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Old 04-24-2008, 11:51 AM   #1 (permalink)
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ew York Rangers vs. Pittsburgh Penguins

Season series: 5-3 Rangers (two New York wins were in OT)

Series price: Pens -130, Rangers +120



This will be a heck of a series between what could be the two best teams in the Eastern Conference right now.



Pittsburgh breezed through its first round in four games over a lame duck Ottawa squad while New York continued its season dominance over New Jersey by winning in five games. Don’t be surprised if the winner of this series goes on to the Stanley Cup finals.



The Penguins covered the puckline in all four games in Round 1 by averaging four goals per game, but it’s their defensively play that is quietly getting the job done. Not only is goalie Marc-Andre Fleury playing well, but the Pens are playing a great system across the board and limiting opponents’ scoring chances.



Eight of Pittsburgh’s last 10 games have played under and the club has only allowed more than two goals once in its last 10. There is value in the under with Pittsburgh right now, though the Pens face a club that can pot some goals.



The Rangers scored 19 goals in five games against New Jersey and wore Devils goalie Martin Brodeur down so much that he’s too deflated to play for Team Canada in the upcoming IIHF Hockey World Championships.



Jaromir Jagr’s emergence is the best news for Rangers fans coming out of Round 1 though. He is tied for the team lead with eight points and appears to have woken up after a quiet regular season. He’ll need to outshine at least one of the Penguins’ stars like Sidney Crosby or Evgeni Malkin in order for New York to advance because Pittsburgh is also getting all kinds of production.



Pick: Penguins in seven games



Philadelphia Flyers vs. Montreal Canadiens

Season series: 7-1 Montreal

Series price: Habs -180, Flyers +170



Three teams won a Game 7 in the first round of the playoffs, though only one team had its fans tear the city apart after the victory.



Canadiens fans thought it would be a good idea to destroy 16 police cars and unleash fury on the city following the Habs’ series win over Boston. What they should have been doing is breathing a sigh of relief.



Montreal is lucky to have gotten past the No. 8 seed in the East and the team will need better to beat a hot Flyers team.



These two clubs had the best power plays of the regular season and Philly kept its PP going by scoring eight goals in its seven-game series with Washington. Unfortunately, the Flyers also allowed eight power play goals and the Habs could use some of that penalty killing after they scored just three times on the man advantage against Boston.



Montreal is back to its boring style of hockey where it dumps the puck in and cycles it as long as possible until it can produce a shot of some kind. It is hard on the eyes and it might have worked against Boston, but it will be tougher against a faster and deeper Philly squad.



Goaltending, home ice and star power will likely be the three biggest factors in this game. The Habs saw a combination of sensational and soft goalkeeping from Carey Price throughout the series with the Bruins while Martin Biron was steady but not spectacular for the Flyers against the Caps. I’m not really sure what’s better, but I’m thinking it could add up to some over bets.



Both teams carried great home crowds through the first round, so if the Flyers can split the first two games with Montreal, they’ll be in good shape. Philly also has the top two scorers in the playoffs so far in Daniel Briere and Vaclav Prospal. Montreal is going to have to find a way to slow them without taking penalties.



The good news for the Habs is they have their captain back, Saku Koivu. They always seem to play with more heart when he’s in the lineup, even when he’s not on the scoresheet. He has three points in two games for Montreal since returning from a broken foot and could be the difference in this series.



Pick: Montreal six games

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Old 04-24-2008, 11:51 AM   #2 (permalink)
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Colorado Avalanche vs. Detroit Red Wings

Season series: Detroit 4-0, O/U 1-3

Series price: Red Wings -180, Avs -170



Do not check your calendar. This series is happening right now and with any luck, we’ll be treated to the kind of ferocious series we used to see when these teams collided in the late 90s.



The Avs lead the all-time playoff series 3-2 with the Wings but those were in series that were closer to a coin toss. This time around, the Red Wings enter as the heavy favorites after finishing 20 points ahead of Colorado in the regular season standings.



Detroit scored more goals per game than the Avs this season, allowed fewer, had a better power play and a better penalty killing unit, and the Wings won all four meetings. The Avs scored only two goals in four meetings against Detroit this season and were shut out in all three meetings in 2008.



However, Colorado’s late-season moves seem to be paying off and that could turn things around. Peter Forsberg is looking more in form with each game and he collected five points in Round 1 against Minnesota. Adam Foote is turning back the clock on defense at 36 and Jose Theodore has been fantastic in nets since taking over the No. 1 job from Peter Budaj.



Theodore will need another huge series against the Wings. Detroit got scoring from everywhere in Round 1 against Nashville when nine players picked up at least three points each and only two players who skated in all six games were held pointless (Chris Chelios and Brad Stuart).



The Wings also made a great move by giving the crease back to Chris Osgood in Game 5 and he allowed just one goal in two wins in Games 5 and 6.



Pick: Red Wings five games



Dallas Stars vs. San Jose Sharks

Season series: 4-4 (San Jose had one OT win and one shootout win)

Series price: Sharks -140, Stars +130



If the Stars manage to make it all the way to the Stanley Cup finals, they must just get there by the toughest route ever.



After knocking off defending champion Anaheim, Dallas now faces the Cup choice of many this year, San Jose. Should the Stars when this one, they could face President’s Cup winning Detroit in the Western finals.



But I guess that's getting ahead of things. This series should be a nasty one between two teams that match up closely. Both teams have great goaltending, lots of depth up front and a lack of depth on defense. They also both have power plays clicking at over 20 percent through first round.



Goaltending could be the difference in this series and after Round 1, I’d give the nod to Marty Turco. He frustrated the Ducks with huge saves throughout the series and he allowed just four goals in the four wins over Anaheim.



Evgeni Nabokov wasn’t quite as sharp against the Flames in San Jose’s first series, but it wasn’t entirely his fault. The Sharks had a number of lapses in energy and execution throughout the series, most notably in Game 6 when the Flames beat them 2-0. The Sharks didn’t get much of a sniff in that one and seemed to be waiting for Game 7 at home.



They won’t be able to do that against Dallas. The Stars have three lines clicking and the acquisition of Brad Richards at the trade deadline is paying dividends. Richards’ line racked up five goals and nine assists in the first series and Anaheim had to change its game plan to try to stop it.



Dallas also had seven players with at least two goals in Round 1 and a different combination of seven players with at least five points. San Jose, meanwhile, had five players with at least five points in Round 1 and five with at least two goals. Ryane Clowe and Joe Pavelski are the unexpected points leaders for the Sharks with seven apiece.



Pick: Stars six games

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