Toggle navigation
CFB Game Matchup Report
Saturday, 10/07/2017 at 12:00 pm PENN ST (6-0) at  NORTHWESTERN (2-3)
Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics
Teams Line PF PA SU ATS O/U/P RY PY TY RY PY TY
331PENN ST 51 39.7 9 6-0 5-1-0 1-5-0 165 291.2 456.2 117.3 167.8 285.1
332NORTHWESTERN +13 25.6 26.4 2-3 2-3-0 2-2-1 114.6 262.6 377.2 135 248.6 383.6
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
Team Power Rating Estimate Edge
PENN ST 57 -13
NORTHWESTERN 40
Average power rating of opponents played: NORTHWESTERN 38.4, PENN ST 33.3
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
PENN ST Team Trends
Description Against the spread Over/Under Straight Up
  Current Last 3 Since 1992 Current Last 3 Since 1992 Current Last 3 Since 1992
  W-L W-L W-L O-U O-U O-U W-L W-L W-L
as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points 2-1 5-2 39-21 0-3 3-4 18-24 3-0 7-0 57-4
in all games 4-1 17-14 153-148 1-4 16-15 114-139 5-0 23-9 215-101
in all lined games 4-1 17-14 153-148 1-4 16-15 114-139 5-0 23-9 209-101
as a favorite 4-1 13-9 117-104 1-4 10-11 77-92 5-0 20-2 184-41
as a road favorite 0-1 3-3 36-35 0-1 3-3 26-27 1-0 4-2 58-16
as a road favorite of 14.5 to 17 points 0-0 1-0 4-2 0-0 1-0 1-0 0-0 1-0 6-0
as a road favorite of 14.5 to 21 points 0-0 1-0 8-2 0-0 1-0 2-0 0-0 1-0 10-0
as a road favorite of 14.5 or more points 0-0 2-0 14-7 0-0 1-1 4-2 0-0 2-0 21-0
in road games 0-1 3-6 51-62 0-1 6-4 46-51 1-0 4-6 66-53
in road lined games 0-1 3-6 51-62 0-1 6-4 46-51 1-0 4-6 66-53
against conference opponents 1-1 12-8 91-98 0-2 10-9 82-84 2-0 15-5 123-73
when playing on a Saturday 4-1 16-14 143-141 1-4 15-15 108-128 5-0 23-8 205-94
when playing with 6 or less days rest 3-1 14-10 119-110 1-3 13-11 89-105 4-0 20-5 166-75
after playing a conference game 1-0 12-7 101-84 0-1 11-7 83-83 1-0 13-6 129-64
after playing 2 straight conference games 0-0 10-5 80-70 0-0 10-5 67-66 0-0 10-5 103-53
in games played on a grass field 4-0 14-10 124-114 1-3 12-12 88-114 4-0 18-7 174-77
in October games 0-0 5-4 49-42 0-0 2-6 33-42 0-0 8-1 64-31
after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games 1-0 3-2 35-43 0-1 1-4 26-41 1-0 4-1 52-30
after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games 1-0 2-1 14-26 0-1 1-2 18-19 1-0 2-1 25-18
after covering the spread in 4 out of their last 5 games 0-0 1-0 9-4 0-0 1-0 6-6 0-0 1-0 11-3
off a home win against a conference rival 0-0 6-2 34-29 0-0 5-3 23-31 0-0 6-2 46-19
off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival 0-0 7-2 43-33 0-0 6-3 31-35 0-0 7-2 59-20
off a blowout win by 21 points or more over a conference rival 0-0 6-2 26-21 0-0 6-2 21-20 0-0 6-2 34-14
off a win against a conference rival 1-0 12-2 66-49 0-1 8-6 53-49 1-0 11-3 85-35
off 2 straight wins against conference rivals 0-0 8-1 32-30 0-0 7-2 31-20 0-0 7-2 43-20
