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CFB Game Matchup Report
Saturday, 10/07/2017 at 03:30 pm AIR FORCE (1-4) at  NAVY (5-0)
Game Matchups Offensive Statistics Defensive Statistics
Teams Line PF PA SU ATS O/U/P RY PY TY RY PY TY
367AIR FORCE 52 36.4 32.2 1-4 3-2-0 4-1-0 284.6 145.2 429.8 253.2 124.2 377.4
368NAVY -7 37.2 27.6 5-0 3-2-0 2-3-0 414.2 94.2 508.4 171.6 226.8 398.4
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
Team Estimate Edge
AIR FORCE
NAVY -8 1
Average power rating of opponents played: NAVY 30.2, AIR FORCE 33.8
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
AIR FORCE Team Trends
Description Against the spread Over/Under Straight Up
  Current Last 3 Since 1992 Current Last 3 Since 1992 Current Last 3 Since 1992
  W-L W-L W-L O-U O-U O-U W-L W-L W-L
as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points 0-0 2-2 29-26 0-0 2-2 22-25 0-0 1-3 20-35
in all games 2-2 17-14 145-152 3-1 20-10 108-105 1-3 19-12 182-132
in all lined games 2-2 17-14 145-152 3-1 20-10 108-105 1-3 19-12 167-131
as an underdog 1-1 7-3 65-55 1-1 6-4 53-48 0-2 4-6 41-80
as a road underdog 1-0 4-1 38-29 0-1 3-2 29-26 0-1 1-4 19-49
as a road underdog of 7.5 to 10 points 0-0 0-0 7-1 0-0 0-0 3-4 0-0 0-0 4-4
as a road underdog of 7.5 to 14 points 0-0 1-0 12-6 0-0 1-0 9-8 0-0 1-0 7-11
in road games 1-1 7-7 70-67 1-1 10-4 51-46 0-2 6-8 67-72
in road lined games 1-1 7-7 70-67 1-1 10-4 51-46 0-2 6-8 66-72
against American Athletic conference opponents 0-0 1-1 2-1 0-0 0-2 0-3 0-0 1-1 1-2
when playing on a Saturday 2-2 14-12 126-131 3-1 16-9 86-87 1-3 15-11 165-109
when playing with 6 or less days rest 0-2 11-10 105-115 2-0 16-5 77-72 0-2 13-8 134-93
after playing a conference game 0-1 10-8 82-104 1-0 14-4 68-67 0-1 10-8 99-95
after playing 2 straight conference games 0-0 7-4 47-56 0-0 8-3 34-36 0-0 7-4 53-54
in games played on turf 2-2 15-12 48-44 3-1 16-10 41-32 1-3 19-8 59-34
in October games 0-0 3-7 42-58 0-0 7-3 26-38 0-0 5-5 54-49
in non-conference games 2-0 9-3 53-49 1-1 5-6 30-42 1-1 8-4 75-42
after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games 0-0 3-4 37-48 0-0 6-1 36-29 0-0 5-2 44-43
after having lost 3 out of their last 4 games 0-0 2-1 17-22 0-0 2-1 20-11 0-0 3-0 22-19
off an upset loss to a conference rival as a favorite 0-0 2-3 13-22 0-0 5-0 15-9 0-0 2-3 16-21
off a loss against a conference rival 0-1 2-5 28-56 1-0 7-0 34-27 0-1 2-5 34-53
off 2 straight losses against conference rivals 0-0 0-3 8-21 0-0 3-0 12-7 0-0 1-2 11-19
off a road loss against a conference rival 0-0 2-2 14-32 0-0 4-0 16-17 0-0 1-3 21-28
off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference rival 0-0 2-0 12-29 0-0 2-0 17-12 0-0 1-1 13-29
off an upset loss as a favorite 0-0 2-3 20-28 0-0 5-0 17-15 0-0 2-3 26-24
off a upset loss by 14 points or more as a favorite 0-0 1-0 2-8 0-0 1-0 5-1 0-0 1-0 4-6
off a big upset loss by 17 points or more as a favorite 0-0 0-0 0-7 0-0 0-0 3-1 0-0 0-0 2-5
off an upset loss as a road favorite 0-0 2-1 7-13 0-0 3-0 7-6 0-0 1-2 12-10
