Checkout this years week 4 betting tips here - NFL week 4 PicksPreseason Picks: 17-11
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The Super Seven suffered its first losing week in the NFL slumping towards a 2-5 record on the week. That brings the overall record to 11-10 for the season. This week the NFL slate has some great games and I look to get back on the winning track!
1) Sunday October 4th: Cowboys @ Broncos
The Broncos are getting no respect although they are playing great over during the season. At home they are a much better team and always have an edge. The Cowboys come in off a short week and have not looked impressively on offense all year. Dallas has lost in 17 of 24 on the highway against non-conference competition and the Broncos will keep this close and the points will be a great help.
Play: Broncos +3
2) Sunday October 4th: Giants @ Chiefs
The play for this game is over the total. The Giants play their third straight road game and it is easy to lose focus. The defense performed great against Tampa Bay and will be ready to give up a few points this week. More importantly the Chiefs defense will not be able to stop Eli & Co. The result will be plenty of points. New York has gone over the number at an 18-8-1 rate as non-conference favorites. The Chiefs have topped the number in 12 of 17 at home following a double-digit loss. Look for a high scoring game and this final score to go over the total.
Play: Over 42
3) Sunday October 4th: Tennessee @ Jacksonville
One of my favorite spots to back a home team is after an outright win as an underdog on the road. The theory is that the team comes back home with confidence after such a great win on the road. Tennessee is starting to unravel and there is already talk of Young starting at QB if Collins falters again. The Titans are 2-8 as road chalk versus a losing team with revenge and the home team has won and cashed in 12 of the past 19 series meetings. The Jaguars are starting to come together as a team and the Titans drop to 0-4.
Play: Jacksonville +3
4) Sunday October 4th: Baltimore @ Patriots
The Patriots have not looked impressive this year as they have snuck by the Bills and got beat up by the jets. New England is facing a Baltimore team that is 3-0 and plays the same style of defense that the Jets do is not good news for the Patriots. The Patriots are one of the best at adjusting and Baltimore’s defense has given up some yards. New England is 24-13-2 ATS at home off a straight up and ATS win and 23-12-1 ATS after surrendering 10 points or less. The Ravens are just 7-18-1 on the highway as non-division dogs and Bill Belichick will have his defense ready for Joe Flacco.
Play: Patriots -1
5) Sunday October 4th: Jets @ Saints
The Saints were expected to do well this year but the surprising Jets have also started 3-0 as well. This game will show how the Jets can play on the road with rookie QB Mark Sanchez. The road outside the AFC East has not been their friend. The New York Jets have fallen short in 18 of their last 23 (7-16 ATS) on the road when stepping outside the AFC-East. They have dropped four straight spread decisions as non-conference dogs of more than four. The Saints are 9-1 ATS in the last ten as favorites and get the win and the cover again this week.
Play: Saints -7
6) Sunday October 4th: San Diego @ Pittsburgh
The Steelers have lost back to back games and will be happy to be at home for this game against the Chargers. The Chargers may have caught the Steelers at the right time and they owe them for beating them on the way to the Super bowl last year. The Chargers have bounced back to cover eight of their last nine as road dogs with revenge. The Steelers are not the same without star safety Troy Polamalu and Rivers should be able to keep this close.
Play: Chargers +6
7) Monday October 5th: Green Bay @ Minnesota
By the time Monday comes around you will be very tired of this story line as Brett Favre faces the Packers for the first time since joining the Minnesota Vikings. The thing people don’t realize is that Green Bay is pretty good this year. This is more of a revenge game for Rodgers than it is for Favre. The Vikings are 0-6 ATS at home off of a home win. The underdog in this bitter rivalry is 18-3 and it's only fitting that the Packers have come away with the cheese in five of the past six meetings. Green Bay is 13-5 as division road pups and 17-7-1 away from home overall as well. The Packers steal the show and get a big win on the road.
Play: Packers +3.5
See next weeks NFL Betting Tips Week 5
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