Detroit Lions vs Indianapolis Colts Betting Pick & Prediction 11/24/24
The Lions are the heavy favorite in this week 12 non-conference matchup, with their money line at -365 compared to the Colts at +290. The game, set for 1:00 ET on Sunday, November 24th at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, is being televised on FOX. The Lions are favored by -7.5 points, and the over/under line is set at 51 points.
DETROIT LIONS VS INDIANAPOLIS COLTS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Detroit Lions -7.5
This game will be played at Lucas Oil Stadium at 1:00 ET on Sunday, November 24th.
WHY BET THE DETROIT LIONS:
- We have the Lions winning this one by a score of 34 to 22
- Not only do we have the Lions winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -7.5
- Look for this game to go over the line of 51 points
Will The Lions Win As Road Favorites?
Heading into week 12, the Lions sit atop our power rankings and have a 99.9% chance of making the playoffs, along with an 84.7% chance of winning the NFC North. Detroit is 9-1 and has won eight straight games, including a dominant 52-6 victory over the Jaguars in week 11. The Lions easily covered the 14-point spread in that game, bouncing back after failing to cover against the Texans in week 10.
Detroit is 8-2 against the spread this season, with an average scoring margin of +15.9 points per game. Their O/U record stands at 5-4-1, with their games averaging 51.3 combined points. The average line in their games has been 49.8 points.
Heading into week 12, the Lions are 2nd in our offensive power rankings, leading the NFL in scoring with 33.6 points per game. They rank 3rd in total yards per game (394.7) and 6th in passing yards, averaging 242.5 per game, despite being 26th in pass attempts. On the ground, Detroit is 3rd in both rushing attempts and yards per game, with 152.2. They are 6th in 3rd-down conversions but rank 27th in red zone efficiency.
In week 11, Jared Goff threw for 412 yards and 4 touchdowns, posting a perfect passer rating of 158.3. Amon-Ra St. Brown had 11 catches for 161 yards and 2 touchdowns, while David Montgomery rushed for 75 yards and 2 scores. The Lions scored in every quarter, with 21 points in the 2nd quarter, and converted all 5 of their red zone opportunities.
The Lions’ defense was dominant in their most recent game, as they allowed just 129 passing yards on 4.4 yards per attempt. They picked off one pass and held Jacksonville to 58.6% completions. Detroit’s defense also shut down the Jaguars’ running game, allowing only 41 yards on 17 attempts.
Overall, the Lions gave up just 170 total yards in their 52-6 win over the Jaguars. They were excellent on third downs, allowing only a 20% conversion rate, and they also came away with one sack.
Are The Colts Going Win In At Upset At Lucas Oil Stadium
After three straight losses, the Colts got back in the win column with a 28-27 victory over the Jets in week 11, improving their record to 5-6. This puts them 2nd in the AFC South, though they are just 1-3 in division games. According to our projections, Indianapolis has a 32.6% chance of making the playoffs and a 5% chance of winning the division. They rank 25th in our NFL power rankings heading into week 12.
Despite their negative scoring margin (-1.3), the Colts are 8-3 against the spread this season. They are 6-2 ATS as underdogs and 2-1 as favorites. Their O/U record is 5-6, with the over hitting in two straight games.
Heading into week 12, the Colts rank 24th in our offensive power rankings. They are 18th in the NFL in scoring, averaging 21.5 points per game, and 21st in total offense with 320.7 yards per game. They rank 20th in passing attempts (30.4) and passing yards (202.2) per game. On the ground, they are 16th in rushing, averaging 118.5 yards per game on 26.5 attempts.
In week 11, Anthony Richardson threw for 272 yards and a touchdown, completing 20 of 30 passes without an interception. Jonathan Taylor had 24 carries for 57 yards, while Josh Downs led the team with 5 catches for 84 yards. The Colts scored 12 points in the 4th quarter and converted 6 of 15 3rd downs, along with 3 of 4 red zone attempts.
In their 28-27 win over the Jets, the Colts’ defense gave up 162 passing yards on 22 completions. The Colts allowed two passing touchdowns and the Jets had a 75.9% completion percentage. Indianapolis defended the run well, giving up just 91 yards on 20 attempts.
Despite allowing two passing touchdowns, the Colts’ defense limited the Jets to 253 total yards. Indianapolis also recorded three sacks and held the Jets to a 30.8% conversion rate on third down.