Nevada Wolf Pack vs Hawaii Rainbow Warriors Betting Pick & Prediction 10/26/24

At 11:59 ET, the Nevada Wolf Pack and Hawaii Rainbow Warriors will be facing off in a week nine matchup. The game will be played at the Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex in Honolulu, and SPEC will be handling the TV broadcast. Nevada is coming in with a 3-5 record, and they are the slight -2.5-point favorites on the road. The over/under line is currently set at 47.5 points.
NEVADA WOLF PACK VS HAWAII RAINBOW WARRIORS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Hawaii Rainbow Warriors +2.5
This game will be played at Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex at 11:59 ET on Saturday, October 26th.
WHY BET THE HAWAII RAINBOW WARRIORS:
- We have the Nevada Wolf Pack winning this one by a score of 27 to 26
- Even though we like the Nevada Wolf Pack to win, our ATS pick is to take the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors at +2.5
- Look for this game to go over the line of 47.5 points
Will The Nevada Wolf Pack Pick Up A Win On The Road?
Nevada enters Week 9 against Hawaii with a 3-5 record, ranked 92nd in our power rankings. They have a 46.6% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. The Wolf Pack are 1-3 on the road and 1-2 at home this season.
Nevada has covered the spread in four of their seven games, going 4-2-1 ATS. They’ve been underdogs in all eight matchups, with a 4-1-1 record against the spread in those games. Their average scoring margin is -0.2 points per game.
The over/under line for this week is 47.5 points. Nevada’s games have averaged 53.2 points, with an average line of 49.8 points. Their over/under record stands at 3-4 this season.
Nevada’s offense has leaned heavily on their ground game, ranking 8th nationally with 200.2 rushing yards per game. Savion Red leads the team with 649 rushing yards, averaging 6 yards per carry, and has scored 8 touchdowns. Overall, Nevada is 62nd in scoring, with 26.5 points per game, and we have them ranked 48th in our offensive power rankings heading into week 9.
Brendon Lewis has thrown for 1,290 yards this season, with 10 touchdowns and 5 interceptions. Nevada ranks 81st in passing yards per game, but they are 12th in completion percentage, connecting on 68% of their passes. They are also 6th in third-down conversions, converting 53.2% of their attempts. Jaden Smith leads the receiving corps with 541 yards and 3 touchdowns.
Nevada’s defense has allowed an average of 26.8 points per game this season, including 24 points in their recent 24-21 loss to Fresno State. They gave up 316 total yards, with 126 rushing yards on 38 attempts and 190 passing yards, while also forcing one interception.
Opponents have averaged 148.5 rushing yards per game on 32.1 attempts against Nevada, and 248.1 passing yards, ranking Nevada 129th in the nation. Quarterbacks have completed 63.1% of their passes against Nevada’s defense.
Will The Hawaii Rainbow Warriors Win At Home Over The Nevada Wolf Pack?
Hawaii enters Week 9 with a 2-5 record, ranked 116th in our power rankings. They have just a 5.4% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. At home, they are 0-2, and they’ve been underdogs in all seven games this season.
Their average scoring margin is -3.9 points per game, and they are 1-3-1 against the spread. Hawaii is 1-0-1 ATS at home but 0-3 on the road.
Hawaii’s over/under record is 1-4, with their games averaging 43.3 points. This week’s line is 47.5 points, lower than their average over/under line of 52.7 points.
Hawaii’s offense has struggled this season, averaging just 19.7 points per game, placing them 92nd in the nation. They are also ranked 93rd in our offensive power rankings heading into week 9. Their third-down conversion rate is low at 34.9%, and their rushing game ranks 118th, with only 84.3 yards per game on the ground.
Brayden Schager leads Hawaii’s passing attack with 1,788 yards and 13 touchdowns, though he has thrown 7 interceptions and has a passer rating of 85. Hawaii ranks 10th in passing attempts per game, averaging 38.9. Pofele Ashlock has 43 receptions for 470 yards and four touchdowns.
Hawaii’s defense struggled in their recent game against Washington State, allowing 42 points in a 42-10 loss. They gave up 448 total yards, including 321 passing yards and three passing touchdowns, while also allowing 127 rushing yards on 35 attempts.
For the season, Hawaii’s defense ranks 47th nationally, giving up 23.6 points per game. They are allowing 138.9 rushing yards per game and 211.7 passing yards, with opposing quarterbacks completing 65.9% of their passes and posting a 97.6 passer rating.