Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs Memphis Tigers Betting Pick & Prediction 9/28/24

Memphis is the heavy favorite in this week five non-conference matchup against Middle Tennessee, with the point spread set at -24.5. The game is scheduled for 7:30 ET on Saturday, September 28th, at Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium in Memphis and will be broadcast on ESNU. Memphis comes in with a 3-1 record, while Middle Tennessee is looking to improve on their 1-3 start to the season. The over/under line is at 60.5 points.
MIDDLE TENNESSEE BLUE RAIDERS VS MEMPHIS TIGERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Memphis Tigers -24.5
This game will be played at Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium at 7:30 ET on Saturday, September 28th.
WHY BET THE MEMPHIS TIGERS:
- We have the Memphis Tigers winning this one by a score of 46 to 21
- Not only do we have the Memphis Tigers winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -24.5
- Look for this game to go over the line of 60.5 points
Will The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs
Middle Tennessee is looking to bounce back after a 45-17 defeat at the hands of Duke. This loss dropped the Blue Raiders to 1-3 for the season. They were +14.5 point underdogs but ended up losing by 28 points, failing to cover the spread. The over/under line was set at 51.5 points, but the teams combined for 62 points, hitting the over.
Duke took control early, and by the end of the first quarter, Middle Tennessee was trailing 28-10. The Blue Raiders added a touchdown in the second quarter, but Duke also scored, making it 35-10 at halftime. Middle Tennessee outscored Duke 7-3 in the third quarter but was unable to mount a comeback, as they were held scoreless in the fourth quarter, while Duke added seven more points.
In their 45-17 loss to Duke, Middle Tennessee’s offense totaled 295 yards, with 168 of those coming on the ground. The Blue Raiders picked up 18 first downs but struggled in the passing game, finishing with just 127 yards through the air. Nicholas Vattiato completed 63.6% of his passes for 127 yards, one touchdown, and one interception, ending the game with a passer rating of 68.62.
Jaiden Credle was the standout in the ground game, rushing for 125 yards on 12 carries and scoring one of Middle Tennessee’s two touchdowns. Holden Willis led the team in receiving with three catches for 60 yards.
After allowing 45 points to Duke, Middle Tennessee’s defense will be looking to bounce back. The Blue Raiders gave up 346 yards of total offense, with 216 yards coming through the air. On the ground, they allowed 130 yards and three rushing touchdowns. Middle Tennessee’s defense did manage to pick off one pass in the game.
Are The Memphis Tigers Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?
Memphis is looking to bounce back after a 56-44 road loss to Navy, which dropped their record to 3-1 for the season. The Tigers were favored by -9 but ended up losing by 12 points. Despite the high-scoring nature of the game, the total of 100 points surpassed the over/under line of 47 points.
Memphis initially took a 14-7 lead, but Navy outscored them 21-3 in the second quarter, putting the Tigers down by 11 at halftime. Memphis closed the gap to 35-30 by the end of the third quarter, but they couldn’t complete the comeback, and Navy outscored them 21-14 in the fourth quarter.
Memphis’s offense put up 659 yards in their last game, with 274 yards coming on the ground. The Tigers ran for four touchdowns and added 385 yards through the air. Seth Henigan completed 57.1% of his passes for 371 yards, throwing two touchdowns and one interception, and ending with a passer rating of 81.77.
The Tigers picked up a total of 32 first downs in the game. Brandon Thomas led the rushing attack with 125 yards on 12 carries, averaging 10.4 yards per attempt. Koby Drake was the top receiver, recording nine receptions for 102 yards.
Memphis’ defense had a tough time containing Navy’s ground game, giving up 361 rushing yards and five touchdowns. Overall, they allowed 566 total yards and 56 points. Against the pass, Memphis was more effective, limiting Navy to 205 yards on 10 completions out of 14 attempts.