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CFB Game Matchup Report
Saturday, 11/11/2017 at 03:30 pm SMU (6-4) at  NAVY (6-3)
Game Matchups Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics
Teams Line PF PA SU ATS O/U/P RY PY TY RY PY TY
167SMU 65 39.6 32.2 6-4 6-4-0 5-5-0 187.1 310.3 497.4 205.5 263.6 469.1
168NAVY -1 33.7 30.3 6-3 5-3-1 4-5-0 369.8 98.7 468.5 165.8 244.3 410.1
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
Team Estimate Edge
SMU
NAVY -8 7
Average power rating of opponents played: NAVY 33.1, SMU 29.8
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
SMU Team Trends
Description Against the spread Over/Under Straight Up
  Current Last 3 Since 1992 Current Last 3 Since 1992 Current Last 3 Since 1992
  W-L W-L W-L O-U O-U O-U W-L W-L W-L
as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points 0-1 1-3 25-37 0-1 3-1 15-12 0-1 1-3 16-46
in all games 6-3 18-15 134-160 4-5 17-16 74-85 6-3 13-20 104-196
in all lined games 6-3 18-15 134-160 4-5 17-16 74-85 6-3 13-20 99-195
when the total is greater than or equal to 63 6-2 14-10 22-20 4-4 12-12 17-26 6-2 9-15 12-31
when the total is between 63.5 and 70 2-1 8-7 14-11 2-1 9-6 14-12 2-1 5-10 8-18
as an underdog 2-1 10-11 97-112 1-2 11-10 47-58 0-3 2-19 41-168
as a road underdog 1-1 6-5 51-65 1-1 7-4 29-31 0-2 1-10 16-100
as a road underdog of 7 points or less 0-0 1-0 10-16 0-0 1-0 9-6 0-0 1-0 7-20
as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points 0-0 1-0 7-8 0-0 1-0 6-2 0-0 1-0 4-12
in road games 1-2 8-6 64-79 1-2 8-6 35-42 1-2 4-10 32-112
in road lined games 1-2 8-6 64-79 1-2 8-6 35-42 1-2 4-10 32-111
in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 63 1-1 7-2 12-9 1-1 5-4 8-14 1-1 3-6 4-18
in a road game where the total is between 63.5 and 70 1-1 6-2 10-4 1-1 5-3 8-7 1-1 3-5 4-11
against conference opponents 2-3 9-12 90-107 1-4 11-10 51-59 3-2 7-14 73-125
when playing on a Saturday 6-2 15-12 121-144 4-4 13-14 60-71 5-3 12-15 96-175
when playing with 6 or less days rest 4-2 12-11 95-123 3-3 13-10 55-57 4-2 8-15 73-147
after playing a conference game 1-3 8-10 88-100 0-4 8-10 41-60 2-2 6-12 72-117
after playing 2 straight conference games 1-2 6-9 68-76 0-3 6-9 34-44 2-1 6-9 59-87
after playing 3 straight conference games 1-1 5-7 56-59 0-2 6-6 27-34 1-1 4-8 45-71
in games played on turf 5-3 15-13 57-62 3-5 13-15 35-44 6-2 12-16 36-85
in November games 1-0 4-5 39-47 0-1 5-4 23-27 0-1 2-7 36-51
after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games 0-1 2-6 45-52 0-1 3-5 17-23 1-0 2-6 32-65
after failing to cover the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games 1-0 3-4 31-32 0-1 3-4 10-17 0-1 1-6 16-47
after having won 2 out of their last 3 games 3-3 5-5 27-33 1-5 2-8 17-25 4-2 5-5 27-36
after having won 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games 1-2 1-2 8-18 0-3 0-3 5-16 2-1 2-1 8-19
off a home loss against a conference rival 0-0 2-3 24-22 0-0 5-0 13-10 0-0 1-4 13-32
off a loss against a conference rival 0-1 5-6 57-57 0-1 7-4 23-34 1-0 4-7 42-73
