-62 3-0 12-4 66-80
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Team Statistics
Performance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below.
PURDUE Current Season Performance
  Straight Up Against Spread Team Opponent
  W-L Units W-L O-U Score Half Yards YPP TO Score Half Yards YPP TO
Conference 2-4 -5.5 3-3 1-5 19.167 8.667 353.5 5.397 1.5 18.5 10.167 363.833 5.299 1.333
Last 3 Games 1-2 -4.5 1-2 0-3 21.667 10 424 5.704 1 16.333 7.667 312.667 4.835 0.333
Road Games 1-3 -2.45 3-1 0-4 21 12.75 379 5.02 2 17.25 9.25 359.5 5.595 2.25
All 4-5 -2.65 6-3 2-7 24.667 14.222 388.889 5.627 1.556 18.889 9 367.333 5.42 1.778
Team Statistics
Performance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below.
NORTHWESTERN Current Season Performance
  Straight Up Against Spread Team Opponent
  W-L Units W-L O-U Score Half Yards YPP TO Score Half Yards YPP TO
Conference 4-2 2.1 5-1 4-2 25.833 10.167 381 4.713 1.667 25 10.333 369.333 5.19 1.5
Last 3 Games 3-0 3.1 3-0 2-1 29 9 415.333 5.192 1 21.667 10.333 396.333 5.356 2
Home Games 4-1 1.1 3-2 1-3 28.6 10.4 444.4 5.625 1.6 19.8 10.2 385.2 5.22 1.2
All 6-3 0.8 6-3 5-3 28 12.556 407 5.225 1.889 24.222 11.889 383 5.16 1.556
PURDUE Current Season Statistics
  Rushing Passing Total
  PPG Half FD TOP ATT-YDS YPR CMP-ATT PCT YDS PYA ATT-YDS YPP YPPT
Offense (All Games) 24.7 14.2 21.2 30.62 35-159 (4.6) 20-34 58.9% 229.6 (6.7) 69-389 5.6 15.8
Opponents Defensive Avg. 24.8 13.9 18.7 29.54 37-151 (4.1) 18-31 57.7% 210.4 (6.8) 67-362 5.4 14.6
Offense Road Games 21 12.8 22.5 31.17 35-150 (4.4) 24-41 57.9% 228.8 (5.6) 76-379 5 18
Defense (All Games) 18.9 9 19 31.05 38-143 (3.8) 17-30 57.7% 224.3 (7.4) 68-367 5.4 19.4
Opponents Offensive Avg. 24.8 13.9 18.7 29.54 37-151 (4.1) 18-31 57.7% 210.4 (6.8) 67-362 5.4 14.6
Defense Road Games 17.3 9.3 17.3 28.83 37-160 (4.4) 16-28 58.2% 199.3 (7.2) 64-360 5.6 20.8
NORTHWESTERN Current Season Statistics
  Rushing Passing Total
  PPG Half FD TOP ATT-YDS YPR CMP-ATT PCT YDS PYA ATT-YDS YPP YPPT
Offense (All Games) 28 12.6 23.6 29.44 38-139 (3.7) 24-40 60.8% 267.7 (6.7) 78-407 5.2 14.5
Opponents Defensive Avg. 25.1 14.1 20.6 30.06 37-154 (4.1) 20-33 58.5% 230.3 (6.9) 71-384 5.4 15.3
Offense Road Games 28.6 10.4 24.2 29.84 39-147 (3.7) 26-40 65.7% 297 (7.5) 79-444 5.6 15.5
Defense (All Games) 24.2 11.9 21.3 30.56 35-117 (3.4) 23-39 58.9% 265.7 (6.8) 74-383 5.2 15.8
Opponents Offensive Avg. 25.1 14.1 20.6 30.06 37-154 (4.1) 20-33 58.5% 230.3 (6.9) 71-384 5.4 15.3
Defense Road Games 19.8 10.2 21 30.16 31-103 (3.3) 26-42 61.3% 281.8 (6.6) 74-385 5.2 19.5
PURDUE Turnovers, Penalties and Special Teams Statistics
  Turnovers Lost Third Downs Fourth Downs Kickoff Returns Punt Returns Penalties
  INT FL TO DIFF #-MADE PCT #-MADE PCT KR-YDS YPKR PR-YDS YPPR PEN-YDS