off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a road favorite 0-0 2-0 2-5 0-0 2-0 3-1 0-0 1-1 4-3
off a loss by 14 points or more as a road favorite 0-0 1-0 1-5 0-0 1-0 2-1 0-0 1-0 4-2
off a road loss 0-1 2-5 24-42 1-0 5-2 24-25 0-1 2-5 33-36
after allowing 37 points or more last game 0-0 3-2 23-30 0-0 4-1 21-19 0-0 3-2 22-33
after allowing 42 points or more last game 0-0 1-2 10-18 0-0 3-0 13-6 0-0 1-2 12-18
after allowing 50 points or more last game 0-0 0-0 4-4 0-0 0-0 4-1 0-0 0-0 4-5
after a loss by 17 or more points 0-0 0-1 11-28 0-0 0-1 14-13 0-0 1-0 16-25
after scoring and allowing 30 pts or more last game 0-0 1-3 9-15 0-0 3-1 8-10 0-0 2-2 10-14
after scoring 37 points or more last game 1-0 8-3 45-41 0-1 6-5 34-34 0-1 7-4 51-38
after playing their last game on the road 0-1 6-6 59-74 1-0 6-6 45-44 0-1 6-6 82-55
after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread 0-1 5-7 61-81 1-0 9-3 49-55 0-1 7-5 77-72
after 2 or more consecutive losses against the spread 0-0 3-3 28-43 0-0 4-2 23-29 0-0 4-2 37-37
after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses 0-2 2-8 47-70 2-0 8-2 45-40 0-2 3-7 61-63
after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses 0-1 0-5 20-31 1-0 4-1 21-15 0-1 2-3 29-26
after 3 or more consecutive straight up losses 0-0 0-1 10-8 0-0 1-0 7-6 0-0 1-0 10-9
when playing against a team with a winning record 0-0 6-5 45-54 0-0 7-4 44-43 0-0 6-5 36-64
in the first half of the season 2-2 8-8 71-75 3-1 8-7 39-60 1-3 8-8 100-61
after the first month of the season 0-1 10-12 101-118 1-0 16-6 85-73 0-1 13-9 123-100
in weeks 5 through 9 0-1 3-8 50-64 1-0 8-3 32-43 0-1 5-6 63-54
when the total is between 49.5 and 56 2-2 12-10 47-52 3-1 17-5 51-47 1-3 13-9 47-52
in a road game where the total is between 49.5 and 52 0-1 1-4 4-12 1-0 4-1 7-8 0-1 2-3 4-12
in a road game where the total is between 49.5 and 56 1-1 5-7 15-25 1-1 9-3 20-19 0-2 5-7 12-28
in a road game where the total is between 52.5 and 56 1-0 4-3 11-13 0-1 5-2 13-11 0-1 3-4 8-16
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NAVY Team Trends
Description Against the spread Over/Under Straight Up
  Current Last 3 Since 1992 Current Last 3 Since 1992 Current Last 3 Since 1992
  W-L W-L W-L O-U O-U O-U W-L W-L W-L
as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points 3-1 10-2 32-23 1-3 5-8 17-26 4-0 12-1 41-15
in all games 3-1 20-10 163-120 1-3 16-13 84-88 4-0 24-7 164-143
in all lined games 3-1 20-10 163-120 1-3 16-13 84-88 4-0 24-7 147-139
as a favorite 3-1 16-7 71-64 1-3 11-11 44-52 4-0 21-3 104-33
as a home favorite 1-1 10-4 37-39 1-1 8-5 24-24 2-0 13-1 58-19
as a home favorite of 7.5 to 10 points 1-1 1-1 9-7 1-1 1-1 3-3 2-0 2-0 12-4
as a home favorite of 7.5 to 14 points 1-1 1-1 15-16 1-1 1-1 10-7 2-0 2-0 23-8
in home games 1-1 11-4 54-61 1-1 9-5 30-31 2-0 14-1 84-52
in home lined games 1-1 11-4 54-61 1-1 9-5 30-31 2-0 14-1 67-49
against Mountain West conference opponents 0-0 1-1 19-6 0-0 0-2 8-13 0-0 1-1 16-10
when playing on a Saturday 2-1 17-8 148-109 1-2 12-12 72-75 3-0 22-4 149-131