off a close loss by 7 points or less to a conference rival 0-0 1-0 14-18 0-0 0-1 7-12 0-0 1-0 11-22
off a cover where the team lost as an underdog 1-0 3-4 18-32 0-1 2-5 10-17 1-0 4-3 16-34
off a home cover where the team lost as an underdog 0-0 1-1 7-11 0-0 1-1 4-5 0-0 1-1 4-14
off a home loss 0-0 3-5 41-36 0-0 7-1 20-17 0-0 2-6 22-55
after allowing 31 points or more in 2 straight games 1-0 7-6 35-31 0-1 8-5 21-21 1-0 4-9 18-49
after allowing 17 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games 1-1 4-7 22-25 0-2 6-5 15-11 1-1 2-9 7-39
after playing a game at home 4-1 9-8 72-71 3-2 12-5 42-35 2-3 5-12 49-96
after a 2 game home stand 1-1 3-3 22-18 1-1 5-1 16-8 0-2 0-6 14-27
after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread 4-1 10-7 54-73 3-2 7-10 33-37 3-2 7-10 46-81
after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses 1-1 7-10 85-99 0-2 10-7 38-50 2-0 7-10 61-127
when playing against a team with a winning record 1-1 5-7 48-48 0-2 5-7 23-33 0-2 1-11 23-73
in weeks 10 through 13 1-0 4-5 39-44 0-1 5-4 23-25 0-1 2-7 37-47
after the first month of the season 2-3 9-12 97-108 1-4 11-10 53-63 3-2 7-14 73-132
in the second half of the season 1-2 6-9 65-75 0-3 6-9 34-48 2-1 6-9 58-82
when the line is +3 to -3 1-0 3-2 16-26 0-1 2-3 11-12 1-0 3-2 16-27
as a road underdog of 3 points or less 0-0 0-0 3-8 0-0 0-0 3-4 0-0 0-0 3-8
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NAVY Team Trends
Description Against the spread Over/Under Straight Up
  Current Last 3 Since 1992 Current Last 3 Since 1992 Current Last 3 Since 1992
  W-L W-L W-L O-U O-U O-U W-L W-L W-L
as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points 3-3 10-4 32-25 3-3 7-8 19-26 5-1 13-2 42-16
in all games 4-3 21-12 164-122 3-5 18-15 86-90 5-3 25-10 165-146
in all lined games 4-3 21-12 164-122 3-5 18-15 86-90 5-3 25-10 148-142
when the total is greater than or equal to 63 3-0 10-2 15-9 0-4 7-5 12-12 2-2 9-4 16-9
when the total is between 63.5 and 70 1-0 7-1 12-4 0-2 6-2 10-6 1-1 6-3 10-7
as a favorite 3-3 16-9 71-66 3-3 13-11 46-52 5-1 22-4 105-34
as a home favorite 1-2 10-5 37-40 2-1 9-5 25-24 3-0 14-1 59-19
as a home favorite of 7 points or less 0-0 6-2 13-14 0-0 5-3 9-12 0-0 7-1 17-11
as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points 0-0 4-0 6-5 0-0 2-2 4-6 0-0 4-0 7-4
in home games 1-2 11-5 54-62 2-2 10-6 31-32 3-1 15-2 85-53
in home lined games 1-2 11-5 54-62 2-2 10-6 31-32 3-1 15-2 68-50
in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 63 0-0 1-1 2-5 0-1 2-1 3-5 0-1 2-1 5-3
in a home game where the total is between 63.5 and 70 0-0 1-0 2-2 0-1 1-1 2-3 0-1 1-1 2-3
against conference opponents 3-2 14-7 44-24 2-4 13-9 27-25 3-3 17-6 36-34
when playing on a Saturday 3-2 18-9 149-110 2-4 13-14 73-77 4-2 23-6 150-133
when playing with 8 days rest 0-0 0-0 0-2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 1-1
after playing a conference game 2-2 12-8 37-27 3-2 10-11 23-23 3-2 15-7 41-27
after playing 2 straight conference games 1-2 7-8 14-10 2-1 7-7 10-8 2-1 9-6 14-10
after playing 3 straight conference games 0-1 3-5 5-5 1-0 3-4 4-4 1-0 5-3 7-3
