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CFB Game Matchup Report
Saturday, 10/07/2017 at 12:20 pm DUKE (4-2) at  VIRGINIA (4-1)
Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics
Teams Line PF PA SU ATS O/U/P RY PY TY RY PY TY
335DUKE 52 31.5 20 4-2 4-2-0 2-4-0 203.7 211.8 415.5 88 206.2 294.2
336VIRGINIA -2 30.6 21.2 4-1 3-2-0 2-3-0 122.6 286.2 408.8 131.4 194.6 326
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
Team Power Rating Estimate Edge
DUKE 39 -2 4
VIRGINIA 33
Average power rating of opponents played: VIRGINIA 24.8, DUKE 33
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
DUKE Team Trends
Description Against the spread Over/Under Straight Up
  Current Last 3 Since 1992 Current Last 3 Since 1992 Current Last 3 Since 1992
  W-L W-L W-L O-U O-U O-U W-L W-L W-L
when the line is +3 to -3 2-0 3-3 23-12 1-1 3-3 13-8 2-0 3-3 20-16
in all games 4-1 18-12 150-135 2-3 12-18 70-80 4-1 16-14 91-208
in all lined games 4-1 18-12 150-135 2-3 12-18 70-80 4-1 16-14 84-206
as a favorite 2-0 8-6 33-31 1-1 4-10 13-25 2-0 9-5 41-24
as a road favorite 0-0 3-1 9-8 0-0 2-2 3-6 0-0 3-1 11-6
as a road favorite of 3 points or less 0-0 0-1 2-3 0-0 1-0 2-1 0-0 0-1 2-3
as a road favorite of 7 points or less 0-0 2-1 6-6 0-0 2-1 3-4 0-0 2-1 6-6
in road games 1-0 8-5 74-61 0-1 8-5 27-41 1-0 6-7 35-103
in road lined games 1-0 8-5 74-61 0-1 8-5 27-41 1-0 6-7 35-103
against conference opponents 1-1 8-10 101-98 0-2 8-10 45-58 1-1 6-12 42-161
when playing on a Saturday 4-0 15-11 145-130 2-2 12-14 67-75 4-0 14-12 89-200
after playing a conference game 0-1 7-9 92-93 0-1 8-8 48-47 0-1 6-10 49-146
after playing 2 straight conference games 0-0 5-5 64-67 0-0 6-4 38-31 0-0 4-6 32-105
in games played on a grass field 4-1 13-12 130-128 2-3 10-15 63-71 4-1 12-13 77-195
in October games 0-0 5-3 53-39 0-0 3-5 21-26 0-0 4-4 28-68
after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games 0-0 4-4 52-39 0-0 5-3 20-25 0-0 3-5 32-64
after having won 2 out of their last 3 games 0-0 3-2 22-17 0-0 1-4 11-16 0-0 3-2 15-26
after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games 0-0 2-3 31-36 0-0 3-2 15-18 0-0 1-4 21-46
after having won 3 out of their last 4 games 0-0 2-2 15-8 0-0 2-2 9-12 0-0 3-1 13-10
after covering the spread in 4 out of their last 5 games 0-0 2-1 15-21 0-0 1-2 13-11 0-0 1-2 8-28
after having won 4 out of their last 5 games 0-0 2-2 12-7 0-0 3-1 11-7 0-0 2-2 10-9
off a home loss against a conference rival 0-0 2-3 32-36 0-0 2-3 16-18 0-0 2-3 12-61
off a loss against a conference rival 0-0 5-5 72-72 0-0 5-5 36-32 0-0 3-7 31-122
off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference rival 0-0 2-4 50-49 0-0 3-3 25-23 0-0 1-5 23-83
off a blowout loss by 21 points or more to a conference rival 0-0 0-2 35-32 0-0 1-1 16-13 0-0 0-2 18-54