when playing with 6 or less days rest 1-0 11-6 104-69 0-1 10-7 47-50 1-0 13-5 105-87
after playing a conference game 2-0 12-6 37-25 1-1 8-10 21-22 2-0 14-5 40-25
after playing 2 straight conference games 1-0 7-6 14-8 0-1 5-7 8-8 1-0 8-5 13-9
after playing 3 straight conference games 0-0 3-4 5-4 0-0 2-4 3-4 0-0 4-3 6-3
in games played on turf 2-1 15-7 54-32 1-2 13-8 28-33 3-0 19-4 56-33
in October games 0-0 4-4 48-39 0-0 4-4 24-23 0-0 5-3 44-53
in non-conference games 1-0 7-4 120-97 0-1 4-6 58-65 1-0 7-4 128-112
after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games 1-0 4-7 55-47 0-1 4-7 33-33 1-0 7-4 60-50
after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games 0-0 1-4 32-30 0-0 1-3 19-18 0-0 4-1 39-26
off a road win against a conference rival 0-0 3-3 4-4 0-0 3-3 4-3 0-0 3-3 6-3
off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival 1-0 8-3 15-8 0-1 5-5 11-11 1-0 8-3 13-10
off 2 consecutive wins by 10 points or more against conference rivals 0-0 4-2 6-2 0-0 3-2 5-2 0-0 4-2 5-3
off a win against a conference rival 2-0 11-4 20-12 1-1 8-7 16-14 2-0 12-4 21-13
off 3 straight wins against conference rivals 0-0 2-2 2-2 0-0 2-1 2-1 0-0 2-2 2-2
off 2 straight wins against conference rivals 1-0 6-4 8-4 0-1 5-4 7-4 1-0 6-4 7-5
after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite 0-0 2-3 5-9 0-0 2-4 3-10 0-0 3-3 6-9
off a double digit road win 0-1 3-3 13-17 0-1 3-3 9-15 1-0 4-2 17-15
off a road win 0-1 3-4 25-26 0-1 3-4 13-26 1-0 4-3 31-23
after scoring 31 points or more in 2 straight games 0-0 4-4 30-25 0-0 3-4 19-29 0-0 5-3 34-23
after playing their last game on the road 0-1 5-6 60-55 0-1 4-7 26-38 1-0 8-3 72-52
after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread 1-1 10-7 86-66 0-2 10-7 50-43 2-0 13-5 88-77
after 2 or more consecutive wins against the spread 0-0 4-5 41-38 0-0 4-5 24-23 0-0 5-5 44-43
after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins 2-1 14-7 87-57 1-2 13-8 52-59 3-0 17-5 94-64
after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins 2-0 9-5 44-39 1-1 8-6 32-38 2-0 10-5 46-41
after 3 or more consecutive straight up wins 1-0 5-4 20-20 0-1 4-4 16-20 1-0 5-4 23-19
after 4 or more consecutive straight up wins 0-0 1-3 8-11 0-0 2-1 7-9 0-0 1-3 7-12
when playing against a team with a losing record 1-0 5-2 58-40 0-1 3-4 29-33 1-0 7-0 68-31
in the first half of the season 3-1 10-3 75-61 1-3 6-7 30-42 4-0 12-2 75-74
after the first month of the season 1-0 13-9 122-86 0-1 12-9 66-66 1-0 15-7 119-104
in weeks 5 through 9 1-0 5-4 56-45 0-1 4-5 25-30 1-0 6-3 50-61
when the total is between 49.5 and 56 1-1 5-3 42-29 1-1 3-5 29-41 2-0 7-1 52-19
in a home game where the total is between 49.5 and 52 1-1 3-1 7-6 1-1 1-3 5-8 2-0 4-0 11-2
in a home game where the total is between 49.5 and 56 1-1 5-1 15-14 1-1 3-3 14-15 2-0 6-0 22-7
in a home game where the total is between 52.5 and 56 0-0 2-0 8-8 0-0 2-0 9-7 0-0 2-0 11-5
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Team Statistics
Performance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below.