after playing a Thursday game 0-0 0-0 2-5 0-0 0-0 2-2 0-0 0-0 4-4
in games played on turf 3-2 16-8 55-33 2-4 14-10 29-35 4-2 20-6 57-35
in November games 0-1 6-3 43-27 1-0 7-1 25-15 0-1 7-2 47-28
after having lost 3 out of their last 4 games 0-0 0-0 17-9 0-0 0-0 4-4 0-0 0-0 16-15
off an upset loss to a conference rival as a favorite of 6 or more 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
off an upset loss to a conference rival as a favorite 0-0 0-2 1-2 0-0 0-2 1-2 0-0 1-1 2-1
off a loss against a conference rival 0-1 1-3 17-14 1-1 1-4 6-9 0-2 2-3 19-14
off 2 straight losses against conference rivals 0-1 0-1 2-2 1-0 1-0 1-1 0-1 0-1 1-3
off 3 straight losses against conference rivals 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
off a road loss against a conference rival 0-0 1-1 8-4 0-1 0-3 2-5 0-1 2-1 11-3
off 2 straight losses to conference rivals, allowing 31 points or more 0-0 0-0 1-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 1-0
off an upset loss as a favorite 0-0 1-2 13-20 0-0 1-2 9-11 0-0 1-2 17-16
off an upset loss as a road favorite 0-0 0-1 5-6 0-0 0-1 0-6 0-0 1-0 9-2
off a road loss 0-0 2-2 29-30 0-1 1-4 13-14 0-1 4-1 37-28
after allowing 31 points or more in 2 straight games 0-0 1-2 20-18 0-0 1-2 8-12 0-0 1-2 20-22
after scoring 7 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games 0-0 2-0 23-10 0-0 2-0 7-6 0-0 1-1 12-27
after playing their last game on the road 0-2 5-7 60-56 1-2 5-8 27-39 2-1 9-4 73-53
after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread 2-0 8-3 71-47 1-1 5-6 30-41 1-1 8-3 69-59
after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses 0-1 3-4 70-59 1-1 3-5 29-26 0-2 4-4 63-76
after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses 0-1 1-1 35-30 1-0 2-0 13-8 0-1 0-2 21-50
after 3 or more consecutive straight up losses 0-0 0-0 22-20 0-0 0-0 5-5 0-0 0-0 9-36
when playing against a team with a winning record 1-0 8-7 56-44 0-2 9-7 35-34 0-2 7-9 35-67
in weeks 10 through 13 0-1 6-3 42-26 1-0 7-1 24-14 0-1 7-2 45-28
after the first month of the season 2-2 14-11 123-88 2-3 14-11 68-68 2-3 16-10 120-107
in the second half of the season 0-1 10-8 86-60 1-1 11-7 55-45 0-2 12-7 87-71
when the line is +3 to -3 0-0 2-3 35-27 0-0 4-1 24-21 0-0 3-2 35-28
as a home favorite of 3 points or less 0-0 2-2 7-9 0-0 3-1 5-6 0-0 3-1 10-7
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Team Statistics
Performance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below.
SMU Current Season Performance
  Straight Up Against Spread Team Opponent
  W-L Units W-L O-U Score Half Yards YPP TO Score Half Yards YPP TO
Last 3 Games 1-2 -1.05 1-2 1-2 34 15.333 498.667 6.991 1 36 27.667 544 7.189 2
Conference 3-3 -0.05 2-4 2-4 34 16.667 495.5 6.463 1 33.167 22.333 488.833 6.727 1.833
All 6-4 1.95 6-4 5-5 39.6 21.4 497.4 6.545 0.9 32.2 19.3 469.1 6.453 2.1
Road Games 1-3 -1.05 1-3 2-2 32.25 16.5 467 6.332 1.75 40.5 25.75 519.75 7 2.25
Team Statistics
Performance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below.