off a home loss 0-0 3-3 42-47 0-0 2-4 21-25 0-0 3-3 16-78
off a home loss by 14 or more points 0-0 1-1 27-26 0-0 1-1 9-15 0-0 1-1 8-49
after a loss by 17 or more points 0-0 0-3 51-48 0-0 2-1 22-19 0-0 0-3 23-82
after a loss by 21 or more points 0-0 0-2 44-37 0-0 1-1 17-17 0-0 0-2 21-66
after scoring 14 points or less last game 0-0 5-3 47-45 0-0 4-4 23-21 0-0 3-5 19-77
after scoring 6 points or less last game 0-0 0-0 6-15 0-0 0-0 5-4 0-0 0-0 3-20
after scoring 9 points or less last game 0-0 1-0 19-23 0-0 0-1 10-8 0-0 1-0 8-36
after playing a game at home 3-0 8-7 69-72 1-2 4-11 34-43 3-0 8-7 42-104
after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread 0-0 5-5 65-63 0-0 5-5 28-34 0-0 5-5 32-102
after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses 0-0 7-5 97-90 0-0 6-6 43-42 0-0 5-7 42-155
when playing against a team with a winning record 0-0 6-6 70-54 0-0 5-7 34-33 0-0 4-8 25-100
in the first half of the season 4-1 12-6 81-70 2-3 3-15 28-47 4-1 12-6 60-102
after the first month of the season 0-1 9-9 101-93 0-1 9-9 52-54 0-1 7-11 50-149
in weeks 5 through 9 0-1 5-4 59-47 0-1 3-6 23-31 0-1 4-5 33-77
as an underdog 2-1 10-6 117-104 1-2 8-8 57-55 2-1 7-9 43-182
as a road underdog 1-0 5-4 65-53 0-1 6-3 24-35 1-0 3-6 24-97
as a road underdog of 3 points or less 1-0 1-0 6-0 0-1 0-1 3-1 1-0 1-0 5-1
as a road underdog of 7 points or less 1-0 3-2 18-9 0-1 3-2 7-9 1-0 2-3 14-13
when the total is between 49.5 and 56 1-1 5-5 23-25 1-1 5-5 26-21 1-1 3-7 16-33
in a road game where the total is between 49.5 and 56 0-0 2-2 12-11 0-0 3-1 12-11 0-0 1-3 8-15
in a road game where the total is between 52.5 and 56 0-0 0-2 5-9 0-0 2-0 10-4 0-0 0-2 5-9
in a road game where the total is between 49.5 and 52 0-0 2-0 7-2 0-0 1-1 2-7 0-0 1-1 3-6
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VIRGINIA Team Trends
Description Against the spread Over/Under Straight Up
  Current Last 3 Since 1992 Current Last 3 Since 1992 Current Last 3 Since 1992
  W-L W-L W-L O-U O-U O-U W-L W-L W-L
when the line is +3 to -3 0-0 2-3 22-36 0-0 4-1 27-24 0-0 2-3 24-34
in all games 2-2 15-12 140-153 2-2 11-15 96-117 3-1 9-19 159-149
in all lined games 2-2 15-12 140-153 2-2 11-15 96-117 3-1 9-19 149-148
as an underdog 1-1 14-8 78-71 1-1 9-14 57-78 1-1 5-18 44-107
as a home underdog 0-1 6-5 34-29 0-1 5-6 24-34 0-1 3-8 34-40
as a home underdog of 3 points or less 0-0 1-2 6-6 0-0 3-0 6-5 0-0 1-2 5-7
as a home underdog of 7 points or less 0-1 4-3 21-16 0-1 4-3 13-21 0-1 3-4 18-19
in home games 1-2 7-9 74-78 1-2 7-7 46-60 2-1 7-9 103-60
in home lined games 1-2 7-9 74-78 1-2 7-7 46-60 2-1 7-9 93-59
against conference opponents 0-0 9-7 93-105 0-0 6-10 52-88 0-0 4-12 98-102