after a cover as a double digit favorite 2-1 5-2 26-42 1-2 4-3 25-32 3-0 7-0 44-25
off a home win by 17 points or more 2-1 6-3 37-51 1-2 6-4 26-43 3-0 7-3 60-31
off a home blowout win by 28 points or more 1-1 2-2 18-27 0-2 2-2 13-19 2-0 3-1 30-16
off a home win 2-1 10-5 62-64 1-2 8-8 41-61 3-0 12-4 91-40
after allowing 14 points or less last game 2-1 9-3 56-60 1-2 7-6 44-58 3-0 10-3 82-41
after a win by 17 or more points 2-1 8-3 55-64 1-2 8-4 39-55 3-0 9-3 84-40
after a win by 21 or more points 1-1 7-3 47-53 0-2 6-4 34-46 2-0 8-2 70-32
after a win by 28 or more points 1-1 4-2 30-31 0-2 4-2 22-25 2-0 5-1 44-18
after scoring 37 points or more last game 1-1 8-4 46-48 0-2 7-5 30-44 2-0 10-2 66-30
after scoring 42 points or more last game 1-1 4-1 31-29 0-2 2-3 15-30 2-0 5-0 42-19
after scoring 24 points or more in the first half last game 1-1 3-2 26-29 0-2 1-4 18-24 2-0 5-0 40-15
after playing a game at home 2-1 10-6 76-84 1-2 9-8 53-83 3-0 12-5 109-59
after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread 2-1 11-4 73-72 1-2 9-6 58-62 3-0 12-3 100-49
after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins 3-1 16-5 104-95 1-3 11-11 77-89 4-0 17-5 145-63
after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins 2-1 12-4 68-62 1-2 9-7 56-46 3-0 13-3 99-35
after 3 or more consecutive straight up wins 1-1 9-3 45-42 0-2 6-6 37-31 2-0 10-2 65-24
after 4 or more consecutive straight up wins 1-0 8-1 30-27 0-1 5-4 26-17 1-0 7-2 45-14
after 5 or more consecutive straight up wins 0-0 5-1 20-18 0-0 4-2 19-11 0-0 4-2 28-12
in the first half of the season 4-1 8-9 70-80 1-4 6-11 42-76 5-0 14-4 114-47
after the first month of the season 1-0 12-8 107-100 0-1 10-9 89-95 1-0 14-6 136-79
in weeks 5 through 9 1-0 6-4 54-49 0-1 2-7 38-49 1-0 9-1 70-37
as a road favorite of 10.5 to 14 points 0-1 0-1 3-4 0-1 0-1 1-4 1-0 1-0 8-0
as a road favorite of 7.5 to 14 points 0-1 0-1 7-9 0-1 0-1 6-7 1-0 1-0 15-2
when the total is between 49.5 and 56 1-1 7-4 42-32 1-1 4-6 38-38 2-0 9-2 54-23
in a road game where the total is between 49.5 and 56 0-1 1-3 15-15 0-1 1-3 20-12 1-0 2-2 20-12
in a road game where the total is between 52.5 and 56 0-0 1-1 6-4 0-0 1-1 7-4 0-0 1-1 8-3
in a road game where the total is between 49.5 and 52 0-1 0-2 9-11 0-1 0-2 13-8 1-0 1-1 12-9
Show AllShow Less
NORTHWESTERN Team Trends
Description Against the spread Over/Under Straight Up
  Current Last 3 Since 1992 Current Last 3 Since 1992 Current Last 3 Since 1992
  W-L W-L W-L O-U O-U O-U W-L W-L W-L
as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points 1-0 3-1 31-30 1-0 2-1 18-22 0-1 2-2 16-44
in all games 2-2 18-12 156-142 2-1 10-18 93-115 2-2 19-11 151-155
in all lined games 2-2 18-12 156-142 2-1 10-18 93-115 2-2 19-11 146-153
as an underdog 1-0 10-5 107-84 1-0 7-7 65-71 0-1 8-7 65-127
as a home underdog 0-0 2-3 43-37 0-0 2-3 25-31 0-0 2-3 30-56