NAVY Current Season Performance
  Straight Up Against Spread Team Opponent
  W-L Units W-L O-U Score Half Yards YPP TO Score Half Yards YPP TO
Home Games 4-1 3 2-2 3-2 35.4 20.8 496.6 7.014 1.6 33.8 13 446.2 6.823 1.2
Conference 4-3 -0.4 4-2 3-4 30.429 15.143 447.571 6.216 2.143 29.857 13.714 392 6.251 0.857
All 6-3 1.6 5-3 4-5 33.667 17.222 468.444 6.476 1.889 30.333 12.889 410.111 6.498 1.111
Last 3 Games 1-2 -2.4 1-1 2-1 30 15.667 446.667 6.175 2 35 14 434 7.038 1.333
SMU Current Season Statistics
  Rushing Passing Total
  PPG Half FD TOP ATT-YDS YPR CMP-ATT PCT YDS PYA ATT-YDS YPP YPPT
Offense (All Games) 39.6 21.4 24 31.06 38-187 (5) 23-39 58.4% 310.3 (8.1) 76-497 6.5 12.6
Opponents Defensive Avg. 31.4 17.2 21.8 30.42 40-176 (4.4) 19-32 58.8% 254.3 (7.9) 72-430 6 13.7
Offense Road Games 32.3 16.5 24 31 33-144 (4.4) 25-41 61.6% 323 (7.9) 74-467 6.3 14.5
Defense (All Games) 32.2 19.3 22.7 30.44 42-206 (4.9) 19-31 62% 263.6 (8.6) 73-469 6.5 14.6
Opponents Offensive Avg. 31.4 17.2 21.8 30.42 40-176 (4.4) 19-32 58.8% 254.3 (7.9) 72-430 6 13.7
Defense Road Games 40.5 25.8 26.8 32.75 51-332 (6.5) 17-24 70.2% 188 (8) 74-520 7 12.8
NAVY Current Season Statistics
  Rushing Passing Total
  PPG Half FD TOP ATT-YDS YPR CMP-ATT PCT YDS PYA ATT-YDS YPP YPPT
Offense (All Games) 33.7 17.2 21.9 35.79 63-370 (5.9) 4-9 42.2% 98.7 (10.7) 72-468 6.5 13.9
Opponents Defensive Avg. 29.6 15.6 21.5 30.85 42-205 (4.9) 17-29 58.6% 227 (7.7) 71-432 6.1 14.6
Offense Road Games 35.4 20.8 22.2 34.41 62-408 (6.5) 3-8 35.7% 88.4 (10.5) 71-497 7 14
Defense (All Games) 30.3 12.9 19.4 24.21 35-166 (4.7) 17-28 62.5% 244.3 (8.8) 63-410 6.5 13.5
Opponents Offensive Avg. 29.6 15.6 21.5 30.85 42-205 (4.9) 17-29 58.6% 227 (7.7) 71-432 6.1 14.6
Defense Road Games 33.8 13 20.6 25.59 39-200 (5.1) 16-26 60% 246 (9.5) 65-446 6.8 13.2
SMU Turnovers, Penalties and Special Teams Statistics
  Turnovers Lost Third Downs Fourth Downs Kickoff Returns Punt Returns Penalties
  INT FL TO DIFF #-MADE PCT #-MADE PCT KR-YDS YPKR PR-YDS YPPR PEN-YDS
Stats For (All Games) 0.8 0.1 0.9 1.2 16-7 44.5% 2-0 64.7% 3-63 (21) 1-3 (3.7) 7-67
Opponents Avg. Stats Against 0.7 0.5 1.3 1.5 15-6 40% 2-1 54.8% 3-68 (20.6) 6-1 (5.2) 7-59
Stats For (Road Games) 1.8 0 1.8 0.5 14-7 46.4% 2-1 71.4% 4-82 (20.4) 0-2 (8) 7-72
Stats Against (All Games) 1.1 1 2.1 0 14-6 41.5% 2-1 43.5% 4-98 (22.7) 1-6 (7.6) 7-64
Opponents Avg. Stats For 1 0.7 1.7 0 14-6 42.8% 2-1 51.8% 3-82 (23.9) 11-1 (9.1) 7-62
Stats Against (Road Games) 1 1.3 2.3 0 14-7 53.7% 2-1 55.6% 4-75 (18.8) 0-3 (13) 7-64
NAVY Turnovers, Penalties and Special Teams Statistics
