Tampa Bay Lightning vs Florida Panthers Betting Pick & Prediction 3/3/25

Making on a bet on this NHL game featuring the Lightning versus the Panthers? The puck drops at 7:00 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on ESPN+. The game will be played at Amerant Bank Arena in Sunrise, FL. This Atlantic division matchup has an over/under of 5.5 goals, and the Panthers are favored by -1.5 at home vs. the Lightning.
TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING VS FLORIDA PANTHERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Florida Panthers -1.5
This game will be played at Amerant Bank Arena at 7:00 ET on Monday, March 3rd.
WHY BET THE FLORIDA PANTHERS:
- Even though they are considered 1.5-goal underdogs, our projection points to a 4-3 win for the Lightning.
- We like the Lightning on the moneyline (+103)
- The Lightning are also our pick on the spread at +1.5
Can Tampa Bay Pull Off a Road Win?
Tampa Bay’s 7-4 loss to the Jets moved their record to 35-20-4. The Lightning were underdogs on the puck line, and the total of 11 goals easily surpassed the pre-game line of 6.5 goals.
At one point, the Lightning led 2-0, but the Jets responded with seven of the next nine goals. Four different players scored for Tampa Bay in the loss.
Tampa Bay’s offense came up with four goals in their 7-4 loss to the Jets. Brandon Hagel opened the scoring with his 7th goal of the season, while Brayden Point followed with his 8th, which came on a power play. Mitchell Chaffee added his 4th goal, and Nikita Kucherov netted his 10th.
The Lightning took 30 shots on goal and recorded 8 giveaways. They scored twice in the first period, added a third goal in the second, and found the net for the fourth time in the third period.
Defensively, the Lightning will aim to bounce back after giving up 7 goals to the Jets, including 4 in the third period. Goalie Jonas Johansson made 27 saves but finished with a save percentage of 84.4%. Tampa Bay’s defense also recorded 6 takeaways and 16 hits.
Can the Panthers Secure a Win at Home?
Florida improved to 37-21-3 with a 4-2 win over the Stars. The Panthers covered the puck line as -1.5 goal favorites, and the total of 6 goals fell short of the 6.5 goal line.
Four different players scored for Florida, with Sam Reinhart’s goal at 17:28 in the 3rd period breaking a 2-2 tie. The Panthers added an empty-net goal to seal the victory.
Carolina’s offense scored four times in their 4-2 win over Dallas, with A.J. Greer netting his first goal of the season. Sam Reinhart added his 10th goal on an empty net, after earlier picking up his 11th assist. Matthew Tkachuk got his third goal, while Evan Rodrigues opened the scoring for the Panthers.
Carolina took 25 shots on goal and tallied 16 giveaways. They scored once on the power play, with Tkachuk’s goal making it 2-0 in the second period. The Panthers added two more goals in the third, including Reinhart’s empty-netter with just a minute left.
Florida’s defense gave up two goals in the second period, but they shut down the Stars in the 3rd, leading to a 4-2 win. Spencer Knight made 23 saves with a 92% save percentage, and the Panthers’ defense finished with 8 takeaways and 22 hits.