UL Monroe Warhawks vs South Alabama Jaguars Betting Pick & Prediction 10/26/24
South Alabama is the -7.5 point favorite as they host the UL Monroe Warhawks in a week nine Sun Belt matchup. Kick-off is set for 5:00 ET at Hancock Whitney Stadium in Mobile. The over/under line is currently 45.5 points. The Warhawks come in with a 5-1 record, while the Jaguars are 3-4 on the season. The game is available for streaming on ESPN+.
UL MONROE WARHAWKS VS SOUTH ALABAMA JAGUARS BETTING PICK
The Pick: UL Monroe Warhawks +7.5
This game will be played at Hancock Whitney Stadium at 5:00 ET on Saturday, October 26th.
WHY BET THE UL MONROE WARHAWKS:
- We have the UL Monroe Warhawks winning this one by a score of 28 to 15
- Not only do we have the UL Monroe Warhawks winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +7.5
- We see this game finishing below the line of 45.5 points
Will The UL Monroe Warhawks Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs
UL Monroe enters Week 9 against South Alabama with a 5-1 record, ranked 98th in our power rankings. They have an 86.3% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. The Warhawks are 3-0 at home and 1-1 on the road this season.
Against the spread, UL Monroe is 4-1, with a +2.8 average scoring margin. They’ve covered in all three home games and are 1-1 ATS on the road. The Warhawks have been favored just once this season, going 1-0 ATS as the favorite and 3-1 as the underdog.
Their over/under record stands at 2-3, with an average line of 48.7 points. This week’s line is set at 45.5 points, and their games have averaged 42.8 points per contest, with an average over/under margin of -6.1 points.
Heading into week 9, UL Monroe’s offense ranks 107th in our CFB offensive power rankings, averaging 22.8 points per game. They are 80th in rushing, with 160.3 yards per game, and average 36.7 attempts per game. Ahmad Hardy leads the ground attack with 501 yards, 6 touchdowns, and 5 yards per carry.
Quarterback Aidan Armenta has thrown for 483 yards, with 4 touchdowns and 2 interceptions, giving him a passer rating of 92. UL Monroe is 125th in passing yards per game nationally. Jake Godfrey leads the receivers with 191 yards and one touchdown.
UL Monroe’s defense has been a bright spot this season, ranking 16th nationally by allowing just 20 points per game. They’ve also held opponents to 189.8 passing yards per game, which ranks 39th, and a passer rating of 69.6, the 20th lowest in the country.
In their recent game against Southern Miss, the defense gave up 21 points but didn’t allow a passing touchdown. They allowed 182 rushing yards and recorded one interception while giving up 369 total yards.
Are The South Alabama Jaguars Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?
South Alabama enters Week 9 with a 3-4 record, but they have a 76% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. At home, they are 1-1, and they’ve been favored in four of their seven games this season. The Jaguars have a +10.3 average scoring margin and are ranked 72nd in our power rankings.
Against the spread, South Alabama is 2-4, with a 1-3 record on the road and 1-1 at home. As the favorite, they’ve gone 1-3 ATS. Their over/under record stands at 1-5, with an average line of 60.2 points and an average total of 59.4 points per game.
This week’s over/under line is 45.5 points. Six of their games have had higher lines, while five have had lower totals. South Alabama’s average over/under margin is -7.0 points this season.
South Alabama’s offense is averaging 34.9 points per game heading into week 9, placing them 22nd in the nation. They are also ranked 22nd in passer rating, but sit 60th in our offensive power rankings. The Jaguars are averaging 248.6 passing yards per game, ranking 46th in passing attempts.
Quarterback Gio Lopez has thrown for 1,464 yards with a passer rating of 114. He has completed 64.7% of his passes, throwing 13 touchdowns and just one interception. On the ground, South Alabama is averaging 197.9 rushing yards per game. Fluff Bothwell leads the team with 461 rushing yards, six touchdowns, and an average of 6 yards per carry. Jamaal Pritchett has 573 receiving yards and six touchdowns on 39 catches.
South Alabama’s defense was impressive in their latest game, allowing just 9 points in a 25-9 win over Troy. They held Troy to 14 first downs and only 172 total yards, including 36 rushing yards on 22 attempts. The secondary gave up 136 passing yards but also came away with three interceptions.
On the season, the Jaguars rank 53rd nationally, allowing 121.6 rushing yards per game. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged a 63% completion rate and 285.4 passing yards per game against South Alabama’s defense.