  Turnovers Lost Third Downs Fourth Downs Kickoff Returns Punt Returns Penalties
  INT FL TO DIFF #-MADE PCT #-MADE PCT KR-YDS YPKR PR-YDS YPPR PEN-YDS
Stats For (All Games) 0.9 1 1.9 -0.8 14-7 47.6% 2-0 61.9% 3-63 (19.7) 1-4 (6.2) 4-48
Opponents Avg. Stats Against 0.9 0.7 1.7 2.1 14-6 42.9% 2-1 52.2% 4-69 (19.6) 6-1 (6.9) 7-62
Stats For (Home Games) 0.8 0.8 1.6 -0.4 13-7 49.3% 2-1 45.5% 4-72 (20) 0-0 (0) 3-39
Stats Against (All Games) 0.7 0.4 1.1 0 13-6 44% 1-1 46.2% 4-64 (17.5) 1-6 (6.5) 6-44
Opponents Avg. Stats For 0.9 0.5 1.4 0 14-6 43.1% 2-1 59.5% 3-62 (21.3) 8-1 (7.5) 7-61
Stats Against (Home Games) 0.6 0.6 1.2 0 12-6 45.9% 2-1 66.7% 4-93 (21.1) 1-7 (8.5) 6-49
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
SMU Season Results
  Team Stats Opp Stats
Date Opponent Score SU Line ATS Tot. O/U Rushing Passing TO Rushing Passing TO
09/02/2017 SF AUSTIN 58-14 W -30 W 70.5 O 48-243 12-23-222 1 35-75 16-31-144 4
09/09/2017 NORTH TEXAS 54-32 W -11.5 W 64.5 O 34-99 22-41-394 2 27-69 32-47-424 0
09/16/2017 @TCU 36-56 L 22 L 65.5 O 49-254 24-30-365 0 30-124 18-38-339 0
09/23/2017 ARKANSAS ST 44-21 W -3 W 71.5 U 54-314 16-32-266 2 29-143 23-43-284 0
09/30/2017 CONNECTICUT 49-28 W -16.5 W 75 O 41-218 27-39-280 2 36--8 22-28-408 1
10/07/2017 @HOUSTON 22-35 L 10 L 60 U 40-265 20-28-198 0 26-147 41-59-397 0
10/21/2017 @CINCINNATI 31-28 W -5.5 W 66 U 42-249 22-35-189 1 44-140 26-37-295 1
10/27/2017 TULSA 38-34 W -12.5 W 77.5 U 30-215 20-34-366 0 53-246 9-25-212 1
11/04/2017 UCF 24-31 L 14.5 L 74 U 37-206 27-52-283 0 36-203 23-40-412 0
11/11/2017 @NAVY 40-43 L 1 L 65 O 72-559 0-1-0 0 31-165 16-30-261 0
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NAVY Season Results
  Team Stats Opp Stats
Date Opponent Score SU Line ATS Tot. O/U Rushing Passing TO Rushing Passing TO
09/09/2017 TULANE 23-21 W -8 W 49.5 U 52-194 4-12-132 1 46-191 8-13-71 0
09/23/2017 CINCINNATI 42-32 W -7.5 W 52 O 72-569 2-3-53 0 23-58 28-46-381 0
09/30/2017 @TULSA 31-21 W -7.5 W 70.5 U 39-229 12-18-115 4 68-421 3-4-90 1
10/07/2017 AIR FORCE 48-45 W -10 W 54 O 57-471 4-12-86 2 55-340 10-17-281 0
10/14/2017 @MEMPHIS 27-30 L 3.5 L 73 U 29-118 24-40-279 0 68-314 1-8-20 2
10/21/2017 UCF 21-31 L 10 L 65.5 U 59-248 5-14-171 1 42-247 16-24-236 0
11/02/2017 @TEMPLE 26-34 L -6 L 51.5 O 28-104 22-30-289 0 52-136 13-19-226 1
11/11/2017 SMU 43-40 W -1 W 65 O 72-559 0-1-0 0 31-165 16-30-261 0
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Team Line Action
