Baltimore Ravens vs Los Angeles Chargers Betting Pick & Prediction 11/25/24

The Ravens are favored on the road as they take on the Chargers at 8:15 ET on Monday, November 25th at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, CA. The game is being televised on ESPN. The Ravens’ money line odds are -157, while the Chargers’ odds are +132. Baltimore is -3 point favorites, and the over/under line is set at 51 points.

BALTIMORE RAVENS VS LOS ANGELES CHARGERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Los Angeles Chargers +3

This game will be played at SoFi Stadium at 8:15 ET on Monday, November 25th.

WHY BET THE LOS ANGELES CHARGERS:

  • We have the Chargers winning this one by a score of 26 to 18
  • Not only do we have the Chargers winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +3
  • We see this game finishing below the line of 51 points

Will The Ravens Pick Up A Win On The Road?

Heading into week 12, the Ravens sit 2nd in our NFL power rankings despite their 18-16 loss to the Steelers in week 11. Baltimore was favored by 3.5 points but couldn’t pull off the win, dropping their record to 7-4. They remain 2nd in the AFC North and have a 97.4% chance of making the playoffs, according to our projections.

Against the spread, the Ravens are 5-5-1, with an average scoring margin of +5.7 points per game. Their O/U record is 9-2, with their games averaging 55 points per contest.

Heading into week 12, the Ravens are 2nd in the NFL in points per game, averaging 30.4, and they lead the league with 430.1 passing yards per game. Baltimore ranks 3rd in passing yards per game (252.8) despite being 23rd in passing attempts. They also rank 3rd in the NFL in 3rd-down conversion percentage (46.2%) and are 29th in red zone conversion percentage.

Lamar Jackson had a passer rating of 66 in week 11, throwing for 207 yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Derrick Henry led the team with 65 rushing yards on 13 carries, while Isaiah Likely had 4 catches for 75 yards.

In their 18-16 loss to the Steelers, the Ravens’ defense gave up just 181 passing yards on 23 completions. They defended the run well, allowing only 3.6 yards per attempt and 122 yards on 34 attempts. Despite their strong defensive effort, the Ravens lost on a last-second field goal.

Baltimore’s defense recorded four sacks and held Pittsburgh to a 25% third-down conversion rate. They also came up with one interception and limited the Steelers to 5.0 yards per pass attempt.

Will The Chargers Win At Home Over The Ravens?

With their 34-27 win over the Bengals in week 11, the Chargers extended their winning streak to four games, bringing their record to 7-3. This puts them 5th in the AFC and 2nd in the AFC West. Our projections give Los Angeles a 94.6% chance of making the playoffs, but just a 6.4% chance of winning the division. Heading into week 12, they rank 14th in our NFL power rankings.

Against the spread, the Chargers are 7-2-1 this season, including a 7-1 record as favorites. They’ve covered the spread in four straight games, including a 1-point win over the Bengals in week 11, where they were favored by 1. The over has hit in two straight Chargers games, but the under is 7-3 in their games this season.

Heading into week 12, the Chargers rank 13th in our offensive power rankings. They are 17th in the NFL in points per game (22) and 18th in yards per game (326.4). Despite ranking 27th in passing attempts, they are 18th in passing yards per game, averaging 204.8. On the ground, they are 10th in rushing attempts and 12th in rushing yards per game, with 121.6. Los Angeles is converting 38.8% of their 3rd downs, which ranks 14th in the league, and they are 5th in red zone conversion percentage (53.8%).

Justin Herbert has been playing well, throwing for 297 yards and 2 touchdowns in week 11, with no interceptions. He posted a passer rating of 94 after ratings of 123 in week 10 and 125 in week 9. Ladd McConkey led the Chargers in receiving in week 11, with 6 catches for 123 yards. Herbert also led the team in rushing, with 65 yards on 5 carries.

In their 34-27 win over the Bengals, the Chargers’ defense allowed 452 total yards. The Bengals ran for 110 yards on 25 attempts. Despite giving up 342 passing yards, the Chargers held Cincinnati to a 56% completion rate. They also recorded three sacks and limited the Bengals to a 29.4% conversion rate on third down.