Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns Betting Pick & Prediction 11/21/24
The Browns and Steelers will face off on Thursday, November 21st at 8:15 ET. This week 12 AFC North matchup is being played at Huntington Bank Field in Cleveland and is being televised by AMZN. The Browns are the underdog at +163 on the money line, while the Steelers are favored at -193. Pittsburgh is favored by -3.5 on the road, and the over/under line is set at 36.5 points.
PITTSBURGH STEELERS VS CLEVELAND BROWNS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers -3.5
This game will be played at Huntington Bank Field at 8:15 ET on Thursday, November 21st.
WHY BET THE PITTSBURGH STEELERS:
- We have the Steelers winning this one by a score of 22 to 18
- Not only do we have the Steelers winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -3.5
- Look for this game to go over the line of 36.5 points
Will The Steelers Win As Road Favorites?
With their win over the Ravens in week 11, the Steelers extended their winning streak to five games and improved to 8-2, putting them atop the AFC North. Pittsburgh has a +7.1 scoring margin this season and is 8-2 against the spread, including a 4-0 record as underdogs. They covered the spread against Baltimore, winning 18-16 as 3.5-point underdogs.
Heading into week 12, the Steelers have a 66.6% chance of winning the division and a 97.3% chance of making the playoffs. They rank 10th in our NFL power rankings. Their O/U record stands at 5-5, with their games averaging 39.5 points compared to an average line of 40.8.
Russell Wilson’s passer rating has dropped in each of the last three games, going from 114 in week 9 to 93 in week 10, and then to 67 in week 11 against the Ravens, where he threw for 205 yards with no touchdowns and one interception. George Pickens led the team with 8 catches for 89 yards in week 11, while Najee Harris rushed for 63 yards on 18 carries. Pittsburgh struggled on 3rd down, converting just 4 of 16 attempts, and failed to score on any of their 4 red zone trips.
Heading into week 12, the Steelers rank 17th in our offensive power rankings. They are 14th in the NFL in points per game (23.3) and 19th in yards per game (324). Pittsburgh leans heavily on the run, ranking 2nd in rushing attempts and 8th in rushing yards per game, while ranking 25th in passing attempts and 26th in passing yards per game.
In their 18-16 win over the Ravens, the Steelers’ defense allowed just 16 completions for 205 yards through the air. Baltimore finished with a completion percentage of 48.5%. Pittsburgh’s run defense gave up 124 yards on just 19 attempts, with the Ravens averaging 6.5 yards per attempt.
The Steelers picked off one pass, held the Ravens to a 36.4% conversion rate on third down, and recorded two sacks. However, they did lose the tackles for loss battle, with a differential of -4.
Are The Browns Going Win In At Upset At Huntington Bank Field
With a 2-8 record, the Browns currently rank 21st in our NFL power rankings and have just a 0.7% chance of making the playoffs. Cleveland has lost two straight games, including a 35-14 defeat to the Saints in week 11. The Browns were 1-point favorites in that matchup but couldn’t get the win, dropping their record to 1-4 at home and 1-4 on the road.
Against the spread, the Browns are 3-7 this season, with an average scoring margin of -8.6 points per game. They are 0-4 ATS as favorites and 3-3 as underdogs. Their O/U record stands at 4-6, with their games averaging 41 points compared to an average line of 41.6.
Heading into week 12, the Browns rank 31st in our offensive power rankings, averaging 16.2 points per game, which is 29th in the NFL. They’ve struggled on third down, converting just 28.2% of the time, and rank 27th in yards per game with 291.3. Despite being 19th in passing yards per game (202.8), Cleveland ranks 2nd in pass attempts, averaging 38.6 per game. On the ground, they are 29th in rushing, with 88.5 yards per game.
Jameis Winston threw for 395 yards (30/46) and 2 touchdowns in week 11, with Jerry Jeudy catching 6 passes for 142 yards. Nick Chubb had 50 yards on 11 carries. Before Jeudy’s performance, Cedric Tillman led the team in receiving in weeks 9 and 10. Cleveland scored 8 points in the 3rd quarter against the Saints but was shut out in the 2nd and 4th quarters.
In their 35-14 loss to the Saints, the Browns allowed 214 rushing yards on just 28 attempts, giving up a whopping 7.6 yards per attempt. The Browns’ defense struggled to stop the run and allowed New Orleans to finish with 473 total yards. In the passing game, the Browns gave up 259 yards, with the Saints averaging 8.9 yards per attempt. Cleveland allowed two passing touchdowns and only managed one sack in the game. Opposing quarterbacks completed 75.9% of their passes against the Browns, and the Saints converted on 50% of their third down attempts.