Baltimore Ravens vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Betting Pick & Prediction 10/21/24
ESPN will broadcast the week seven non-conference matchup between the Ravens and Buccaneers, taking place at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, FL. The game kicks off at 8:15 ET on Monday, October 21st. The Ravens are favored on the road with a money line of -193 and a point spread of -3.5. The Buccaneers’ money line odds are +160, and the over/under line is set at 48 points.
BALTIMORE RAVENS VS TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3.5
This game will be played at Raymond James Stadium at 8:15 ET on Monday, October 21st.
WHY BET THE TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS:
- We have the Buccaneers winning this one by a score of 26 to 23
- Not only do we have the Buccaneers winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +3.5
- Look for this game to go over the line of 48 points
Will The Ravens Win As Road Favorites?
After starting the season with two straight losses, the Ravens have bounced back with four consecutive wins, including a 30-23 victory over the Commanders in week 6. Baltimore was favored by 7 points in that game, so the win was a push against the spread. The O/U line was 50.5, and the teams combined for 53 points, marking the Ravens’ second straight over. Their O/U record this season is 5-1.
Heading into week 7, the Ravens rank 2nd in our power rankings and have a 70.9% chance of winning the AFC North and a 93.8% chance of making the playoffs. They are 3-2-1 ATS this season, with a +4.7 scoring margin. As favorites, they are 3-1-1 ATS, and they are 0-1 as underdogs.
Heading into week 7, the Ravens are 2nd in our offensive power rankings. They lead the NFL in yards per game (453.7) and are 3rd in points per game, averaging 29.5. Baltimore relies heavily on the run, leading the league in rushing attempts (34.8) and rushing yards per game (205.3). They also rank 8th in passing yards per game, despite being 21st in pass attempts. The Ravens have been strong on 3rd down, converting 51.5% of their attempts, but they rank 29th in red zone conversion percentage.
Lamar Jackson threw for 323 yards (20/26) and a touchdown in week 6, with one interception. Derrick Henry rushed for 132 yards on 24 carries, and Zay Flowers had 9 receptions for 132 yards. Baltimore scored 3 points in the 1st quarter, 14 in the 2nd, 10 in the 3rd, and 3 in the 4th. They converted 6 of 10 3rd downs and went 3/4 in the red zone.
Despite giving up 253 passing yards to Washington, the Ravens’ defense held up well on third downs, allowing just a 33.3% conversion rate. They also limited the Commanders to 52 rushing yards on 18 attempts. Baltimore gave up two passing touchdowns and allowed 24 completions on 35 attempts (68.6%).
The Ravens’ defense recorded three sacks in their 30-23 win over Washington. They also won the quarterback hit battle by four but did lose the tackles for loss differential by -1.
Are The Buccaneers Going Win In At Upset At Raymond James Stadium
Heading into week 7, the Buccaneers have a 4-2 record, putting them 2nd in the NFC South. After a week 5 loss to the Falcons, Tampa Bay bounced back with a 51-27 win over the Saints in week 6. The Bucs were 3.5-point favorites in that game and easily covered the spread. The 78 combined points in that matchup went well over the 42.5-point line, marking the third straight game Tampa Bay has hit the over.
The Bucs currently have a +6.2 scoring margin and are 4-2 against the spread. They rank 10th in our NFL power rankings and have a 69.8% chance of making the playoffs. Their odds of winning the division sit at 44.1%.
Heading into week 7, the Buccaneers sit 7th in our offensive power rankings. They are 2nd in the NFL in points per game (29.7) and 9th in yards per game (367.2). Tampa Bay ranks 15th in passing attempts and 11th in passing yards per game, averaging 230.3 yards. On the ground, they are 18th in rushing attempts and 8th in rushing yards per game, with 136.8. The Bucs have been strong on 3rd down, converting 47.1% of their attempts, which ranks 3rd in the league, though they are 27th in red zone conversion percentage despite ranking 4th in red zone attempts.
Baker Mayfield threw for 325 yards and 4 touchdowns in week 6, despite 3 interceptions, finishing with a passer rating of 97. Chris Godwin led the receiving corps with 11 catches for 125 yards and 2 touchdowns, while Sean Tucker rushed for 136 yards on 14 carries. Tampa Bay scored 20 points in the 4th quarter against the Saints, following 7 points in the 2nd and 3rd quarters and 17 in the 1st.
In their 51-27 win over the Saints, the Buccaneers’ defense allowed just a 30.8% conversion rate on third downs. They also came away with two interceptions and five sacks, while holding the Saints to 81 rushing yards on 21 attempts. The Bucs’ defense limited the Saints to 222 passing yards and just one touchdown through the air, and they forced New Orleans into a 55% completion rate.
The Buccaneers’ defense was also disruptive up front, winning the QB hit differential and recording five sacks in the game. Tampa Bay’s secondary played well, holding the Saints to 222 passing yards and allowing just one touchdown through the air. They also limited New Orleans to 81 rushing yards.