as a home underdog of 14.5 to 17 points 0-0 0-0 3-2 0-0 0-0 0-1 0-0 0-0 0-5
as a home underdog of 14.5 to 21 points 0-0 0-0 3-4 0-0 0-0 1-1 0-0 0-0 0-7
as a home underdog of 14.5 or more points 0-0 0-0 7-6 0-0 0-0 2-2 0-0 0-0 0-14
in home games 1-1 8-8 69-80 0-1 3-12 43-61 2-0 11-5 83-72
in home lined games 1-1 8-8 69-80 0-1 3-12 43-61 2-0 11-5 79-70
against conference opponents 1-0 12-6 105-95 1-0 8-9 66-78 0-1 11-7 88-114
when playing on a Saturday 2-2 17-11 143-137 2-1 9-17 84-107 2-2 18-10 144-144
when playing with 6 or less days rest 1-1 13-9 120-116 1-0 6-14 69-92 1-1 14-8 122-117
after playing a conference game 0-0 11-6 102-93 0-0 8-8 63-74 0-0 11-6 87-110
in games played on a grass field 1-2 13-10 101-106 1-1 7-15 66-87 2-1 16-7 106-107
in October games 0-0 6-2 50-50 0-0 4-3 36-35 0-0 5-3 43-59
after having lost 2 out of their last 3 games 0-0 5-2 48-29 0-0 5-2 25-27 0-0 5-2 38-41
after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games 0-0 7-4 50-38 0-0 3-7 27-36 0-0 8-3 49-41
off a loss against a conference rival 0-0 4-2 60-50 0-0 5-1 32-37 0-0 4-2 46-65
off a road loss against a conference rival 0-0 1-2 29-27 0-0 2-1 14-23 0-0 1-2 22-34
off a cover where the team lost as an underdog 0-0 0-1 21-16 0-0 0-1 9-13 0-0 0-1 13-24
off a road cover where the team lost as an underdog 0-0 0-1 9-11 0-0 0-1 3-10 0-0 0-1 7-13
off a road loss 1-0 2-2 38-32 0-0 2-1 19-26 1-0 2-2 29-41
after allowing 7 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games 0-0 4-3 20-17 0-0 1-6 8-14 0-0 5-2 21-17
after playing their last game on the road 1-0 6-4 73-57 0-0 4-5 41-52 1-0 7-3 69-66
after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread 1-0 9-7 82-67 1-0 4-11 45-60 0-1 9-7 78-75
after 2 or more consecutive wins against the spread 0-0 3-4 40-32 0-0 1-6 22-31 0-0 4-3 37-35
after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses 1-0 6-3 82-65 0-0 5-3 42-49 1-0 6-3 66-81
when playing against a team with a winning record 1-0 7-7 71-70 1-0 5-8 55-55 0-1 6-8 49-94
in the first half of the season 2-2 9-8 79-76 2-1 5-10 51-53 2-2 10-7 87-75
after the first month of the season 1-0 13-6 112-99 1-0 9-9 70-84 0-1 12-7 94-119
in weeks 5 through 9 1-0 7-2 60-53 1-0 5-3 40-42 0-1 5-4 50-65
as a home underdog of 10.5 to 14 points 0-0 0-0 6-7 0-0 0-0 4-3 0-0 0-0 3-9
as a home underdog of 7.5 to 14 points 0-0 1-1 17-10 0-0 0-2 8-10 0-0 1-1 12-14
when the total is between 49.5 and 56 2-1 7-2 36-36 2-0 3-5 38-33 1-2 5-4 37-34
in a home game where the total is between 49.5 and 56 1-0 3-1 17-24 0-0 0-3 20-20 1-0 3-1 25-15
in a home game where the total is between 52.5 and 56 1-0 2-1 11-13 0-0 0-2 11-12 1-0 2-1 16-7
in a home game where the total is between 49.5 and 52 0-0 1-0 6-11 0-0 0-1 9-8 0-0 1-0 9-8
Show AllShow Less
Team Statistics
Performance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below.