when playing on a Saturday 1-2 14-11 129-139 1-2 9-15 83-105 2-1 8-18 150-131
when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest 0-0 1-1 21-23 0-0 1-1 20-17 0-0 0-2 24-22
after playing a non-conference game 2-1 8-3 48-50 2-1 5-5 32-41 2-1 5-6 62-43
after playing 2 straight non-conference games 2-0 6-2 21-20 2-0 4-3 13-20 2-0 5-3 24-19
after a bye week 0-0 1-1 24-26 0-0 1-1 21-21 0-0 0-2 27-25
in games played on a grass field 1-2 12-11 123-133 1-2 8-14 83-112 2-1 8-16 139-132
in October games 0-0 5-3 41-53 0-0 2-6 24-44 0-0 3-5 48-49
after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games 0-0 3-1 36-43 0-0 1-3 28-33 0-0 2-2 39-41
after having won 2 out of their last 3 games 1-0 2-2 45-54 1-0 2-2 31-43 1-0 1-3 51-52
after having won 3 out of their last 4 games 0-0 0-0 24-38 0-0 0-0 19-22 0-0 0-0 31-32
off a upset win as a double digit underdog 0-0 0-0 5-6 0-0 0-0 4-5 0-0 0-0 6-5
off a double digit upset win as an underdog of 6 more 0-0 0-0 2-2 0-0 0-0 3-1 0-0 0-0 3-1
off a win by 10 points or more as an underdog 0-0 1-1 6-9 0-0 1-1 6-4 0-0 1-1 9-6
off an upset win by 14 points or more as an underdog 0-0 1-1 5-7 0-0 1-1 5-3 0-0 1-1 7-5
off an upset win as an underdog 0-0 3-1 18-25 0-0 1-3 18-16 0-0 1-3 19-24
off an upset win as a road underdog of 10 or more 0-0 0-0 3-3 0-0 0-0 2-3 0-0 0-0 4-2
off a double digit upset win as a road underdog of 6 more 0-0 0-0 1-1 0-0 0-0 2-0 0-0 0-0 2-0
off an upset win by 10 or more as a road underdog 0-0 0-1 2-5 0-0 1-0 4-0 0-0 0-1 4-3
off an upset win by 14 points or more as a road underdog 0-0 0-1 1-5 0-0 1-0 3-0 0-0 0-1 3-3
off an upset win as a road underdog 0-0 0-1 5-12 0-0 1-0 8-5 0-0 0-1 8-9
off a double digit road win 0-0 0-1 11-21 0-0 1-0 10-6 0-0 0-1 20-12
off a road win 0-0 0-1 18-32 0-0 1-0 16-15 0-0 0-1 29-21
after a win by 17 or more points 1-1 1-1 31-41 1-1 1-1 21-21 1-1 1-1 46-27
after 2 straight wins by 17 or more points 0-0 0-0 8-10 0-0 0-0 4-4 0-0 0-0 12-7
after scoring 31 points or more in 2 straight games 0-0 1-2 11-19 0-0 1-2 4-14 0-0 0-3 18-13
after scoring 37 points or more last game 1-0 4-0 26-34 1-0 1-3 13-23 1-0 2-2 36-24
after scoring 37 points or more in 2 straight games 0-0 0-0 4-7 0-0 0-0 0-4 0-0 0-0 9-2
after scoring 42 points or more last game 0-0 3-0 19-20 0-0 0-3 7-14 0-0 1-2 26-13
after scoring 20 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games 0-0 1-2 10-20 0-0 1-2 7-10 0-0 0-3 17-15
after playing their last game on the road 0-0 6-4 57-66 0-0 7-3 40-46 0-0 4-6 72-54
after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread 1-0 9-4 65-69 1-0 7-5 52-48 1-0 7-6 78-60
after 2 or more consecutive wins against the spread 0-0 6-1 28-31 0-0 4-3 23-23 0-0 3-4 32-28
after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins 1-1 5-3 68-87 1-1 3-5 48-58 1-1 2-6 86-72