AIR FORCE Current Season Performance
  Straight Up Against Spread Team Opponent
  W-L Units W-L O-U Score Half Yards YPP TO Score Half Yards YPP TO
Last 3 Games 0-3 -3.65 1-2 3-0 35.667 13.333 423.333 5.799 1.667 44 16.333 477.667 8.142 0.333
Road Games 0-3 -2.55 2-1 2-1 32 12.333 416.333 5.919 1.667 44.333 17 475 7.745 0.333
All 1-4 -3.65 3-2 4-1 36.4 16.2 429.8 6.003 1.2 32.2 11.6 377.4 6.552 0.6
Team Statistics
Performance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below.
NAVY Current Season Performance
  Straight Up Against Spread Team Opponent
  W-L Units W-L O-U Score Half Yards YPP TO Score Half Yards YPP TO
Last 3 Games 3-0 3 2-1 2-1 40.333 21 563.333 7.824 0.667 32.667 13.667 468 7.091 1
Home Games 3-0 3 1-2 2-1 37.667 21 501.667 7.236 1 32.667 13.333 440.667 6.61 1
All 5-0 5 3-2 2-3 37.2 19.6 508.4 7.101 1.2 27.6 12.8 398.4 6.344 1
AIR FORCE Current Season Statistics
  Rushing Passing Total
  PPG Half FD TOP ATT-YDS YPR CMP-ATT PCT YDS PYA ATT-YDS YPP YPPT
Offense (All Games) 36.4 16.2 22.8 32.11 59-285 (4.8) 6-13 50% 145.2 (11.3) 72-430 6 11.8
Opponents Defensive Avg. 29.4 16.6 19 28.62 42-194 (4.6) 14-25 57.7% 187.5 (7.6) 66-381 5.7 12.9
Offense Road Games 32 12.3 22.7 31.08 56-249 (4.5) 7-15 45.5% 167.7 (11.4) 70-416 5.9 13
Defense (All Games) 32.2 11.6 16 27.89 42-253 (6.1) 8-16 53.2% 124.2 (7.9) 58-377 6.6 11.7
Opponents Offensive Avg. 29.4 16.6 19 28.62 42-194 (4.6) 14-25 57.7% 187.5 (7.6) 66-381 5.7 12.9
Defense Road Games 44.3 17 18.3 28.92 47-341 (7.3) 7-15 50% 133.7 (9.1) 61-475 7.7 10.7
NAVY Current Season Statistics
  Rushing Passing Total
  PPG Half FD TOP ATT-YDS YPR CMP-ATT PCT YDS PYA ATT-YDS YPP YPPT
Offense (All Games) 37.2 19.6 23 35.82 63-414 (6.5) 3-8 39% 94.2 (11.5) 72-508 7.1 13.7
Opponents Defensive Avg. 32.5 16.2 20.6 30.69 45-249 (5.6) 12-22 57.6% 191.1 (8.9) 66-440 6.6 13.5
Offense Road Games 37.7 21 22.7 33.23 60-411 (6.8) 3-9 37% 90.3 (10) 69-502 7.2 13.3
Defense (All Games) 27.6 12.8 17.6 24.18 37-172 (4.6) 16-25 62.2% 226.8 (8.9) 63-398 6.3 14.4
Opponents Offensive Avg. 32.5 16.2 20.6 30.69 45-249 (5.6) 12-22 57.6% 191.1 (8.9) 66-440 6.6 13.5
Defense Road Games 32.7 13.3 20 26.77 41-196 (4.8) 15-25 60.5% 244.3 (9.6) 67-441 6.6 13.5
AIR FORCE Turnovers, Penalties and Special Teams Statistics
  Turnovers Lost Third Downs Fourth Downs Kickoff Returns Punt Returns Penalties
  INT FL TO DIFF #-MADE PCT #-MADE PCT KR-YDS YPKR PR-YDS YPPR PEN-YDS
Stats For (All Games) 0.4 0.8 1.2 -0.6 13-6 47.6% 1-0 66.7% 2-39 (16.1) 1-12 (8.4) 4-35
