1. Atlanta +3
Not too many folks are taking notice that the Falcons are playing well and winning games. There have not been too many teams they have run over, but they are playing well enough to take as a home dog. The Bucs are 5-10 as division road favorites and 2-7 as road chalk of 3 1/2 points or less. When TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS team played as Road team as a Favorite - Before a non division game - Coming off a Home win they are 5-12 ATS.
2. Detroit +3
These two teams are in a tough spot here and need to win right now after taking tough losses and allowing the critics to question the playoff possibility. When DETROIT LIONS team played as a Home team - During Week 8 to 12 - With 6 day off - Coming off a lost on grass they are 10-4 ATS. When NEW YORK GIANTS team played as a Road team - With 6 day off - During Week 8 to 12 - Scored 20 points or less FOR in their last game they are 6-16-1 ATS.
3. Bengals -3
The Bengals finally got a big win last week as they toppled the Ravens as a road underdog and that will give them momentum heading into the game against Arizona. The Cardinals off a big win against the Lions hit the road and should fall flat in the jungle. Arizona is 4-10 as non-conference dogs of more than three points. The Cards have also floundered in 20 of 28 on the highway against non-division opponents. Cincinnati is 20-12-2 at Paul Brown Stadium versus NFC foes.
4. Pittsburgh / Jets over 40
Pittsburgh has a knack for beating up bad teams and it has not been with defense this year. In fact they always score plenty of points. Look for the Jets to score a few at home and play tough but it won’t be enough. New York has zipped 'over' in 10 of 11 after five or more straight losses. When NEW YORK JETS team played as a 7 to 9.5 Underdog - After a non division game - Scored 20 points or less FOR in their last game the over is 15-2-1
5. Washington +10.5
The Cowboys are rolling right along but they slow down a bit here and the redskins should challenge for an upset win Sunday. The Cowboys are just 9-17-2 as double-digit favorites. The Redskins are 11-5-1 as division road dogs. When WASHINGTON REDSKINS team played as a Road team - Total is between 44.5 to 47 - Coming off a lost on grass they are 8-2-1
6. Kansas City +14.5
Sorry I know the Colts are better than the Chiefs and 14 points may not be a stretch, but the Colts are not playing well enough to drop these many points this week, not yet. The Chiefs will be watching film to duplicate what others have done and see if they can keep up. Indianapolis is 0-6 ATS at home in November of back-to-back SU losses.
7. San Francisco +3
There is no question that the 49ers are one of the worst teams in the NFL and looks like they have cashed it I for the season, but the Rams are just a one win team and somehow they should be a 3 point favorite on the road? This is a team that the 49ers play well against and they need to win here. San Francisco has cashed 21 of its last 29 against St. Louis. The 49ers have won four of five series meetings SU and 'covered' five straight and they are 9-3 ATS at home against the Rams. St. Louis is 8-19-2 ATS after winning SU as dogs and it is 0-10 ATS as dogs in the second of back-to-back road games.
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