Chicago Bears vs Washington Commanders Betting Pick & Prediction 10/27/24

The Commanders are the underdog at +123 on the money line as they host the Bears at 4:25 ET on Sunday, October 27th at Northwest Stadium in Landover, MD. The Bears are favored by -2.5 on the road, and the over/under line is 43.5 points. CBS is handling the television coverage of this week eight NFC matchup.

CHICAGO BEARS VS WASHINGTON COMMANDERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Washington Commanders +2.5

This game will be played at Northwest Stadium at 4:25 ET on Sunday, October 27th.

WHY BET THE WASHINGTON COMMANDERS:

• We have the Commanders winning this one by a score of 26 to 19
• Not only do we have the Commanders winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +2.5
• Look for this game to go over the line of 43.5 points

Will The Bears Pick Up A Win On The Road?

After two straight losses, the Bears have bounced back with three consecutive wins, including a 35-16 victory over the Jaguars in week 6. Chicago was a 1.5-point underdog in that game, but they covered the spread with ease, bringing their ATS record to 5-1 this season. They rank 13th in our power rankings and have a +7.8 average scoring margin.

According to our projections, the Bears have a 40% chance of making the playoffs and a 5.4% chance of winning the NFC North. They are 4-2 overall, 2-0 in conference play, and 4-0 at home, but they are 0-2 on the road. Their O/U record is 3-3, with the over hitting in each of their last three games.

Caleb Williams has been on fire, posting passer ratings of 124 in week 6, 126 in week 5, and 106 in week 4. Against the Jaguars in week 6, he threw for 226 yards and 4 touchdowns, completing 23 of 29 passes. D’Andre Swift led the rushing attack with 91 yards on 17 carries, while Cole Kmet had 5 catches for 70 yards and 2 touchdowns.

Heading into week 8, the Bears rank 23rd in our offensive power rankings. They are 10th in the NFL in passing attempts per game, averaging 33.2, and 20th in passing yards with 196.7 per game. On the ground, they rank 23rd in rushing yards per game, with 104.8, on 28 attempts per game. Chicago is 21st in 3rd-down conversions, with a rate of 35.4%.

In their 35-16 win over the Jaguars, the Bears’ defense allowed just 3.4 yards per attempt on 20 rushing attempts. They also recorded four sacks and held Jacksonville to 68 rushing yards. Against the pass, Chicago gave up 210 yards, 24 completions, and two touchdowns. The Bears forced one interception and limited the Jaguars to a 46.7% third-down conversion rate. Chicago’s defense also had the edge in QB hits and tackles for loss.

Will The Commanders Win At Home Over The Bears?

Washington bounced back from their week 6 loss to the Ravens with a dominant 40-7 win over the Panthers, improving their record to 5-2. This puts them in first place in the NFC East, and our projections give them a 74.3% chance of making the playoffs and a 46.4% chance of winning the division. Heading into week 8, the Commanders rank 8th in our NFL power rankings.

Washington has an average scoring margin of +9.4 points per game and is 5-1-1 against the spread. They covered the 10-point spread in their win over the Panthers and are 3-0 as favorites this season. Their O/U record is 5-2, with their games averaging 52.9 points per game.

Heading into week 8, the Commanders sit atop our offensive power rankings, leading the NFL in points per game with 31.1. They rank 4th in total yards per game (384.1) and 13th in passing yards, despite being 24th in pass attempts. On the ground, Washington is 5th in rushing attempts and 3rd in rushing yards per game, averaging 165.4 yards. They also rank 3rd in the NFL in 3rd-down conversion percentage.

In week 7, Marcus Mariota threw for 205 yards and 2 touchdowns, completing 18 of 23 passes. Terry McLaurin led the team with 98 receiving yards, and Brian Robinson Jr. rushed for 71 yards on 12 carries. Washington scored 40 points against the Panthers, with 27 coming in the first half.

In their most recent game, the Washington Commanders’ defense was dominant, allowing just 85 passing yards in a 40-7 win over the Panthers. They picked off two passes and held Carolina to 72.2% completions. Washington’s defense also limited the Panthers to a 30% third-down conversion rate and recorded two sacks.

Washington’s run defense allowed 95 yards on 23 attempts, and offensively, the Panthers managed just 180 total yards against them. The Commanders’ secondary didn’t give up any passing touchdowns in the game.