1. Green Bay +8
History will say that Green Bay and most importantly Brett Farve has had some struggles when playing in Big D in his career. This number will not stop by from backing the pack here. Green Bay has been one of the toughest dogs in the NFL kennel this year, cashing at a 6-0 clip. The Packers are 10-2 as road dogs the past two seasons and 8-1 when getting seven points or less
2. Falcons +3
The Falcons are quietly playing well in the NFL after finally putting the Vick story behind them. The Rams showed just how bad they could be last week when they should have won and let the game and the cover slip away from them. Atlanta has 'covered' three of four on the road despite averaging just 11.8 points per game. St. Louis has lost five straight and nine of its last 11 at home, failing to cash in four of five this season.
3. Detroit +3.5
If you’re looking for a team that needs to win and in a bad way it’s the Detroit Lions. After starting the year as the media darlings aiming for ten wins they hit rock bottom with big losses at home. They hit a Viking team prime off a huge upset looking for a letdown. They are 2-11 off an upset win by 14 points or more as underdogs. Detroit has 'covered' 13 of 16 off a double-digit home loss and 12 of 13 after being out-gained by 100 yards or more.
4. Miami -1
When was the last time you saw a team with now ins come out as a favorite? This week it is for a reason. The Dolphins have played well enough to win but lose some close ones and that will change this week when they topple the Jets. The New York Jets are 1-4 ATS on the road and 0-3 ATS versus division foes.
5. KC +5.5
The Chiefs have to regain the home field dominance that they have had in the past and it starts here against the Chargers. The Chiefs were under a lot of scrutiny after going for it after they could have tried to tie it up against the Raiders; they have a lot to prove especially in the coaching staff. San Diego has failed to 'cover' four of five on the road and Kansas City has come up short at the same ATS clip at Arrowhead Stadium. Kansas City has won 12 of 15 versus San Diego at home and the host is 7-1-1 in the last eight series meetings.
6. Arizona -1
Arizona is still smarting after the loss to the 49ers when coaching decisions cost them in the end and forced them to lose to a bad team. The Browns are on their way to a good year, but in Arizona some foes have had a tough time like the Steelers. Cleveland is 16-30 as road dogs of seven points or less. Arizona has bounced back to cash 16 of 22 at home on the heels of a home loss.
7. Bengals +7
The Bengals offense is starting to click again and even their defense looked good against the Titans and Vince Young. The Steelers offense has had some trouble of late and will need to step up in a shootout to beat the Bengals. Cincinnati has 'covered' seven of its last eight division road encounters and six of its last nine as road dogs of six points or more. Conversely, Pittsburgh is 2-7-1 ATS against the Bengals when favored by 6 1/2 points or more. The home team has flopped in 10 of the past 11 series showdowns.
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