Minnesota Vikings vs Los Angeles Rams Betting Pick & Prediction 10/24/24

The Vikings are favored on the road with a point spread of -3 as they take on the Rams at 8:15 ET on Thursday, October 24th. This week eight matchup is being played at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, CA, and is being televised by AMZN. The Vikings’ money line odds are -156, and the Rams’ money line odds are +132, with the over/under line set at 48 points.
MINNESOTA VIKINGS VS LOS ANGELES RAMS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Los Angeles Rams +3
This game will be played at SoFi Stadium at 8:15 ET on Thursday, October 24th.
WHY BET THE LOS ANGELES RAMS:
- We have the Vikings winning this one by a score of 25 to 23
- Even though we like the Vikings to win, our ATS pick is to take the Rams at +3
- We see this game finishing below the line of 48 points
Will The Vikings Pick Up A Win On The Road?
Heading into week 8, the Vikings hold a 5-1 record, giving them a 78.4% chance of making the playoffs and a 19.8% chance of winning the NFC North. Minnesota ranks 9th in our NFL power rankings. They are 5-1 against the spread, including a 3-0 record as underdogs. Their O/U record is 2-4, with their games averaging 45.8 points (O/U line: 45.2).
After starting the season 5-0, the Vikings lost 31-29 to the Lions in week 7. They were 1.5-point favorites at home but couldn’t pull out the win. The two teams combined for 60 points, going over the 50-point line.
Heading into week 8, the Vikings are 11th in our offensive power rankings, averaging 28 points per game, which ranks 5th in the NFL. They’ve been strong in the 1st quarter, leading the league with 9.7 points per game. Minnesota ranks 13th in yards per game (333.2) and 14th in passing yards, with 213.8 per game, despite being 26th in passing attempts. On the ground, they are 17th in rushing yards per game.
Sam Darnold threw for 259 yards (22/27) and a touchdown in week 7, posting a passer rating of 103. Justin Jefferson led the team with 7 catches for 81 yards, while Aaron Jones had 93 rushing yards on 14 carries. Minnesota scored 12 points in the 4th quarter against the Lions but didn’t have any red zone attempts.
In their 31-29 loss to the Lions, the Vikings’ defense struggled to stop the run, giving up 144 yards on just 27 attempts, with Detroit gaining 9.9 yards per attempt through the air. They allowed the Lions to convert 40% of their third downs and 247 passing yards, with 88% of their passes completed. Minnesota did have four sacks and won the QB hit and tackles for loss differentials.
Minnesota’s defense gave up a total of 391 yards in the game.
Will The Rams Win At Home Over The Vikings?
Heading into week 8, the Rams sit 21st in our NFL power rankings and have a 12.3% chance of making the playoffs. They are 2-4 on the season, including a 1-1 record in the division and 1-4 in conference play. After snapping a three-game losing streak with a win over the Raiders in week 7, the Rams are 4th in the NFC West. They are 2-1 at home but have yet to win on the road (0-3).
Against the spread, the Rams are 1-5 this season, including three straight ATS losses. They were unable to cover as 7-point favorites vs. the Raiders, winning by 5. Their O/U record is 3-3, with the under hitting in two straight games.
Heading into week 8, the Rams rank 20th in our offensive power rankings, averaging 19 points per game. They also sit 20th in the NFL in yards per game (313.2) and 15th in passing yards per game (212.8) despite ranking 10th in passing attempts. On the ground, they rank 25th in rushing yards per game, with 100.3, on 23rd-ranked rushing attempts. The Rams are 20th in the NFL in 3rd-down conversion percentage (37.5%) and 15th in red zone conversion percentage.
Matthew Stafford struggled in week 7, posting a passer rating of 62 after throwing for 154 yards and an interception. Kyren Williams led the team with 76 rushing yards and 2 touchdowns, while Tyler Johnson had 4 catches for 57 yards. The Rams scored 14 points in the 2nd quarter and 6 in the 3rd but were held scoreless in the 1st and 4th quarters.
In their 20-15 win over the Raiders, the Rams’ defense was stingy in the passing game, allowing just 195 yards through the air. They picked off three passes and limited Las Vegas to a 47.7% completion rate. Despite giving up 122 rushing yards on 29 attempts, the Rams kept the Raiders out of the endzone and held them to a 20% third-down conversion rate.
Their defensive front was disruptive, coming away with two sacks and winning the battle in quarterback hits and tackles for loss. The Rams’ secondary also did not allow a passing touchdown in the game.