Cincinnati Bengals vs New York Giants Betting Pick & Prediction 10/13/24

The Giants are +152 on the money line as they host the Bengals at 8:20 ET on Sunday, October 13th at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, NJ. The Giants are the underdog with a point spread of +3.5, while the Bengals are favored with a money line of -181. This week six non-conference matchup is being televised on NBC, and the over/under line is set at 49 points.
CINCINNATI BENGALS VS NEW YORK GIANTS BETTING PICK
The Pick: New York Giants +3.5
This game will be played at MetLife Stadium at 8:20 ET on Sunday, October 13th.
WHY BET THE NEW YORK GIANTS:
- We have the Giants winning this one by a score of 24 to 17
- Not only do we have the Giants winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +3.5
- We see this game finishing below the line of 49 points
Will The Bengals Win As Road Favorites?
The Bengals head into week 6 with a 1-4 record, placing them 9th in our NFL power rankings and giving them a 35.4% chance of making the playoffs. Their only win this season came on the road against the Panthers in week 4, but they couldn’t build on that momentum, falling 41-38 to the Ravens in week 5. Cincinnati was a 2.5-point underdog in that game, and the 79 combined points easily cleared the 48.5-point line, extending their over streak to 4 games.
So far, the Bengals are 2-3 against the spread, with an average scoring margin of -1. They are 1-2 ATS as favorites and 1-1 as underdogs. Their O/U record stands at 4-1, with their games averaging 57 points compared to an average line of 45.8.
Joe Burrow has been on fire over his last three games, culminating in a 392-yard, 5-touchdown performance in week 5 against the Ravens, where he posted a passer rating of 136. In week 4, he threw for 232 yards and 2 touchdowns, following a 324-yard, 3-touchdown outing in week 3. Ja’Marr Chase has been his top target, with 10 catches for 193 yards and 2 touchdowns in week 5, after recording 85 yards in week 4 and 118 yards in week 3.
Chase Brown led the Bengals’ rushing attack with 46 yards on 12 carries in week 5. Cincinnati is currently 4th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 28, and they rank 8th in passing attempts and 5th in passing yards per game. However, they are 24th in rushing attempts and 28th in rushing yards per game.
In their 41-38 overtime loss to the Ravens, the Bengals’ defense gave up 520 yards, including 175 rushing yards on 34 attempts. Baltimore averaged 8.2 yards per pass attempt and converted on 66.7% of their third down attempts. Cincinnati allowed four passing touchdowns and managed only one sack in the game.
The Bengals struggled to contain Baltimore’s passing game, as the Ravens completed 26 passes for 345 yards (61.9% completion rate). Additionally, Cincinnati’s defense had a tackles for loss differential of -2 in the game.
Are The Giants Going Win In At Upset At MetLife Stadium
Heading into week 6 with a 2-3 record, the Giants rank 27th in our power rankings and have just a 7.1% chance of making the playoffs. New York is 0-2 at home this season but has gone 2-1 on the road, including a 29-20 win over the Seahawks in week 5. In week 4, they lost 20-15 to the Cowboys, and in week 3, they picked up a 21-15 win over the Browns.
New York is 3-2 against the spread this season, covering in three straight games. They were underdogs in all of their matchups, including a +7 line against Seattle. The O/U line for that game was 42.5, and the teams combined for 49 points. The Giants’ O/U record is 1-4 this season.
Heading into week 6, the Giants rank 22nd in our offensive power rankings. They are 25th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 17.8, and 18th in yards per game, with 321.4. New York ranks 4th in passing attempts per game (35.8) and 13th in passing yards, averaging 218.2. On the ground, they are 24th in the league, with 103.2 rushing yards per game on 26.6 attempts per contest. The Giants rank 15th in the NFL in 3rd-down conversions, with a 37.5% success rate, and are 13th in red zone conversion percentage, scoring touchdowns on 50% of their trips.
Daniel Jones has posted a passer rating of 109 in two of his last three games, including his week 5 performance against Seattle, where he threw for 257 yards and 2 touchdowns without an interception. Darius Slayton led the team with 8 catches for 122 yards and a touchdown in week 5, while Tyrone Tracy Jr. rushed for 129 yards on 18 carries. Before Slayton’s big game, Malik Nabers had 12 catches for 115 yards in week 4 and 78 yards with 2 touchdowns in week 3. Nabers is currently questionable for week 6 due to a concussion.
In the Giants’ 29-20 win over the Seahawks, their defense allowed 102 rushing yards on just 11 attempts, with Seattle managing to gain 9.3 yards per attempt. Despite this, the Giants’ defense was impressive, recording seven sacks and dominating in the trenches with a positive tackles for loss differential.
In the passing game, the Giants allowed 231 yards on 28 completions, with Seattle finishing with a 70% completion percentage. The Giants also defended well on third downs, allowing the Seahawks to convert just 27.3% of their third down attempts.