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NAVY games 38.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (12-19)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in SMU games 44.9% of the time since 1992. (115-141)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in SMU games 26.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (8-22)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NAVY games 46.5% of the time since 1992. (119-137)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in NAVY games 50% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (17-17)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in SMU games 46.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (13-15)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in SMU games 48.9% of the time since 1992. (69-72)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in NAVY games 47.2% of the time since 1992. (77-86)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
  Rushing Passing Turnovers Penalties
Date Teams Score Line Result Half FD TOP ATT-YDS CMP-ATT YDS FL INT PEN-YDS
SMU 40 65 O 11 21 21:37 31-165 16-31 261 0 2 7-65
11/11/2017 NAVY 43 -1 34 24 38:23 72-559 0-72 0 1 1 5-68
NAVY 75 65 O 28 23 25:15 48-496 5-48 104 1 0 4-50
11/26/2016 SMU 31 7 24 27 34:45 37-96 31-37 331 0 2 5-40
SMU 14 59.5 O 7 15 24:24 31-144 9-31 124 0 2 3-40
11/14/2015 NAVY 55 -20 28 28 35:36 65-403 2-65 81 0 0 1-5
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SMU Key Player Injuries
[OL] 11/12/2017 - Nick Natour is "?" Saturday vs. Memphis ( Leg )
[OL] 11/11/2017 - Nick Natour is "?" ( Leg )
[OL] 11/05/2017 - Nick Natour is "?" Saturday vs. Navy ( Leg )
[DL] 11/03/2017 - Dimarya Mixon is out indefinitely ( Knee )
[OL] 08/20/2017 - Braylon Hyder out for season ( Left Team )
[OL] 08/20/2017 - Jerry Saena out for season ( Left Team )
NAVY Key Player Injuries
[DE] 11/12/2017 - Anthony Villalobos is "?" Saturday vs. Notre Dame ( Ankle )
[LB] 11/12/2017 - Hudson Sullivan is "?" Saturday vs. Notre Dame ( Foot )
[QB] 11/12/2017 - Zach Abey available ( Shoulder )
(!)[QB] 11/11/2017 - Zach Abey is downgraded to doubtful Saturday vs. SMU ( Shoulder )
[RB] 11/11/2017 - Malcolm Perry has been named the starter Saturday vs. SMU ( None )
[DE] 11/11/2017 - Anthony Villalobos is "?" ( Ankle )
[LB] 11/11/2017 - Hudson Sullivan is "?" ( Foot )
(!)[QB] 11/11/2017 - Zach Abey is "?" ( Shoulder )
[DE] 11/05/2017 - Anthony Villalobos is "?" Saturday vs. SMU ( Ankle )
[LB] 11/05/2017 - Hudson Sullivan is "?" Saturday vs. SMU ( Foot )
[CB] 11/05/2017 - Tyris Wooten missed last game, is probable Saturday vs. SMU ( Suspension Served )
(!)[QB] 11/05/2017 - Zach Abey injured last game, is "?" Saturday vs. SMU ( Shoulder )
[RB] 10/06/2017 - Tre Walker out for season ( Knee )
[P] 09/09/2017 - Erik Harris out indefinitely ( Suspension )