Opponents Avg. Stats Against 0.6 0.6 1.2 1 13-5 39.4% 1-1 50% 2-32 (16.4) 7-1 (5.6) 6-50
Stats For (Road Games) 0.3 1.3 1.7 -1.3 13-6 44.7% 1-1 100% 3-48 (16) 1-5 (7) 3-23
Stats Against (All Games) 0.2 0.4 0.6 0 12-4 35.5% 0-0 100% 2-39 (16.1) 1-24 (19.8) 4-38
Opponents Avg. Stats For 0.6 0.8 1.4 0 14-5 35% 1-1 64.6% 3-49 (19.5) 13-2 (7.4) 5-47
Stats Against (Road Games) 0 0.3 0.3 0 12-5 43.2% 1-1 100% 2-41 (17.7) 1-38 (37.7) 6-57
NAVY Turnovers, Penalties and Special Teams Statistics
  Turnovers Lost Third Downs Fourth Downs Kickoff Returns Punt Returns Penalties
  INT FL TO DIFF #-MADE PCT #-MADE PCT KR-YDS YPKR PR-YDS YPPR PEN-YDS
Stats For (All Games) 0.4 0.8 1.2 -0.2 13-6 48.5% 1-0 83.3% 3-49 (18.7) 1-7 (6.2) 4-38
Opponents Avg. Stats Against 0.8 0.7 1.5 1.4 13-5 39.9% 1-1 53.7% 3-53 (17.8) 10-1 (7.9) 6-53
Stats For (Home Games) 0.3 0.7 1 0 12-6 51.4% 1-1 66.7% 3-59 (19.7) 0-0 (0) 3-28
Stats Against (All Games) 0.4 0.6 1 0 13-5 40% 2-1 50% 4-55 (15.3) 1-5 (6.8) 5-37
Opponents Avg. Stats For 0.4 0.5 0.9 0 14-6 41.4% 2-1 62.5% 3-49 (17.7) 7-1 (6.2) 6-51
Stats Against (Home Games) 0 1 1 0 12-5 40.5% 2-2 71.4% 4-72 (19.5) 1-8 (7.7) 5-42
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
AIR FORCE Season Results
  Team Stats Opp Stats
Date Opponent Score SU Line ATS Tot. O/U Rushing Passing TO Rushing Passing TO
09/02/2017 VMI 62-0 W -34.5 W 55 O 67-457 10-14-190 1 28-55 10-19-40 2
09/16/2017 @MICHIGAN 13-29 L 23 L 52.5 U 42-190 14-23-169 0 49-168 1-9-64 2
09/23/2017 SAN DIEGO ST 24-28 L 0 L 50.5 O 60-220 2-6-33 2 41-187 10-16-180 3
09/30/2017 @NEW MEXICO 38-56 L -3 L 51 O 41-363 4-9-146 0 63-238 9-18-158 1
10/07/2017 @NAVY 45-48 L 10 L 54 O 57-471 4-12-86 2 55-340 10-17-281 0
10/14/2017 UNLV - - -- - --
10/20/2017 @NEVADA - - -- - --
10/28/2017 @COLORADO ST - - -- - --
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NAVY Season Results
  Team Stats Opp Stats
Date Opponent Score SU Line ATS Tot. O/U Rushing Passing TO Rushing Passing TO
09/01/2017 @FLA ATLANTIC 42-19 W -8.5 W 64.5 U 24-40 21-33-286 2 68-416 3-10-110 0
09/09/2017 TULANE 23-21 W -8 W 49.5 U 52-194 4-12-132 1 46-191 8-13-71 0
09/23/2017 CINCINNATI 42-32 W -7.5 W 52 O 72-569 2-3-53 0 23-58 28-46-381 0
09/30/2017 @TULSA 31-21 W -7.5 W 70.5 U 39-229 12-18-115 4 68-421 3-4-90 1
10/07/2017 AIR FORCE 48-45 W -10 W 54 O 57-471 4-12-86 2 55-340 10-17-281 0
10/14/2017 @MEMPHIS - - -- - --
10/21/2017 UCF - - -- - --
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Team Line Action
