Miami Dolphins at Pittsburgh Steelers Pick

The Miami Dolphins will try and get their first win of the season as the travel to take on the Pittsburgh Steelers on Monday Night Football. Miami is trying to avoid the dubious distinction of going 0-16 but probably won’t break the streak tonight at Pittsburgh where they are a 16 point underdog. SBG Global reports that early NFL betting has the public taking Steelers at Home.

Pittsburgh is coming off a surprising loss last week to the New York Jets, losing in overtime 19-16. The Jets couldn’t do much right last week against New York, rushing for only 112 yards and allowing quarterback Ben Roethlisberger to be sacked 7 times. "We've got to come out and play Steelers football," said Roethlisberger, "I don't feel we did that (in New York). They were probably the more physical team. I think it showed." The Steelers will probably be without wide receiver Santonio Holmes, who leads the team in receptions, yards and touchdowns. They may also be without safety Troy Polamalu who is also listed as doubtful. The Steelers' defense is the league leader in points allowed (14.5) and yards per game (236.2).

Miami may be the perfect tonic for the Steelers considering they have done nothing all year. The Dolphins' defense has allowed a league-worst 154.9 rushing yards per game, and has given up an average of 27.4 points per game. The Miami offense has not been much better. The Dolphins have turned over the starting quarterback job to rookie John Beck. He was 9-for-22 for 109 yards in his debut against the Eagles.

SBG Global Current Line: Steelers -15.5 (-115) , Total 38.5

Here are the NFL betting stats for Monday’s game. The Dolphins are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games in November. The Dolphins are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The Dolphins are 2-5-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall. The Dolphins are 4-12-2 ATS in their last 18 vs. the AFC.

The Steelers are 12-0 at home on Monday night since 1991. The Steelers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite. The Steelers are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games in November. The Steelers are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games in Week 12.

The Over is 11-4 in the Dolphins last 15 Monday games. The Over is 5-2 in the Dolphins last 7 vs. the AFC. The Over is 38-13-2 in the Steelers last 53 home games. The Over is 5-2 in the Steelers last 7 games in November.

Pick: Under 38.5 4 units out of 5, for more NFL Picks discussion visit the NFL Betting Forum