UNLV Rebels vs Utah State Aggies Betting Pick & Prediction 10/11/24
Utah State comes into this week seven matchup with a 1-4 record, and they are the underdog vs. the UNLV Rebels, who are 4-1 this season. The game is set for 9:00 ET from Merlin Olsen Field at Maverik Stadium in Logan and will be on CBSS. The over/under line is at 64.5 points, and the Rebels are -18.5 point favorites on the road.
UNLV REBELS VS UTAH STATE AGGIES BETTING PICK
The Pick: UNLV Rebels -18.5
This game will be played at Merlin Olsen Field At Maverik Stadium at 9:00 ET on Friday, October 11th.
WHY BET THE UNLV REBELS:
- We have the UNLV Rebels winning this one by a score of 43 to 21
- Not only do we have the UNLV Rebels winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -18.5
- We see this game finishing below the line of 64.5 points
Will The UNLV Rebels Win As Road Favorites?
UNLV enters Week 7 with a 4-1 record, and they have a 99.8% chance of being bowl-eligible. The Rebels are 2-0 on the road and rank 43rd in our power rankings. They have been favored in just one game this season and hold a +24.6 average scoring margin.
Against the spread, UNLV is 3-0, covering twice on the road and once at home. They are 1-0 ATS as the favorite and 2-0 as the underdog.
This week’s over/under line is 64.5 points, higher than any of their previous games. UNLV’s games have averaged 64.2 points, with an average line of 54.9 points.
UNLV’s offense has been impressive this season, ranking 8th in the nation with 44.4 points per game. They are also 13th in rushing, averaging 253 yards per game on the ground. Our power rankings place them as the 35th best offense heading into week 7.
Hajj-Malik Williams has completed 82.9% of his passes for 409 yards, with six touchdowns and one interception. His passer rating is 137. Ricky White III leads the receiving corps with 388 yards and six touchdowns on 30 catches. Kylin James has rushed for 174 yards, averaging 7 yards per carry.
UNLV’s defense will look to bounce back after allowing 44 points in their recent game, a 44-41 loss to Syracuse. The Rebels gave up 492 total yards, including 355 passing yards and three passing touchdowns, though they did manage to force an interception.
Despite the rough outing, UNLV’s defense ranks 27th nationally, allowing just 19.8 points per game. They’ve been strong against the run, ranking 19th in the country by giving up only 94.2 rushing yards per game. Opposing quarterbacks have completed 57.3% of their passes and have a passer rating of 63.6 against UNLV, the 15th-lowest in the nation.
Are The Utah State Aggies Going Win In At Upset At Merlin Olsen Field At Maverik Stadium
Utah State enters Week 7 with a 1-4 record, facing UNLV at home. They rank 123rd in our CFB power rankings and have just a 4% chance of becoming bowl-eligible. At home, they are 0-1, and they’ve been favored in only one game this season.
The Aggies’ average scoring margin is -18.2 points per game, and they are 1-3 against the spread. They are 0-1 ATS as the favorite and 1-2 as the underdog, with a 1-0 record at home against the spread.
Utah State’s over/under record is 3-1, with their games averaging 64.6 points. This week’s line is set at 64.5 points, while their average over/under line has been 57 points, and they’ve exceeded it by an average of 11.2 points per game.
Heading into week 7, Utah State’s offense is averaging 23.2 points per game, placing them 74th in the nation. In our offensive power rankings, they are 95th. They have struggled on third downs, converting just 33.8% of their attempts, and their passer rating is 85, ranking 90th nationally.
Spencer Petras leads the Aggies with 810 passing yards and a passer rating of 95. He has thrown six touchdowns and three interceptions. Utah State ranks 26th in passing attempts per game. Rahsul Faison has rushed for 504 yards, averaging 5 yards per carry. Jalen Royals has 491 receiving yards and four touchdowns.
Utah State’s defense has struggled this season, allowing an average of 41.4 points per game. In their recent matchup against Boise State, they gave up 62 points, allowing 601 total yards, including 298 rushing yards and 303 passing yards.
Opponents have averaged 219 rushing yards per game against Utah State, while quarterbacks have posted a 109.2 passer rating, completing 70% of their passes for an average of 266.6 yards per game.