after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins 0-0 0-1 32-46 0-0 1-0 24-29 0-0 0-1 42-38
when playing against a team with a winning record 1-0 8-8 67-85 1-0 9-7 64-66 1-0 4-12 57-97
in the first half of the season 2-2 8-7 69-74 2-2 7-7 45-49 3-1 7-9 96-60
after the first month of the season 0-0 9-7 94-115 0-0 6-10 72-89 0-0 4-12 99-115
in weeks 5 through 9 0-0 5-3 47-59 0-0 2-6 30-47 0-0 3-5 57-53
as a favorite 1-1 1-4 62-82 1-1 2-1 39-39 2-0 4-1 105-41
as a home favorite 1-1 1-4 40-49 1-1 2-1 22-26 2-0 4-1 69-20
as a home favorite of 3 points or less 0-0 0-0 5-11 0-0 0-0 6-8 0-0 0-0 8-8
as a home favorite of 7 points or less 0-0 0-1 14-21 0-0 1-0 18-12 0-0 1-0 21-14
when the total is between 49.5 and 56 2-2 6-6 33-41 2-2 6-7 31-43 3-1 7-6 34-41
in a home game where the total is between 49.5 and 56 1-2 4-4 21-20 1-2 4-4 15-25 2-1 6-2 24-17
in a home game where the total is between 52.5 and 56 0-1 2-2 13-12 0-1 2-2 10-14 0-1 2-2 16-9
in a home game where the total is between 49.5 and 52 1-1 2-2 8-8 1-1 2-2 5-11 2-0 4-0 8-8
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Team Statistics
Performance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below.
DUKE Current Season Performance
  Straight Up Against Spread Team Opponent
  W-L Units W-L O-U Score Half Yards YPP TO Score Half Yards YPP TO
Conference 1-2 -1.1 1-2 0-3 18 10 330.667 4.116 1.333 25.333 13.667 365.333 5.295 1.333
Last 3 Games 1-2 -1.1 1-2 0-3 18 10 330.667 4.116 1.333 25.333 13.667 365.333 5.295 1.333
Road Games 1-1 -0.1 1-1 0-2 24 12 321.5 4.203 1 22.5 12 343.5 4.705 1.5
All 4-2 1 4-2 2-4 31.5 18.667 415.5 4.869 1.333 20 10.833 294.167 4.757 2
Team Statistics
Performance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below.
VIRGINIA Current Season Performance
  Straight Up Against Spread Team Opponent
  W-L Units W-L O-U Score Half Yards YPP TO Score Half Yards YPP TO
Conference 1-0 1.1 1-0 0-1 28 14 310 3.827 2 21 14 255 3.446 2
All 4-1 6.1 3-2 2-3 30.6 15.2 408.8 5.323 0.6 21.2 9 326 4.752 1.4
Home Games 3-1 1.1 2-2 1-3 27.75 13.75 401 5.092 0.75 20.75 7.75 311.75 4.688 1.5
Last 3 Games 3-0 7.1 3-0 2-1 36 19.667 458.667 6.226 1 20.667 9.333 357.333 4.917 1.667
DUKE Current Season Statistics
  Rushing Passing Total
  PPG Half FD TOP ATT-YDS YPR CMP-ATT PCT YDS PYA ATT-YDS YPP YPPT
Offense (All Games) 31.5 18.7 24.8 33.75 47-204 (4.4) 21-39 55.2% 211.8 (5.5) 85-416 4.9 13.2
Opponents Defensive Avg. 32.3 17.7 23.1 31.85 42-189 (4.5) 21-34 61.3% 237.9 (7) 76-427 5.6 13.2
Offense Road Games 24 12 18.5 28.97 39-159 (4.1) 16-38 42.1% 163 (4.3) 77-322 4.2 13.4
Defense (All Games) 20 10.8 14.5 26.25 31-88 (2.9) 16-31 50% 206.2 (6.7) 62-294 4.8 14.7
Opponents Offensive Avg. 32.3 17.7 23.1 31.85 42-189 (4.5) 21-34 61.3% 237.9 (7) 76-427 5.6 13.2
