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NFL Betting Preview & Pick: Denver Broncos vs Indianapolis Colts

Posted: Sept 30, 2007
By Sportsbook AddThis Social Bookmark Button
4:15 pm Eastern
Opening Line: Colts -9.5 , Total 46

The defending Super Bowl Champion Indianapolis Colts play host to the Denver Broncos on Sunday in a matchup of division leaders. The Colts beat Houston 30-24 last Sunday and they are 3-0 for the third straight season. "What we like to say is that it puts pressure on other teams when you get off to a fast start," Colts head coach Tony Dungy said. "We can give ourselves a little more margin for error down the road and that helped us last year when we didn't play that well in November and December. It's much better playing with the division lead than chasing somebody." SBG Global reports that early betting has the public taking the favored Colts at home.

The Colts are 10-0 in the regular season since the start of last year and have won 21 of their last 22 games at home. The Colts rank fourth in the NFL with 398.3 total yards per game. Peyton Manning is fourth in the league with 291 passing yards per game. It could be interesting on Sunday because the Broncos have the NFL's best passing defense, allowing just 88.3 passing yards per game. That statistic is a bit skewed because Denver is allowing 116 yards per game on the ground and that is nearly last in the league. Last week the Jaguars ran up and down the field on Denver and controlled the clock in a 23-14 win. The Broncos scored on just two of 10 possessions last week and Travis Henry was held to just 35 yards on 11 carries. The Colts have won three of their last five regular-season games against Denver.

SBG Global Current Line: Colts -10 , Total 46

Here are the betting statistics for Sunday’s game. The Broncos are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog. The Broncos are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in September. The Broncos are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games overall. The Broncos are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 vs. the AFC. The Broncos are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings between the two teams.

The Colts are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games. The Colts are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall.

The Over is 7-1 in the Broncos last 8 games overall. The Over is 4-1 in the Broncos last 5 vs. the AFC. The Under is 7-3 in the Broncos last 10 road games. The Under is 5-2 in the Colts last 7 games overall. The Under is 11-5 in the Colts last 16 games as a home favorite. The Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between the two teams.

Pick: Over 46 2units out of 5, Lean Broncos in the outright upset. For more NFl Picks discussion visit the NFL Betting Forum

 

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