 NFL Week 4 Picks
10-01 NFL Week 4 Picks
Best Pick Record = 3-2
Strong Pick = 2-3
Regular Pick Record = 3-3
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San Diego @ Baltimore
Best Pick = UNDER 34.5 Points
This just might be the most physchical game in the
NFL so far. Both of these teams are dominating
on the defensive side of the ball. Baltimore's
offense has yet to really click. Their definetely
3-0 because of their stingy defense. San Diego
looked impressive offensively in their 2-0 season
so far, but they really were'nt tested playing in
my opinion the two worst teams in the league
against Oakland and Baltimore. Philip Rivers, is
making only his 3rd start of his career and will
be harassed by Ray Lewis and company. I look for
both teams to try to establish the run and ware
down their opponent. Both will have trouble in the
redzone, resulting in a game of field goals.
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Indianapolis @ N.Y. Jets
Best Bet = OVER 45.5 points
I think an average game for the Colts in this one
would be putting up 34 points. That leaves a
surprisingly good Jets team to put up 2 touchdowns
on their end. This is one where I can see the Colts
covering all by themselves. The Jets are playing with
a banged up secondary, Cornerbacks David Barrett (thigh)
and Derrick Strait (thigh) and safety Kerry Rhodes
(thigh) are questionable. The Colts are going to expoit
this early, causing the Jets to air it out as well, who
are having success at throwing the ball led by
Quarterback Chad Pennington. Even if the Colts get way
out ahead, this Jets team has showed a never quit
attitude behing first year coach Eric Mangini, which was
on display in a near comeback against the Patriots in
week 2.
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New England @ Cincinnati
Best Bet = Cincinnati -6
Here's a game that is finally gonna show that New
England is no longer an elite team in the NFL.
I think Cincinnati looks forward to these big games
more than most teams would. They want to show
everyone that they're no longer a pushover team,
and ready to make a Super Bowl run. I don't even see
this game being all that close. Cinci have a three
headed monster reciever core in Johnson, Henry and
Houshmandzadeh. How are the Pats defense going to
contain these guys and Rudie Johnson? Randall Gay
had to be placed on injured reserve, starting
cornerback Ellis Hobbs is questionable with a wrist
injury, safety Eugene Wilson is questionable with a
hamstring and backup safety Artrell Hawkins has been
nursing a thigh injury. The only way for New England
to stay in this game is for them to pass downfield
fluidly, but Cinci will know it's coming. There's
just not enough playmakers on a dismantled New
England Team.
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Cleveland @ Oakland
Best Bet = OVER 33.5 points
A big reason this line is so low is because the Raiders
starting Quarterback Aaron Brooks is out, which means
Andrew Walters will be getting his first career start
against the Browns. Oakland is coming off a bye week,
which allowed Walters plenty of time to get ready.
Aaron Brooks wasn't the answer for this team anyways,
so I don't even see this as much of a downgrade. I see
Randy Moss having a huge game in this one as well, after
being shutdown against Baltimore and San Diego, who are
argueably the two best defenses in the league. Cleveland
should have some success against Oakland's defense,
which is easily in the top 3 worst in the NFL this year.
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Indianapolis @ N.Y. Jets
Strong Pick = Indianapolis -9
I know -9 points is alot of points to give a home
team, expecially that is 2-1, but the Colts are gonna
light it up with ease in this one. Here's a big
reason why. Jets Cornerbacks David Barrett (thigh)
and Derrick Strait (thigh) and safety Kerry Rhodes
(thigh) are all questionable. This spells disaster
for a Colts team that has 5 to 6 options on every
play for Peyton Manning to get the ball moving.
The Jets are in for a long day but will still be
content being 2-2 a quarter of the way into the
season.
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San Francisco @ Kansas City
Strong Pick = Kansas City -7
The Chiefs come into this game 0-2, so this will be
a crucial game for them to win. They're also coming
off a bye week, which gives them plenty of rest and time
with backup Quarterback Damon Huard to get used to the
starting roll. San Francisco is looking much improved from
last year, but they're still going to have trouble on the
road where the home team is expected to win. Larry Johnson
has been semi quiet this far. Most defenses know stopping
him is the key to beating the Chiefs. KC will come out
throwing, which will make them back off the running game
somewhat allowing LJ to have a big game.
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Green Bay @ Philadelphia
Strong Pick = OVER 48 points
Green Bay is probably the worst defensive team in the
league, and Philadelphia has one of the best offenses.
Eagles Quarterback Donavan McNabb, has 960 yards
passing, to go along with 7 touchdowns and only 1
interception. Green Bay is coming off their best outing
of the season, scoring 34 points against the Detriot
Lions last week. This gives them some confidence that
they can compete. They will have to put up alot of
points to just stay in the game.
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Regular Pick = San Diego -2.5
The Charger's are coming off a bye week and pretty
much have a clean slate on the injuried list. They've
had 2 weeks to come up with a gameplan against a good
Baltimore team. The Ravens barely got past the Browns
last week, and really showed some flaws in their game.
I see the Charger's defense getting to McNair and
costing him to scramble and make some ill decisions.
I'm sure Baltimore will be bringing the blitz on young
QB Philip Rivers, who has yet to face a good defense.
This is where the best all around running back,
Ladanian Tomlison will come into effect on the screen
pass, taking chunks of positive yards. Look for a 8-10
catches along with 70-85 yards recieving yards from
Tomlison, which will be the difference in this ball game.
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Jacksonville @ Washington
Regular Pick = Jacksonville -2.5
I feel Jacksonville matches up well against the
Redskins. They have a strong physical team that can
shut Portis down, which is the main weapon on
Washingtons team. Jacksonville offensively have
looked pretty good as well, and seem to play a fairly
mistake free game which goes a long way when you
have a great defense. Whoever turns the ball over
less will win this one, and if the Jags stick to
what they've been doing all season long, that will
be in their favor.
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Seattle @ Chicago
Regular Pick UNDER 35 points
Here's two defenses that are ranked in the top 5. Seattle
star running back, Shaun Alexander is out with a broken
foot. This should take away some offense since he's a huge
part of their offensive scheme. Chicago Quarterback, Rex
Grossman, had some success in his first two games, but
they were against two poor defenses in Green Bay and the
Detriot Lions. Last week he didn't favor so well a against
a very good Minnesota Vikings defense. Seattle has a solid
defense as well and have been having alot of success
against the pass. Should be a grinde it out game, with
some long field goal attempts, and little action inside
the redzone. The only thing that worries me in this one
is that the defenses could very likely punch in a
touchdown. | 
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