PENN ST Current Season Performance
  Straight Up Against Spread Team Opponent
  W-L Units W-L O-U Score Half Yards YPP TO Score Half Yards YPP TO
All 6-0 4 5-1 1-5 39.667 21.167 456.167 6.486 0.833 9 4 285.167 4.007 2.833
Conference 3-0 3 2-1 0-3 32.333 14.333 443.333 5.278 1 13.333 7 296.667 4.518 2.667
Last 3 Games 3-0 3 2-1 0-3 32.333 14.333 443.333 5.278 1 13.333 7 296.667 4.518 2.667
Road Games 2-0 2 1-1 0-2 26 7.5 480 5.393 1 13 3.5 269 4.559 2
Team Statistics
Performance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below.
NORTHWESTERN Current Season Performance
  Straight Up Against Spread Team Opponent
  W-L Units W-L O-U Score Half Yards YPP TO Score Half Yards YPP TO
Conference 0-2 -2 1-1 1-1 15.5 5 254.5 3.349 2.5 32 8.5 343.5 5.051 1.5
Last 3 Games 1-2 -2 2-1 1-1 26.667 15 395.667 5.252 2.333 23.667 8 346.333 4.948 1.333
Home Games 2-1 -1 1-2 0-2 29 14 483.667 6.174 2.333 19.333 11.333 358 4.972 1
All 2-3 -3.3 2-3 2-2 25.6 12.4 377.2 5.125 2.4 26.4 12.4 383.6 5.088 1.6
PENN ST Current Season Statistics
  Rushing Passing Total
  PPG Half FD TOP ATT-YDS YPR CMP-ATT PCT YDS PYA ATT-YDS YPP YPPT
Offense (All Games) 39.7 21.2 21.5 29.93 35-165 (4.8) 24-36 65.9% 291.2 (8.2) 70-456 6.5 11.5
Opponents Defensive Avg. 24.8 12.8 19.8 29.68 36-153 (4.2) 20-34 59.5% 242.8 (7.2) 70-396 5.6 15.9
Offense Road Games 26 7.5 26 36.86 45-195 (4.4) 30-45 67.4% 285 (6.4) 89-480 5.4 18.5
Defense (All Games) 9 4 17 30.07 38-117 (3.1) 18-33 53.8% 167.8 (5.1) 71-285 4 31.7
Opponents Offensive Avg. 24.8 12.8 19.8 29.68 36-153 (4.2) 20-34 59.5% 242.8 (7.2) 70-396 5.6 15.9
Defense Road Games 13 3.5 13 23.14 27-75 (2.8) 18-33 55.4% 194.5 (6) 59-269 4.6 20.7
NORTHWESTERN Current Season Statistics
  Rushing Passing Total
  PPG Half FD TOP ATT-YDS YPR CMP-ATT PCT YDS PYA ATT-YDS YPP YPPT
Offense (All Games) 25.6 12.4 21.4 29.28 36-115 (3.2) 24-38 62.1% 262.6 (6.9) 74-377 5.1 14.7
Opponents Defensive Avg. 22.3 13.6 19.6 29.89 37-136 (3.7) 19-33 59% 235.8 (7.1) 70-372 5.3 16.6
Offense Road Games 29 14 24 31.64 41-175 (4.3) 25-37 67% 308.3 (8.3) 78-484 6.2 16.7
Defense (All Games) 26.4 12.4 22 30.72 38-135 (3.6) 22-37 59.9% 248.6 (6.6) 75-384 5.1 14.5
Opponents Offensive Avg. 22.3 13.6 19.6 29.89 37-136 (3.7) 19-33 59% 235.8 (7.1) 70-372 5.3 16.6
Defense Road Games 19.3 11.3 21 28.36 31-111 (3.5) 24-41 59% 247 (6.1) 72-358 5 18.5
PENN ST Turnovers, Penalties and Special Teams Statistics
  Turnovers Lost Third Downs Fourth Downs Kickoff Returns Punt Returns Penalties
  INT FL TO DIFF #-MADE PCT #-MADE PCT KR-YDS YPKR PR-YDS YPPR PEN-YDS
Stats For (All Games) 0.7 0.2 0.8 2 14-5 37.8% 1-0 62.5% 2-46 (30.9) 3-42 (15.8) 4-39
Opponents Avg. Stats Against 0.9 0.5 1.4 1.2 15-5 36% 2-1 48.7% 3-53 (19.6) 16-2 (10.3) 6-55