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NAVY games 35.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (10-18)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NAVY games 46.2% of the time since 1992. (117-136)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in AIR FORCE games 37% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (10-17)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in AIR FORCE games 52.5% of the time since 1992. (135-122)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in NAVY games 53.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (16-14)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in NAVY games 47.8% of the time since 1992. (76-83)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in AIR FORCE games 50% of the time since 1992. (93-93)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in AIR FORCE games 43.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (13-17)
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
  Rushing Passing Turnovers Penalties
Date Teams Score Line Result Half FD TOP ATT-YDS CMP-ATT YDS FL INT PEN-YDS
AIR FORCE 45 54 O 10 27 27:32 55-340 10-55 281 2 0 3-25
10/07/2017 NAVY 48 -10 28 22 32:28 57-471 4-57 86 0 0 4-35
NAVY 14 50.5 U 0 18 28:00 38-57 17-38 260 1 2 3-15
10/01/2016 AIR FORCE 28 -7 3 18 32:00 53-173 8-53 257 0 1 5-70
AIR FORCE 11 49.5 U 0 15 27:30 56-204 5-56 73 3 1 3-25
10/03/2015 NAVY 33 -4 21 14 32:30 51-270 4-51 117 0 0 7-35
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AIR FORCE Key Player Injuries
[LB] 10/08/2017 - Matt Evans "?" Saturday vs. UNLV ( Shoulder )
[RB] 10/07/2017 - Parker Wilson is upgraded to probable Saturday vs. Navy ( Undisclosed )
[LB] 10/07/2017 - Matt Evans "?" ( Shoulder )
[DB] 10/05/2017 - Garrett Kauppila out for season ( Undisclosed )
[RB] 10/04/2017 - Parker Wilson "?" Saturday vs. Navy ( Undisclosed )
[LB] 10/01/2017 - Matt Evans "?" Saturday vs. Navy ( Shoulder )
[DB] 10/01/2017 - Garrett Kauppila "?" Saturday vs. Navy ( Undisclosed )
[DL] 09/26/2017 - Cody Moorhead out for season ( Knee )
NAVY Key Player Injuries
[RB] 10/06/2017 - Darryl Bonner is upgraded to probable Saturday vs. Air Force ( Leg )
[RB] 10/06/2017 - Tre Walker out for season ( Knee )
[RB] 10/01/2017 - Darryl Bonner "?" Saturday vs. Air Force ( Leg )
[RB] 10/01/2017 - Tre Walker "?" Saturday vs. Air Force ( Lower Body )
[FB] 09/16/2017 - Joshua Walker out indefinitely ( Knee )
[P] 09/09/2017 - Erik Harris out indefinitely ( Suspension )