Arizona Cardinals vs Miami Dolphins Betting Pick & Prediction 10/27/24
The Dolphins are favored on the money line at -167 as they host the Cardinals at 1:00 ET on Sunday, October 27th at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, FL. The Dolphins are -3 point favorites on the point spread. This week eight non-conference matchup is being televised on FOX, with the over/under line set at 47.5 points.
ARIZONA CARDINALS VS MIAMI DOLPHINS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Miami Dolphins -3
This game will be played at Hard Rock Stadium at 1:00 ET on Sunday, October 27th.
WHY BET THE MIAMI DOLPHINS:
- We have the Dolphins winning this one by a score of 29 to 24
- Not only do we have the Dolphins winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -3
- Look for this game to go over the line of 47.5 points
Will The Cardinals Pick Up A Win On The Road?
Heading into week 8, the Cardinals are 3-4, putting them 2nd in the NFC West with a 2-0 division record. They have a 29.6% chance of making the playoffs and a 25.9% chance of winning the division. In our power rankings, Arizona is 22nd. Against the spread, they are 4-3, including a 3-2 record as underdogs.
In week 7, the Cardinals beat the Chargers 17-15, snapping a two-game losing streak. Before that, they lost to the Packers in week 6 and beat the 49ers in week 5. Arizona was a 7-point underdog in that game and won 24-23.
Kyler Murray’s passer rating has declined over his last three games, from 97 in week 6 to 66 in week 7, where he threw for 145 yards, completing 14 of 26 passes with one touchdown and one interception. James Conner rushed for 101 yards on 19 carries in week 7 and also led the team in receiving with 51 yards on 2 catches.
Arizona’s offense ranks 17th in the NFL, scoring 21.4 points per game. They are 15th in total yards per game (331.3) and 25th in passing yards per game (181), despite ranking 23rd in passing attempts. On the ground, they are 6th in rushing yards per game, averaging 150.3 yards on 27.6 attempts per game.
In their 17-15 win over the Chargers, the Arizona Cardinals’ defense gave up 395 total yards, but they were tough against the run, allowing just 59 yards on 22 attempts. They also recorded three sacks and held the Chargers to a 42.9% third-down conversion rate. Despite giving up 336 passing yards, Arizona didn’t allow any passing touchdowns.
The Cardinals’ defense pressured the quarterback effectively, coming out ahead in both the QB hit and tackles for loss differentials. Their performance against the run was particularly impressive, holding the Chargers to just 2.7 yards per attempt despite their overall yardage total.
Will The Dolphins Win At Home Over The Cardinals?
Heading into week 8, the Dolphins sit 30th in our NFL power rankings and have a 5.3% chance of making the playoffs. Miami is 2-4 this season, which includes a 1-1 record in the AFC East. They are 1-2 at home and 1-2 on the road. After beating the Patriots in week 5, the Dolphins couldn’t build on that win, falling to the Colts 16-10 in week 7.
Miami is 1-5 against the spread this season, with an average scoring margin of -9.8 points per game. Their O/U record is 1-5, with the under hitting in two straight games. The average combined scoring in Dolphins games is 33.2 points, compared to an O/U line of 43.1.
Heading into week 8, the Dolphins rank 31st in our offensive power rankings, averaging 11.7 points per game, which is 27th in the league. They are 22nd in passing yards per game with 179.5, despite being 14th in passing attempts. On the ground, Miami ranks 11th in rushing yards per game, with 128.7, on 31.3 attempts per game. They have struggled on third down, converting just 32.1% of their attempts, but they rank 2nd in the NFL in red zone conversion percentage.
In week 7, Miami scored 10 points, all in the first half, in a loss to the Colts. Tyler Huntley threw for 87 yards and a touchdown, completing 7 of 13 passes. Jonnu Smith led the team with 7 catches for 96 yards and a touchdown, while De’Von Achane rushed for 77 yards on 15 carries.
In their 16-10 loss to the Colts, Miami’s defense held the Colts to just 129 yards passing on 10 completions. However, the Dolphins struggled to stop the run, allowing 155 yards on 37 attempts. They also failed to record a sack and allowed the Colts to convert on 46% of their third down attempts.
Miami’s defense limited the Colts to just 5.4 yards per attempt in the passing game and kept them out of the endzone through the air. Despite this, the Dolphins’ inability to stop the run was a key factor in their most recent defeat.