Stats For (All Games) 1 0.6 1.6 0.2 13-4 30.5% 2-0 66.7% 3-46 (17.8) 2-6 (3.1) 7-56
Opponents Avg. Stats Against 0.9 0.6 1.6 2.1 14-5 36.9% 1-1 50.6% 3-55 (19) 10-2 (6.4) 6-55
Stats For (Road Games) 1.8 0.3 2 0.3 14-5 33.3% 3-2 54.5% 3-35 (14.1) 3-11 (4.2) 6-47
Stats Against (All Games) 0.8 1 1.8 0 15-5 34.4% 1-1 53.8% 2-37 (21.1) 1-7 (9.1) 7-61
Opponents Avg. Stats For 1.2 0.7 1.9 0 14-6 40.9% 1-1 56% 3-51 (20) 12-2 (7.3) 6-53
Stats Against (Road Games) 1 1.3 2.3 0 14-5 37.5% 0-0 0% 2-39 (25.8) 1-12 (9.4) 9-64
NORTHWESTERN Turnovers, Penalties and Special Teams Statistics
  Turnovers Lost Third Downs Fourth Downs Kickoff Returns Punt Returns Penalties
  INT FL TO DIFF #-MADE PCT #-MADE PCT KR-YDS YPKR PR-YDS YPPR PEN-YDS
Stats For (All Games) 1.2 0.7 1.9 -0.3 15-5 34.3% 3-0 63% 2-43 (18.4) 1-5 (5.4) 5-52
Opponents Avg. Stats Against 1.1 0.7 1.8 2.1 14-6 38.5% 2-1 50% 3-60 (19.5) 7-1 (6.4) 6-60
Stats For (Home Games) 0.6 1 1.6 -0.4 16-6 40% 3-2 56.3% 2-36 (16.5) 1-7 (6) 5-47
Stats Against (All Games) 1 0.6 1.6 0 16-7 41.1% 2-1 37.5% 3-49 (18.4) 2-11 (6.8) 5-49
Opponents Avg. Stats For 1 0.6 1.6 0 14-6 39.5% 2-1 52% 3-66 (23) 12-2 (7.7) 6-54
Stats Against (Home Games) 0.6 0.6 1.2 0 16-6 38.3% 2-1 33.3% 2-40 (20) 2-12 (6.6) 5-49
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
PURDUE Season Results
  Team Stats Opp Stats
Date Opponent Score SU Line ATS Tot. O/U Rushing Passing TO Rushing Passing TO
09/02/2017 LOUISVILLE 28-35 L 25.5 L 66 U 21-51 33-57-293 3 33-146 30-46-378 2
09/08/2017 OHIO U 44-21 W -3 W 54 O 44-263 15-23-295 1 38-160 17-29-236 2
09/16/2017 @MISSOURI 35-3 W 5.5 W 75.5 U 24-70 12-28-133 1 50-205 26-34-272 1
09/23/2017 MICHIGAN 10-28 L 13.5 L 52.5 U 20-30 13-30-159 1 44-139 21-31-284 2
10/07/2017 MINNESOTA 31-17 W -3.5 W 45 O 29-132 25-36-307 0 47-227 11-25-101 2
10/14/2017 @WISCONSIN 9-17 L 17 L 49.5 U 53-295 13-18-199 2 26-66 13-29-155 1
10/21/2017 @RUTGERS 12-14 L -7.5 L 50 U 37-130 9-18-87 5 41-279 23-44-195 0
10/28/2017 NEBRASKA 24-25 L -5 L 53.5 U 38-199 16-28-164 0 27-40 32-50-431 0
11/04/2017 ILLINOIS 29-10 W -14 W 47 U 44-209 18-28-226 0 35-80 12-27-170 2
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NORTHWESTERN Season Results
  Team Stats Opp Stats
Date Opponent Score SU Line ATS Tot. O/U Rushing Passing TO Rushing Passing TO
09/02/2017 NEVADA 31-20 W -24 W 60 U 50-156 28-38-352 2 26-142 16-37-199 0
09/09/2017 @DUKE 17-41 L -2 L 54.5 O 59-233 29-45-305 0 21-22 14-33-169 1
09/16/2017 BOWLING GREEN 49-7 W -21 W 56 O 43-303 24-31-375 1 30-96 27-44-256 3
09/30/2017 @WISCONSIN 24-33 L 16 L 52.5 O 37-109 11-20-197 0 34-25 29-45-219 3
10/07/2017 PENN ST 7-31 L 14.5 L 52 U 30-67 23-43-198 3 38-95 29-41-286 0
10/14/2017 @MARYLAND 37-21 W -2.5 W 50.5 O 31-85 17-38-255 2 44-238 27-49-293 1