Stats For (Road Games) 0.5 0.5 1 1 17-7 41.2% 3-2 60% 2-37 (18.3) 2-19 (9.3) 6-60
Stats Against (All Games) 1.5 1.3 2.8 0 17-6 34% 2-1 60% 3-50 (18.6) 1-2 (1.3) 5-47
Opponents Avg. Stats For 0.8 1 1.9 0 15-6 41% 2-1 62.7% 2-49 (19.9) 16-1 (11.6) 5-46
Stats Against (Road Games) 1 1 2 0 15-4 26.7% 2-1 50% 3-61 (20.3) 1-2 (4) 6-50
NORTHWESTERN Turnovers, Penalties and Special Teams Statistics
  Turnovers Lost Third Downs Fourth Downs Kickoff Returns Punt Returns Penalties
  INT FL TO DIFF #-MADE PCT #-MADE PCT KR-YDS YPKR PR-YDS YPPR PEN-YDS
Stats For (All Games) 1.4 1 2.4 -0.8 15-5 33.8% 2-0 58.3% 3-44 (17) 1-0 (0.7) 6-53
Opponents Avg. Stats Against 1.2 0.9 2.1 2.7 14-5 35.4% 2-1 47% 3-50 (18.3) 5-1 (3.6) 6-58
Stats For (Home Games) 1 1.3 2.3 -1.3 16-7 42.9% 3-2 55.6% 3-46 (17.3) 1-1 (0.7) 7-62
Stats Against (All Games) 0.8 0.8 1.6 0 16-7 45% 1-0 0% 2-34 (15.5) 2-20 (10.1) 5-42
Opponents Avg. Stats For 1.2 0.6 1.8 0 15-6 39% 2-1 47.9% 3-57 (22.6) 16-2 (8.7) 6-53
Stats Against (Home Games) 0.3 0.7 1 0 16-6 38.3% 1-0 0% 2-45 (19.4) 2-21 (10.7) 4-37
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
PENN ST Season Results
  Team Stats Opp Stats
Date Opponent Score SU Line ATS Tot. O/U Rushing Passing TO Rushing Passing TO
09/02/2017 AKRON 52-0 W -30 W 62 U 34-247 21-31-322 0 34-73 14-29-86 5
09/09/2017 PITTSBURGH 33-14 W -18.5 W 64.5 U 24-148 15-28-164 3 45-155 24-41-187 3
09/16/2017 GEORGIA ST 56-0 W -37 W 54.5 O 24-166 21-29-360 1 49-150 18-32-170 4
09/23/2017 @IOWA 21-19 W -12.5 W 52 U 23-82 13-22-191 1 51-295 31-48-284 1
09/30/2017 INDIANA 45-14 W -20 W 61.5 U 37-39 24-37-331 2 47-177 15-32-175 0
10/07/2017 @NORTHWESTERN 31-7 W -14.5 W 52 U 30-67 23-43-198 3 38-95 29-41-286 0
Show AllShow Less
NORTHWESTERN Season Results
  Team Stats Opp Stats
Date Opponent Score SU Line ATS Tot. O/U Rushing Passing TO Rushing Passing TO
09/02/2017 NEVADA 31-20 W -24 W 60 U 50-156 28-38-352 2 26-142 16-37-199 0
09/09/2017 @DUKE 17-41 L -2 L 54.5 O 59-233 29-45-305 0 21-22 14-33-169 1
09/16/2017 BOWLING GREEN 49-7 W -21 W 56 O 43-303 24-31-375 1 30-96 27-44-256 3
09/30/2017 @WISCONSIN 24-33 L 16 L 52.5 O 37-109 11-20-197 0 34-25 29-45-219 3
10/07/2017 PENN ST 7-31 L 14.5 L 52 U 30-67 23-43-198 3 38-95 29-41-286 0
Show AllShow Less
Team Line Action
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NORTHWESTERN games 51.