New York Yankees vs Cleveland Guardians Betting Pick & Prediction 10/17/24
First pitch for Thursday’s Yankees vs. Guardians matchup is set for 5:08 PM ET from Progressive Field in Cleveland. The Guardians are currently on a two-game losing streak, and their money line odds are sitting at -101 compared to the Yankees at -116. New York is also the favorite on the run line, where they are -149.
The over/under line for Thursday’s game is sitting at 7.5 runs, and the forecast in Cleveland calls for clear skies and temperatures in the mid-50s. Clarke Schmidt is starting for the Yankees, and the Guardians will send Matthew Boyd to the mound. New York is 1st in the AL East, while the Guardians are 1st in the AL Central.
CLEVELAND GUARDIANS VS NEW YORK YANKEES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Cleveland Guardians Moneyline -101
This game will be played at Progressive Field at 5:08 ET on Thursday, October 17th.
HOW TO BET THE YANKEES VS GUARDIANS:
- We have the Guardians winning by a score of 4 to 3
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Guardians to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 7 runs and like the under
New York picked up a 6-3 win over the Guardians in the most recent game of this series. The Yankees had a 2-1 lead after the first inning and added two more runs in the 2nd. As for the Guardians, they scored their final run in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Yankees were favored at -171 on the money line.
Gerrit Cole got the start for the Yankees, going just 4 1/3 innings while giving up two runs and striking out four. Clay Holmes got the win out of the bullpen. Tanner Bibee only went 1 1/3 innings for the Guardians, giving up two earned runs on five hits.
At the plate, Aaron Judge and Gleyber Torres each homered for the Yankees. Judge, Anthony Volpe, and Anthony Rizzo each had two RBIs. Jose Ramirez hit the lone home run for the Guardians, going 1/4.
Yankees Records & Stats
As the Yankees prepare for game three of their series against Cleveland, they hold a 2-0 lead and are on the road. New York posted a 94-68 regular season record, going 44-37 at home and 50-31 on the road. They’ve won five straight road games and four consecutive games as the favorite.
New York’s run line record for the season is 87-81, including 50-33 on the road. They’ve covered the run line in three straight games as the favorite. The Yankees’ games have averaged 9.1 total runs this season, while today’s over/under line is set at 7.5 runs. Their over/under record is 88-75.
New York is sending right-hander Clarke Schmidt to the mound today vs. the Guardians. He has made 16 starts this year and has a record of 5-5 with an ERA of 2.85. So far, Schmidt has turned in two quality starts and is coming off an outing in which he didn’t give up a run. Against the Royals on October 9th, he went 4 2/3 innings, giving up two earned runs, four hits, and one homer. Schmidt has a WHIP of 1.18 and is averaging 9.81 strikeouts per nine innings. Per nine innings, he has issued 3.16 walks. Schmidt has been much better on the road, coming in with a 1.77 ERA compared to 4.64 at home.
So far this season, the Yankees are the top home run hitting team in the league and are also 3rd in runs scored, averaging 5 runs per game. The team has been even better on the road, averaging 5.2 runs per game. Overall, they are batting .248 as a team, which is 7th in the league. The Yankees are also the league’s top walk-drawing team.
Over his last seven games, Giancarlo Stanton has gone 7/24 with two homers and five RBIs. Gleyber Torres has also been swinging a hot bat, going 9/27 in his last seven games. Torres also has a three-game hitting streak going. Aaron Judge and Juan Soto have been the Yankees’ top power threats this season, with Judge leading the league with 144 RBIs and Soto’s 41 homers being 4th in the league.
Guardians Records & Stats
Facing a must-win game three against the Yankees, Cleveland looks to avoid falling behind 3-0 in the series. The Guardians finished the regular season with a 92-69 record, including a strong 50-30 mark at home and 42-39 on the road. As favorites, they went 66-37 this year, while posting a 29-36 record as underdogs.
During the regular season, Cleveland’s run line record was 84-84, with an average run margin of +0.5 per game. At home, their run line record was 41-42. The Guardians’ over/under record stands at 71-85, and 68.9% of their games had higher totals than today’s 7.5 line.
Matthew Boyd gets the start for the Guardians today vs. the Yankees and comes into the game with a record of 2-2 and ERA of 2.72. So far, he has made three quality starts and is averaging 10.44 strikeouts per nine innings. Boyd has been much better at home, with an ERA of 1.91 compared to 3.28 on the road. In his last outing, he went just two innings and didn’t give up a run. Boyd has finished with a no-decision in each of his last three outings.
Jose Ramirez and Josh Naylor have been the Guardians’ top power threats this season, as Ramirez’s 39 homers are 5th in the league, and Naylor’s 31 homers are 13th. Ramirez also has a team-high 118 RBIs, which is 3rd in the MLB. However, Ramirez has gone just 6/27 in his last eight games, but three of those hits have been home runs. Steven Kwan has been hot of late, going 13/29 in his last seven games.
Overall, the Guardians are averaging 4.4 runs per game and have been a better offensive team at home, where they are averaging 4.7 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting just .238, which is 14th in the league, and their collective on-base percentage of .307 is also below the league average.