Monday night Football

[Joey Spoons]

Monday Night Football

Record

NFL: 1-2-1. -1.20
NHL: 4-1, +3.70
NCAA: 5-2, +2.80
MLB: 1-3, -2.27

Total: 11-8, +3.03

This game stinks tonight and everyone knows it or thinks it, so why the low line? The Falcons have shown time and time again that this season is not about winning, but rebuilding with a new coach. This team has fought with each other and been dismantled and separated all year. It shows as the line is rising as it opened at about 3.5 and is now above in 5 in some places. Harrington was benched but he will be back tonight for the start and the Falcons have two big tackles that will miss tonight’s game.
The only reason for this line being so small is because they are playing on Monday Night, in the past (see last week) home dogs have played well under the Monday Night Lights. The problem is the records will show you that both teams do not play well on Monday night, so let’s forget the babble and go with my plays tonight because I love this game, so much so that I have five plays in this game.

Game:
Atlanta +5
Under 44

First Halves:
Atl +3 first half
Under 21.5 f/h

Parlay:
Atl +5
Under 44

The game plan is simple for the Falcons, play a two tight end set and get maximum protection in for Harrington. Look for Harrington to revert to 2-3 step drops and get the passes out quickly. The Giants ran 39 times last week and that allowed for a well controlled tempo game. They will do this again and set up the run against the birds. What this will do is allow for clock control and avoid a huge blowout in this game keeping it close.

Trends:
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing NY Giants
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Atlanta's last 14 games
Atlanta is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games when playing NY Giants
Atlanta is 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing NY Giants
Under is 22-6 in Falcons last 28 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
Under is 11-3 in Falcons last 14 games overall.
Under is 7-2 in Falcons last 9 games following a S.U. loss.
Under is 7-2 in Falcons last 9 vs. NFC.
Under is 40-12-2 in Falcons last 54 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.

When NEW YORK GIANTS team played as Road team as a Favorite - During Week 4 to 8 - After a non division game - Coming off a Home win as a Favorite - Coming off a win on turf they are 3-7 ATS

When NEW YORK GIANTS team played as a 3.5 to 6.5 Road Favorite - Before a non division game - Coming off a Home win the under is 11-2

When ANY NFL Team played as a Road team - During Week 4 to 8 - Coming off a win on turf(NYG) the under is 100-65-2

When ATLANTA FALCONS team played as Home team as a Underdog - Playing in dome surface - Coming off a 4-7 point loss they are 10-5 ATS


When ATLANTA FALCONS team played as a Home team - Total is between 41.5 to 44 - Allowed 14 - 21 AGAINST in their last game the under is 11-3

When ANY NFL Team played as a 3.5 to 6.5 Underdog - Playing in dome surface - Scored 13 points or less FOR in their last game they are 63-41-3 (ATL)

Spoons