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (15-14)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NORTHWESTERN games 47.5% of the time since 1992. (124-137)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in PENN ST games 52.3% of the time since 1992. (135-123)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in PENN ST games 37.9% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (11-18)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in NORTHWESTERN games 64% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (16-9)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in NORTHWESTERN games 47.8% of the time since 1992. (88-96)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in PENN ST games 48.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (14-15)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in PENN ST games 53.4% of the time since 1992. (119-104)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
  Rushing Passing Turnovers Penalties
Date Teams Score Line Result Half FD TOP ATT-YDS CMP-ATT YDS FL INT PEN-YDS
PENN ST 31 52 U 10 23 34:04 38-95 29-38 286 0 0 3-30
10/07/2017 NORTHWESTERN 7 14 0 15 25:56 30-67 23-30 198 1 2 8-74
PENN ST 21 41 O 7 17 30:41 30-125 22-30 237 1 1 9-70
11/07/2015 NORTHWESTERN 23 2 20 22 29:19 47-227 16-47 169 0 1 7-80
Show AllShow Less
PENN ST Key Player Injuries
[OL] 10/07/2017 - Andrew Nelson expected to miss Saturday vs. Northwestern ( Undisclosed )
[OL] 10/07/2017 - Andrew Nelson "?" ( Undisclosed )
[DE] 10/06/2017 - Torrence Brown out indefinitely ( Knee )
[TE] 10/03/2017 - Mike Gesicki is upgraded to probable Saturday vs. Northwestern ( Upper Body )
[DE] 10/01/2017 - Torrence Brown "?" Saturday vs. Northwestern ( Knee )
[TE] 10/01/2017 - Mike Gesicki "?" Saturday vs. Northwestern ( Upper Body )
[CB] 08/31/2017 - John Reid out indefinitely ( Knee )
NORTHWESTERN Key Player Injuries
[WR] 10/08/2017 - Jalen Brown "?" Saturday vs. Maryland ( Lower Body )
[LB] 10/07/2017 - Paddy Fisher ejected last game, expected to miss 1st Half Saturday vs. Maryland ( Targeting Suspension )
[S] 10/07/2017 - Godwin Igwebuike left last game, expected to miss first half on 10/14 vs. Maryland ( Targeting Suspension )
[WR] 10/07/2017 - Jalen Brown "?" ( Lower Body )
[LB] 10/07/2017 - Paddy Fisher expected to miss first half Saturday vs. Maryland ( Targeting Suspension )
[S] 10/07/2017 - Godwin Igwebuike expected to miss first half Saturday vs. Maryland ( Targeting Suspension )
[DB] 10/01/2017 - Marcus McShepard "?" Saturday vs. Penn State ( Undisclosed )
[WR] 10/01/2017 - Jalen Brown "?" Saturday vs. Penn State ( Lower Body )
(!)[RB] 10/01/2017 - Justin Jackson probable Saturday vs. Penn State ( Leg )
[DB] 09/18/2017 - Brian Bullock out for season ( Leg )
[DB] 09/18/2017 - Roderick Campbell out for season ( Undisclosed )
[CB] 09/03/2017 - Keith Watkins II out for season ( Knee )
[DE] 08/31/2017 - Xavier Washington out indefinitely ( Suspension )
[DT] 08/23/2017 - Jake Saunders out for season ( Undisclosed )
[WR] 08/23/2017 - Solomon Vault out for season ( Lower Body )