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Old 11-04-2007, 12:39 PM   1 links from elsewhere to this Post. Click to view. #1 (permalink)
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Join Date: Oct 2007
Posts: 106
Default NFL Picks

Updated Record

NFL: 9-10, (47%) -3.10
NHL: 11-3, (79%) +8.35
NCAA: 20-8, (71%) +11.20
NBA: 5-5, (50%) -.50
MLB: 4-6, (40%) -3.12

Total: 49-32, (60%) +12.83





Arizona +3.5

Garcia showed his weakness last week turning over the ball and throwing the game away for the Bucs. The Cardinals have a solid defense and will have a serious shot of winning this on the field so the points are a gift. This will be a defensive battle and the kicker will decide the winner.

When TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS team played as a Home team - After a non conference game - Coming off 1 over they are 3-8-1 ATS

When TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS team played as a -3.5 to -6.5 Home Favorite - After a non division game - Scored 24 points or less FOR in their last game they are 7-13 ATS

ARIZONA at TAMPA BAY
Play On - Road teams (ARIZONA) off a cover where the team lost as an underdog, in the second half of the season
29-8 over the last 5 seasons. ( 78.4% | 20.2 units )

Cleveland -1

The Browns are a good club and they are getting some respect this week as a favorite at home over a good Seattle team. There is a reason for it. The offense of Cleveland has finally caught up to a good defense and they are winning games just like this. The Browns run away with it at home today. Seattle historically has played badly off a bye.

Seattle: 0-8 ATS off a division win by 21+ points

When SEATTLE SEAHAWKS team played as a Road team - During the month of November - Coming off a 1 under they are 3-7 ATS

Since the line is so small some straight up numbers factor in

When ANY NFL Team played as Home team as a Favorite - Last 5 years - With 6 day off - Allowed 20 points or less AGAINST in their last game they are 1427-645-4 SU (CLE)

When ANY NFL Team played as Road team as a Underdog - Vs Non Division Opponent - Scored 29 - 35 POINTS FOR in their last game they are 75-180 SU (SEA)

Kansas City -2.5

The Packers travel off a Monday Night win and that puts them in one of the toughest road venues in the league. KC has one of the best red zone defenses in the league and will give the Packers fits with the rushing scheme.

When KANSAS CITY CHIEFS team played as a Home team - Last 4 years - After a conference game they are 11-4 ATS


Buffalo +1

Buffalo is a very decent home team that has taken good teams to the wire on many occasions this year. Now they get the bengals with a limping defense that has been torched by every team they face. Losman is at QB and that will get the offense going in high gear.

Cincinnati: 1-8 ATS after losing 2 of their last 3 games
Buffalo: 8-1 ATS with a line of +3 to -3

When CINCINNATI BENGALS team played as a pk to -3.0 Favorite - Vs Non Division Opponent - Coming off a lost on grass they are 3-7-1 ATS

When BUFFALO BILLS team played as a Home team - Last 3 years - Scored more than 10 points in back to back games they are 7-4 ATS

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