London

[nflman]

CHARGERS -3

Information on this game is Jonathan Goodwin, the Saints starting center will not play. He injured his knee during last weeks loss to Carolina. The Saints have a short week to prepare his back-up.

[Hammer]

That info alone NFLMAN is enough to load up on S.Diego.Not having your starting Center is bad news for the "Who Dats" not to mention the numbers lean heavily on the Chargers.Nice research my friend.Let's go get the money!!!

[nflman]

Originally Posted by Hammer

That info alone NFLMAN is enough to load up on S.Diego.Not having your starting Center is bad news for the "Who Dats" not to mention the numbers lean heavily on the Chargers.Nice research my friend.Let's go get the money!!!

That's another game I'm having second thoughts on. What's your take on Seattle this week. That's my bread and butter.

[nflman]

I might switch to New Orleans...

it's one of those games where I pick heads, and then know it's going to come up tails before the coin is flipped.

[nflman]

Originally Posted by Hammer

That info alone NFLMAN is enough to load up on S.Diego.Not having your starting Center is bad news for the "Who Dats" not to mention the numbers lean heavily on the Chargers.Nice research my friend.Let's go get the money!!!

Well good buddy, the Jaguars have Brad Meester returning at center this week. His first game of the year...

[Hammer]

No opinion on Seattle. Going to pass on it cannot figure them out. They sure need the game.

Just now looking at some of the lines and if the Saints are so beat up why is the money so small?+140 are you kidding me? I got S.Diego 38 Saints 13 with odds but I also see a Saints 41-S.Diego 21 so I am going to hedge my bet and see what it looks like at half time. All Breeze needs is someone to catch the frigging ball and they score. Jacksonville could just win by 6 do not have anything heavy on Jack. I am going heavy on Detroit at 30-14.I also think Detroit goes on the road next week and takes care of Chicago. My other heavy bet is Pitt over the Giants.

[nflman]

I'm looking at these systems and trends on Seattle:

Play on a divisional away dog of less than 7 points when both teams have losing records. 6 consecutive money line wins since week 6 2007

Play on an away dog when both teams lost their last game on the road. Since week 1 1989 139-77-3 ATS

Since week 4 2004 away dogs of more than 4 points but less than 6 with a point total above 40 but below 43 are 10-0 ATS and since week 1 2005 7-0 SU

Also a play on the historic divisional revenge system: Play on a divisional away dog of 3 points or more that lost the first of this years games with todays opponent. Not sure what the record is on that right now but when both teams lost their last game on the road (a combination of systems) it is approx. 17-2 ATS since week 1 1989

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I like New Orleans, but only if Cromartie is out. Playing against a team without their top corner in accordance with this year's trend.

Technically, to handicap games on neutral sites, you need to apply all systems using each team as the home team.

Then you confirm the play with an injury report trend.

Hence, Cromartie out confirms the two systems that I mentioned earlier in this thread that apply to Seattle at San Francisco. The divisional system on two teams with losing records has continued into this season when applied to all match-ups (not just the divisional rivalries)

Hope I didn't lose anybody

[chickendinner]

I'm going with over the total for the SD-NO game. GL to all.

[nflman]

The most fundamentally intriguing aspect of this Seattle game is the fact that Ray McDonald is out for the 49ers, and teams playing their first game with one of their defensive linemen out are 1-7 ATS this year.