Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Mets Betting Pick & Prediction 10/17/24
Thursday’s Dodgers vs. Mets matchup has a first pitch set for 8:08 PM ET from Citi Field in New York, NY. The Dodgers are favored on the money line (-138) and have a record of 98-64, while the Mets are 89-73 and will be looking to pull off the upset.
FS1 will be televising this NL matchup, and the over/under line is currently 7.5 runs. Jose Quintana will be starting for the Mets, while the Dodgers are going with Yoshinobu Yamamoto. Los Angeles is currently on a five-game winning streak.
LOS ANGELES DODGERS VS NEW YORK METS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers Moneyline -138
This game will be played at Citi Field at 8:08 ET on Thursday, October 17th.
HOW TO BET THE DODGERS VS METS:
- We have the Dodgers winning by a score of 4 to 3
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Mets to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 7 runs and like the under
Los Angeles cruised to an easy 8-0 win over the Mets in the most recent game of this series. The Dodgers had a huge 2nd inning, scoring seven of their eight runs. As for the Mets, they had their best chance to score in the 5th, but left the bases loaded.
Walker Buehler only went four innings for the Dodgers but didn’t give up a run. He finished the game with six strikeouts but issued two walks. Michael Kopech came out of the bullpen for the win. As for the Mets, Luis Severino had a rough outing, giving up six runs in just 4 2/3 innings of work.
Enrique Hernandez and Max Muncy each homered for the Dodgers, while Shohei Ohtani went 1/4 with three RBIs. Will Smith also had a two-hit game at the plate.
Dodgers Records & Stats
As the Dodgers prepare for game four of their series against the Mets, they hold a 2-1 lead and are on the road. Los Angeles went 46-35 away from home during the regular season, while posting a 52-29 record at home. They’ve won five straight overall and two in a row on the road. As road favorites, they went 43-23 this year.
Los Angeles finished the regular season with an 87-83 run line record, including 44-40 on the road. They’ve covered the run line in three straight road games. Their games have averaged 9.4 total runs this season, while today’s over/under line is set at 7.5 runs. The Dodgers’ over/under record is 96-69, and the over has hit in their last three games.
Right-hander Yoshinobu Yamamoto gets the start for the Dodgers today as he faces the Mets on the road. He has made 18 starts this year and has a record of 7-2 with a 3.00 ERA. Yamamoto’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.11. In his 18 starts, he has turned in seven quality starts and is averaging 10.5 strikeouts per nine innings. Looking back at his last outing, Yamamoto went five innings, picking up the win and not allowing a run. Before that, he had allowed at least two homers in back-to-back outings.
Shohei Ohtani has been one of the league’s top power hitters this season, as his 54 home runs are the 2nd most in the league. His 130 RBIs are also the 2nd most in the MLB. Ohtani is batting .310 for the season and has an on-base percentage of .390. Teoscar Hernandez is also a big power threat in the Dodgers lineup, as he is 2nd on the team with 33 homers and has driven in 99 runs.
Los Angeles comes into the game as the league’s top-scoring offense, averaging 5.2 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.5 runs per contest. Overall, the Dodgers are 3rd in home runs and have the league’s best slugging percentage and OPS.
Mets Records & Stats
Facing a must-win game four, the Mets look to even their series against the Dodgers, who lead 2-1. New York posted a 46-35 home record during the regular season, compared to 43-38 on the road. As favorites, they went 60-39, while finishing 35-38 as underdogs.
New York’s run line record for the season is 89-83, with a home run margin of +0.6 compared to +0.3 on the road. At home, their run line record is 40-44. The Mets’ over/under record stands at 89-78, and the over has hit in their last three games. Today’s 7.5-run line is below their season average of 8 runs.
New York is sending left-hander Jose Quintana to the mound today vs. the Dodgers. Quintana has made 31 starts this season and has a record of 10-10 with an ERA of 3.75. For the year, he has a WHIP of 1.25 and has turned in 12 quality starts. In his last outing, Quintana finished with a no-decision, going five innings and giving up one earned run on six hits. Before that, he had gone six innings without giving up an earned run. Quintana has given up a total of 22 home runs this year.
Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso have been two of the Mets’ top power threats this season, as Lindor has 33 homers, and Alonso has 34. Lindor comes into the game with a team-high 91 RBIs, while Alonso is 3rd on the team with 88 RBIs. Lindor is batting .273 for the season, and Alonso is at .240.
As a team, the Mets are 7th in the league in scoring at 4.7 runs per game. They have been even better on the road this season, averaging 4.8 runs per contest. New York comes into the game with a team batting average of .246, which is 8th in the league.