Defense Road Games 22.5 12 18 31.03 36-123 (3.5) 21-38 54.7% 220.5 (5.9) 73-344 4.7 15.3
VIRGINIA Current Season Statistics
  Rushing Passing Total
  PPG Half FD TOP ATT-YDS YPR CMP-ATT PCT YDS PYA ATT-YDS YPP YPPT
Offense (All Games) 30.6 15.2 22 33.81 33-123 (3.7) 28-44 63.8% 286.2 (6.6) 77-409 5.3 13.4
Opponents Defensive Avg. 28.4 14.3 19.5 30.89 35-123 (3.5) 23-37 61.7% 258.5 (6.9) 73-381 5.2 13.4
Offense Road Games 27.8 13.8 22.3 33.91 32-112 (3.5) 30-47 63.5% 289.5 (6.1) 79-401 5.1 14.5
Defense (All Games) 21.2 9 18.6 26.19 36-131 (3.7) 17-33 52.4% 194.6 (5.9) 69-326 4.8 15.4
Opponents Offensive Avg. 28.4 14.3 19.5 30.89 35-123 (3.5) 23-37 61.7% 258.5 (6.9) 73-381 5.2 13.4
Defense Road Games 20.8 7.8 17.8 26.09 39-157 (4) 15-28 52.3% 155 (5.6) 67-312 4.7 15
DUKE Turnovers, Penalties and Special Teams Statistics
  Turnovers Lost Third Downs Fourth Downs Kickoff Returns Punt Returns Penalties
  INT FL TO DIFF #-MADE PCT #-MADE PCT KR-YDS YPKR PR-YDS YPPR PEN-YDS
Stats For (All Games) 0.8 0.5 1.3 0.7 18-7 38.9% 2-0 66.7% 2-59 (27.2) 2-7 (4) 5-53
Opponents Avg. Stats Against 0.7 0.5 1.2 1.8 16-6 40.3% 2-1 61.3% 3-74 (24.1) 14-2 (7.7) 6-54
Stats For (Road Games) 1 0 1 0.5 18-6 34.3% 2-1 66.7% 1-43 (42.5) 2-17 (11) 5-40
Stats Against (All Games) 1.7 0.3 2 0 13-3 23.8% 2-1 30% 4-78 (20.3) 2-10 (6) 7-64
Opponents Avg. Stats For 1 0.4 1.4 0 14-5 33.8% 2-1 49% 4-76 (20.9) 11-1 (9.2) 7-64
Stats Against (Road Games) 1.5 0 1.5 0 17-6 32.4% 3-1 40% 4-84 (24) 4-9 (2.6) 7-66
VIRGINIA Turnovers, Penalties and Special Teams Statistics
  Turnovers Lost Third Downs Fourth Downs Kickoff Returns Punt Returns Penalties
  INT FL TO DIFF #-MADE PCT #-MADE PCT KR-YDS YPKR PR-YDS YPPR PEN-YDS
Stats For (All Games) 0.6 0 0.6 0.8 17-9 49.4% 2-0 41.7% 3-63 (24.3) 2-11 (6.1) 5-48
Opponents Avg. Stats Against 0.7 0.4 1 1.3 16-6 39.4% 2-1 49.7% 3-61 (23.7) 9-2 (5.9) 6-52
Stats For (Home Games) 0.8 0 0.8 0.8 18-9 47.2% 3-1 41.7% 3-66 (24.1) 2-10 (4.8) 6-54
Stats Against (All Games) 1.2 0.2 1.4 0 14-4 27.1% 3-1 38.5% 3-92 (28.7) 2-28 (12.5) 5-45
Opponents Avg. Stats For 1 0.7 1.7 0 15-5 33.9% 2-1 51.3% 3-69 (23) 18-2 (10) 5-38
Stats Against (Home Games) 1.3 0.3 1.5 0 14-4 27.8% 2-1 44.4% 3-79 (31.7) 2-31 (15.5) 4-40
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
DUKE Season Results
  Team Stats Opp Stats
Date Opponent Score SU Line ATS Tot. O/U Rushing Passing TO Rushing Passing TO
09/02/2017 NC CENTRAL 60-7 W -28.5 W 48.5 O 47-243 26-34-281 1 31-64 11-18-94 3
09/09/2017 NORTHWESTERN 41-17 W 2 W 54.5 O 59-233 29-45-305 0 21-22 14-33-169 1
09/16/2017 BAYLOR 34-20 W -10 W 61 U 51-246 20-35-193 0 27-57 12-34-263 3
09/23/2017 @N CAROLINA 27-17 W 2.5 W 61 U 33-118 17-32-259 2 45-186 18-34-202 3
