04/16/2013 05:18 PM
Cliff Notes -Tuesday Baseball
Since there's a fair amount of left handed starters, I will pass these along.
Texas has not hit a home run off a LHP yet this season.
Cleveland, Atlanta, Kansas City, and Oakland have scored the most runs off LHP. Last year almost all these teams were almost auto-fades against left handed starters. Two years ago for Atlanta. Adjustments.
The Phillies are hitting .141 against LHP. The Nationals are hitting .202.
The White Sox onlt have 25 AT BATS against left handed pitchers. The point-some teams have plenty of a sample size and some don't.
Texas at Cubs: Did I mention that Travis Wood throws left handed and that the Rangers hadn't hit one off a LHP yet. Clearly that would make me lean towards the under at night in what may be an inflated number due to the "Rangers" and "Wrigley". Berkman is 7-11 off of Wood. Ouch. Another reason the total might be high. Holland CAN get the ball up at times, but Texas' pen has been very good lately, and the Rangers' games on the road have been ONE over and five under.
Kansas City at Atlanta: Wonder how the Royals fare when Guthrie has to bat. Both teams 8-10 in IL play last year. Guthrie's been throwing strikes. The White Sox couldn't hit him but the Twins sure could. Many of the Braves have seen him, and not so much w/Medlen so we certainly have to lean Braves and their bullpen to keep that train rolling.
Detroit at Seattle: First thing of note is that Fister goes back to the team that traded him to the Tigers. It'd be interesting to see Casper Wells get the game winning hit. That's one of the people he was traded for Fister threw a seven inning shutout at Safeco last year, so perhaps he got THAT out of his system. Harang making his first start of the season and he's NOT a groundball pitcher. He was able to get away with that type of pitching in San Diego and Anaheim, and perhaps last year in Seattle, but the fences have been moved in somewhat, and I have a bad feeling about the Mariners here. The good news is that Cabrerra is 2-15 off of him, the bad news is that Fielder owns him, and the Tigers as a team are hitting .316 over the last week.
Other early observations:
Wind blowing out and warm in Camden Yards. But, Arrieta hasn't give up a long ball yet, and is much tougher on RHH's and the Rays will stack it with switch hitters and lefties. Fausto already faced the Orioles and didn't fare well. I think he make's the adjustments and the Rays win this game.
Boston at Cleveland: I do wonder how that shit in Boston effects the Red Sox. If the game was over at 2:00 they were probably still all in the area. Fenway is in ear-shot of the Finish Line. Since the Indians are now one of the better hitting teams against LHP, I would head in that direction. However, it's Ubaldo and honestly, Boston should be positively effected, especially getting out of town, and build of the great ninth inning win. Lean Boston.
White Sox at Toronto: This is the game that goes way over, IMO. White Sox are dead-red fastball hitters and Axelrod hasn't been able to keep the ball down. 100+ pitches in a little over three innings last start. If he aim the ball or trys to be cute here, it looks like the Toronto bats are waking up, and second game back for them. Also wouldn't surprise me to see bullpens used a fair bit later, since both Floyd's gone in the 5th and Buerhle's pitch count is up.