7) Buffalo +3
When did the Ravens become good enough to be a road favorite? The Bills made news because they want to ask for permission to play football in Canada. The fan base is made up of 15,000 Canadians that will show up and support the Bills to try and get the team across the border. Crazy fan base and good home dog equals disaster for the Ravens. Baltimore has struggled on the road, failing to 'cover' its last six as favorites and dropping 15 of 22 on the highway, both SU and ATS. The Ravens are 2-9 ATS after allowing less than seven points as well. Buffalo is 8-3-2 as home dogs of three points or more when facing a non-division opponent.

6) Texans +1.5
This quite simply put is the wrong line on this game as the Texans should be favored by at least three even if Vince Young was playing. The Texans are 8-4-1 ATS at home against a division foe and have a better defense and a solid offense to get the win over the Titans on Sunday.

5) Jets +7
For the Jets Quarterback Chad Pennington it is now and never and another loss will most likely see him on the bench and maybe his tenure with the Jets will be over. The Jets have played just well enough to lose this year but are in it for most of the game. This week they get a defenseless Bengals team that is still highly over rated by the lines maker.

4) Lions -2
The Lions will have to get back on the winning track if they want to reach that ten win plateau that was promised at the start of the season. The Bucs will have a tough team keeping on defense on the home turf of the Lions. The Bucs are 3-17 ATS on the road against non-division foes and 3-15 ATS on the highway in October off a SU win. They have also dropped nine of 13 ATS after allowing 10 points or less.

3) Eagles -5
The Bears defense was exposed last weekend by Adrian Peterson and you have to believe that the Eagles were taking notes. The Eagles are quietly sneaking up in the division and this win becomes pivotal keeping up with the other teams in division. Philadelphia has prospered against teams from the NFC-North (25-11 ATS). The Eagles are also 14-8 ATS at home off a SU and ATS win and 17-9-2 at home after allowing 10 points or less. Chicago is 11-24-2 after losing SU as favorites

2) Denver +3.5
Denver is miserable and is already in panic mode. IN a game that was supposed to be a battle for the division the Broncos were hammered by the Chargers and then had a week to think about it. Shanahan will have his team ready and could sneak out the win at home in prime time. The Broncos have excelled in two spots, home underdogs and off a bye week. The Steelers are just 6-17-1 as non-division favorites on the highway. The Broncos are 15-4 ATS off a bye and they have cashed at a 15-8-2 pace off a SU loss to a division rival. They are also 27-14-1 as underdogs.

1) Jacksonville +3 & Over 44.5
Since this is the Super Seven and it is week seven I wanted to add a bonus eighth play and make sure it was on Monday night. This is the Jaguars Super Bowl and if there is ever a team that plays Peyton Manning and the Colts well it’s the Jags. Jacksonville is 7-2-1 ATS in its last 10 confrontations with Indianapolis. The Jaguars are an imposing 17-4-1 as underdogs and they have cashed 21 of 28 at home off a division win. Five of the last six encounters at Jacksonville Municipal Stadium have stormed 'over.' This is a shoot out and the home team wins in the end.

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