09/29/2017 MIAMI 6-31 L 5 L 55.5 U 46-183 21-42-166 2 35-139 15-26-270 0
10/07/2017 @VIRGINIA 21-28 L -2 L 53 U 38-128 24-43-182 1 32-131 14-42-124 4
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VIRGINIA Season Results
  Team Stats Opp Stats
Date Opponent Score SU Line ATS Tot. O/U Rushing Passing TO Rushing Passing TO
09/02/2017 WILLIAM & MARY 28-10 W -25.5 W 51 U 32-92 27-40-262 1 41-168 7-13-72 2
09/09/2017 INDIANA 17-34 L 3.5 L 56 U 25-55 39-66-259 5 41-121 19-30-197 2
09/16/2017 CONNECTICUT 38-18 W -12.5 W 51.5 O 31-171 30-40-455 1 41-207 18-26-227 0
09/22/2017 @BOISE ST 42-23 W 14 W 50.5 O 24-30 28-53-353 1 40-167 19-29-273 3
10/07/2017 DUKE 28-21 W 2 W 53 U 38-128 24-43-182 1 32-131 14-42-124 4
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Team Line Action
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in VIRGINIA games 48% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (12-13)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in VIRGINIA games 46.7% of the time since 1992. (120-137)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in DUKE games 51.9% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (14-13)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in DUKE games 51% of the time since 1992. (128-123)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in VIRGINIA games 54.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (13-11)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in VIRGINIA games 49.3% of the time since 1992. (99-102)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in DUKE games 66.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (18-9)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in DUKE games 51.1% of the time since 1992. (69-66)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
  Rushing Passing Turnovers Penalties
Date Teams Score Line Result Half FD TOP ATT-YDS CMP-ATT YDS FL INT PEN-YDS
DUKE 21 53 U 14 17 24:20 32-131 14-32 124 0 2 7-68
10/07/2017 VIRGINIA 28 2 14 21 35:40 38-128 24-38 182 0 2 7-67
VIRGINIA 34 61.5 U 20 16 31:03 36-80 23-36 336 0 1 7-59
10/01/2016 DUKE 20 -3 10 25 28:57 31-106 33-31 324 1 5 2-25
DUKE 34 54 O 13 29 26:04 31-100 30-31 385 2 1 9-80
11/21/2015 VIRGINIA 42 2 28 25 33:56 39-143 25-39 359 1 1 8-105
VIRGINIA 13 49 U 10 23 31:10 31-140 22-31 325 1 0 6-60
10/18/2014 DUKE 20 -3 10 19 28:50 30-155 23-30 179 0 0 3-30
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DUKE Key Player Injuries
[DT] 10/07/2017 - Quaven Ferguson "?" ( Foot )
[DT] 10/01/2017 - Quaven Ferguson "?" Saturday vs. Virginia ( Foot )
[C] 09/08/2017 - Will Taylor out indefinitely ( Knee )
VIRGINIA Key Player Injuries
[LB] 10/02/2017 - Malcolm Cook out indefinitely ( Ankle )
[CB] 09/04/2017 - Tim Harris out for season ( Wrist )