10/21/2017 IOWA 17-10 W -2.5 W 45.5 U 46-147 21-36-192 1 33-89 19-33-223 3
10/28/2017 MICHIGAN ST 39-31 W 2 W 42.5 O 28-64 34-50-368 2 30-95 39-57-445 0
11/04/2017 @NEBRASKA 31-24 W -2 W 54.5 O 31-112 21-38-225 0 45-232 19-35-243 1
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Team Line Action
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NORTHWESTERN games 53.1% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (17-15)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in PURDUE games 53.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (15-13)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NORTHWESTERN games 47.7% of the time since 1992. (126-138)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in PURDUE games 50.8% of the time since 1992. (123-119)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in NORTHWESTERN games 65.5% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (19-10)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in NORTHWESTERN games 48.4% of the time since 1992. (91-97)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in PURDUE games 37.9% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (11-18)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in PURDUE games 45.1% of the time since 1992. (92-112)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
  Rushing Passing Turnovers Penalties
Date Teams Score Line Result Half FD TOP ATT-YDS CMP-ATT YDS FL INT PEN-YDS
NORTHWESTERN 45 58 O 14 28 30:46 46-253 23-46 352 0 2 0-0
11/12/2016 PURDUE 17 13 10 22 29:14 32-130 29-32 264 0 4 2-15
PURDUE 14 48 U 7 18 28:23 30-73 26-30 287 0 1 6-60
11/14/2015 NORTHWESTERN 21 -14 14 21 31:37 48-250 11-48 132 1 2 4-23
NORTHWESTERN 38 51 O 24 20 30:36 56-233 13-56 181 1 1 4-35
11/22/2014 PURDUE 14 -1 7 20 29:24 32-61 26-32 251 3 2 4-41
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PURDUE Key Player Injuries
[RB] 11/07/2017 - Tario Fuller is OUT Saturday vs. Northwestern ( Foot )
[LB] 11/05/2017 - T.J. McCollum is doubtful Saturday vs. Northwestern ( Knee )
[CB] 11/05/2017 - Da'Wan Hunte is "?" Saturday vs. Northwestern ( Hip )
[QB] 11/05/2017 - David Blough is out for season ( Leg )
[OL] 10/23/2017 - Grant Hermanns is out indefinitely ( Knee )
[DT] 10/13/2017 - Keiwan Jones out for season ( Knee )
[S] 08/23/2017 - C.J. Parker out for season ( ACL )
NORTHWESTERN Key Player Injuries
[WR] 11/05/2017 - Jalen Brown is "?" Saturday vs. Purdue ( Lower Body )
[DB] 09/18/2017 - Brian Bullock out for season ( Leg )
[DB] 09/18/2017 - Roderick Campbell out for season ( Undisclosed )
[CB] 09/03/2017 - Keith Watkins II out for season ( Knee )
[DE] 08/31/2017 - Xavier Washington out indefinitely ( Suspension )
[WR] 08/23/2017 - Solomon Vault out for season ( Lower Body )